Matty The Bookie
Back to picks

Published Pick

Sun, Oct 25, 5:00 PM UTC

CLE at TEN

Pick
CLE
Confidence
65.1%
Margin
-0.9
Odds
+187

Model Read

The home-team number says TEN wins about 35 out of 100 times. Because the pick is CLE, use the other side of that math: CLE wins about 65 out of 100 times. The -0.9 margin is written from TEN's side, so it means CLE by about 0.9 points. Odds +187 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick CLE: 65.1% win prob | margin -0.9 pts | confidence: 65.1% away | Offense diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=-1.7e+02, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.2, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.1; oppose none | Defense-allowed diffs: favor none; oppose altitude_ft_diff=-1.7e+02, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.2, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.1

Player Props

Game Prop Board

D.Watson
QB
CLEQB pass yds226.2208.5+17.7fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
J.Jeudy
WR
CLEReceiving yds33.920.5+13.4fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
E.Ayomanor
WR
TENReceiving yds22.914.5+8.4fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
Q.Judkins
RB
CLERush yds53.646.5+7.1fanduelO -114 / U -114MediumInjury Review
D.Boston
WR
CLEReceiving yds46.451.5-5.1fanduelO -114 / U -114MediumInjury Review
C.Tate
WR
TENReceiving yds48.052.5-4.5fanduelO -114 / U -114MediumOK
K.Concepcion
WR
CLEReceiving yds34.038.5-4.5fanduelO -114 / U -114MediumInjury Review
T.Pollard
RB
TENRush yds61.965.5-3.6fanduelO -114 / U -114HighInjury Review
C.Ward
QB
TENQB pass yds181.4184.5-3.1fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
T.Spears
RB
TENRush yds13.310.5+2.8fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
G.Helm
TE
TENReceiving yds16.213.5+2.7fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
W.Robinson
WR
TENReceiving yds33.434.5-1.1fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
H.Fannin
TE
CLEReceiving yds31.630.5+1.1fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
C.Ward
QB
TENQb Passing Tds1.00.5+0.5fanduelO -210 / U +154HighOK
Q.Judkins
RB
CLEThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +8000 / U -MediumInjury Review
C.Tate
WR
TENThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +35000 / U -MediumOK
K.Concepcion
WR
CLEThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +25000 / U -MediumInjury Review
D.Boston
WR
CLEThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +17500 / U -MediumInjury Review
G.Helm
TE
TENThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +20000 / U -HighOK
D.Watson
QB
CLEThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +40000 / U -HighOK
H.Fannin
TE
CLEThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +15000 / U -HighOK
T.Pollard
RB
TENThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +5500 / U -HighInjury Review
C.Ward
QB
TENThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +40000 / U -HighOK
W.Robinson
WR
TENThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +40000 / U -HighOK
T.Spears
RB
TENThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +25000 / U -HighOK
E.Ayomanor
WR
TENThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +25000 / U -HighOK
C.Dike
WR
TENThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +25000 / U -HighOK
D.Bellinger
TE
TENThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +25000 / U -HighOK
J.Jeudy
WR
CLEThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +40000 / U -HighOK
J.Jeudy
WR
CLETwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +6500 / U -HighOK
G.Helm
TE
TENTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +10000 / U -HighOK
J.Chestnut
RB
TENTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +20000 / U -HighOK
I.Bond
WR
CLETwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +20000 / U -MediumOK
J.Jeudy
WR
CLEFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +2000 / U -HighOK
C.Tate
WR
TENTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +3500 / U -MediumOK
K.Concepcion
WR
CLETwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +3000 / U -MediumInjury Review
D.Boston
WR
CLETwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +2000 / U -MediumInjury Review
C.Ward
QB
TENTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +5500 / U -HighOK
W.Robinson
WR
TENTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +4000 / U -HighOK
E.Ayomanor
WR
TENTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +12500 / U -HighOK
D.Bellinger
TE
TENTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +22500 / U -HighOK
I.Bond
WR
CLEFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +5000 / U -MediumOK
G.Helm
TE
TENFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2200 / U -HighOK
J.Chestnut
RB
TENFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +10000 / U -HighOK
T.Pollard
RB
TENTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +850 / U -HighInjury Review
D.Watson
QB
CLETwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +4500 / U -HighOK
H.Fannin
TE
CLETwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2200 / U -HighOK
C.Dike
WR
TENTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +15000 / U -HighOK
T.Pollard
RB
TENFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +500 / U -HighInjury Review
T.Spears
RB
TENTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +10000 / U -HighOK
C.Ward
QB
TENLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +1750 / U -HighOK
J.Jeudy
WR
CLELast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -6000 / U -HighOK
E.Ayomanor
WR
TENLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -9000 / U -HighOK
G.Helm
TE
TENLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -6000 / U -HighOK
D.Bellinger
TE
TENLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -10000 / U -HighOK
C.Tate
WR
TENLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -3000 / U -MediumOK
K.Concepcion
WR
CLELast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +1000 / U -MediumInjury Review
D.Boston
WR
CLELast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +800 / U -MediumInjury Review
C.Dike
WR
TENLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -10000 / U -HighOK
W.Robinson
WR
TENLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +1100 / U -HighOK
C.Tate
WR
TENFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1400 / U -MediumOK
K.Concepcion
WR
CLEFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1200 / U -MediumInjury Review
D.Boston
WR
CLEFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1000 / U -MediumInjury Review
T.Spears
RB
TENFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2500 / U -HighOK
W.Robinson
WR
TENFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1400 / U -HighOK
D.Bellinger
TE
TENFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +4000 / U -HighOK
T.Pollard
RB
TENLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -1300 / U -HighInjury Review
E.Ayomanor
WR
TENFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2800 / U -HighOK
C.Ward
QB
TENFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1900 / U -HighOK
C.Dike
WR
TENFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +3500 / U -HighOK
C.Ridley
WR
TENTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +13000 / U -HighInjury Review
C.Ridley
WR
TENLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -9000 / U -HighInjury Review
Q.Judkins
RB
CLELast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -1800 / U -MediumInjury Review
D.Watson
QB
CLELast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -5000 / U -HighOK
C.Ridley
WR
TENFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +3500 / U -HighInjury Review
T.Spears
RB
TENLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -7000 / U -HighOK
Q.Judkins
RB
CLETwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1200 / U -MediumInjury Review
Q.Judkins
RB
CLEFirst Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +650 / U -MediumInjury Review
D.Watson
QB
CLEFirst Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1500 / U -HighOK
H.Fannin
TE
CLELast Td0.10.5-0.4hardrockO +800 / U -HighOK
H.Fannin
TE
CLEFirst Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1100 / U -HighOK
D.Bellinger
TE
TENWrte Receiving Tds0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1200 / U -HighFallback Line
I.Bond
WR
CLEWrte Receiving Tds0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1200 / U -MediumFallback Line
K.Concepcion
WR
CLEWrte Receiving Tds0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +290 / U -MediumInjury Review
J.Chestnut
RB
TENRb Rushing Tds0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +3300 / U -HighFallback Line
J.Chestnut
RB
TENAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +3300 / U -HighOK
I.Bond
WR
CLEAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1200 / U -MediumOK
G.Helm
TE
TENWrte Receiving Tds0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +550 / U -HighFallback Line
K.Concepcion
WR
CLEAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +290 / U -MediumInjury Review
T.Spears
RB
TENRb Rushing Tds0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +700 / U -HighFallback Line
G.Helm
TE
TENAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +550 / U -HighOK
D.Bellinger
TE
TENAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1200 / U -HighOK
J.Jeudy
WR
CLEAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +490 / U -HighOK
J.Jeudy
WR
CLEWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +490 / U -HighFallback Line
C.Dike
WR
TENWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +900 / U -HighFallback Line
T.Spears
RB
TENAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +700 / U -HighOK
C.Tate
WR
TENWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +330 / U -MediumFallback Line
D.Watson
QB
CLEAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +410 / U -HighOK
C.Tate
WR
TENAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +330 / U -MediumOK
C.Dike
WR
TENAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +900 / U -HighOK
E.Ayomanor
WR
TENAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +750 / U -HighOK
E.Ayomanor
WR
TENWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +750 / U -HighFallback Line
W.Robinson
WR
TENWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3hardrockO +350 / U -HighFallback Line
D.Watson
QB
CLEQb Passing Tds1.21.5-0.3draftkingsO +155 / U -200HighOK
D.Boston
WR
CLEWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +220 / U -MediumInjury Review
W.Robinson
WR
TENAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3hardrockO +350 / U -HighOK
C.Ward
QB
TENAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +475 / U -HighOK
Q.Judkins
RB
CLERb Rushing Tds0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +165 / U -MediumInjury Review
C.Ridley
WR
TENWrte Receiving Tds0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +850 / U -HighInjury Review
T.Pollard
RB
TENRb Rushing Tds0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +125 / U -HighInjury Review
Q.Judkins
RB
CLEAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +165 / U -MediumInjury Review
C.Ridley
WR
TENAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +850 / U -HighInjury Review
H.Fannin
TE
CLEWrte Receiving Tds0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +245 / U -HighFallback Line
T.Pollard
RB
TENAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +125 / U -HighInjury Review
D.Boston
WR
CLEAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +220 / U -MediumInjury Review
H.Fannin
TE
CLEAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +245 / U -HighOK

Projection Only

Player Prop Projections

J.Simmons
DL
TENSacks1.0---O - / U -HighOK
C.Barton
LB
TENSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
C.Ridley
WR
TENThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Review
C.Ridley
WR
TENReceiving yds25.3---O - / U -HighInjury Review
I.McGuire
DL
CLESacks0.3---O - / U -HighOK
C.Gray
LB
TENSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
C.Schwesinger
LB
CLESacks0.1---O - / U -HighInjury Review
A.Hooker
DB
TENSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
G.Delpit
DB
CLESacks0.1---O - / U -HighInjury Review
J.McLaughlin
RB
CLEAnytime Td0.2---O - / U -HighOK
J.McLaughlin
RB
CLEFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
J.McLaughlin
RB
CLELast Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
J.McLaughlin
RB
CLERb Rushing Tds0.1---O - / U -HighOK
J.McLaughlin
RB
CLERush yds25.5---O - / U -HighOK
J.McLaughlin
RB
CLEThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
J.McLaughlin
RB
CLETwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
C.Dike
WR
TENReceiving yds15.8---O - / U -HighOK
M.Graham
DL
CLESacks0.6---O - / U -HighInjury Review
D.Bellinger
TE
TENReceiving yds13.8---O - / U -HighOK
D.Ward
DB
CLESacks0.0---O - / U -HighOK
J.Chestnut
RB
TENLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
J.Chestnut
RB
TENRush yds5.8---O - / U -HighOK
J.Chestnut
RB
TENThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
T.Campbell
DB
CLESacks0.0---O - / U -HighOK
D.McMillon
DB
CLESacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
T.Jones
DL
TENSacks0.2---O - / U -MediumOK
M.Collins
DL
CLESacks0.6---O - / U -MediumOK
S.Sanders
QB
CLEAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
S.Sanders
QB
CLEFirst Td0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
S.Sanders
QB
CLELast Td0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
S.Sanders
QB
CLEQb Passing Tds0.4---O - / U -MediumOK
S.Sanders
QB
CLEQB pass yds59.8---O - / U -MediumOK
S.Sanders
QB
CLEThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
S.Sanders
QB
CLETwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
A.Huntington
DL
CLESacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
J.Williams
LB
TENSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
K.Winston
DB
TENSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumInjury Review
M.Hall
DL
CLESacks0.2---O - / U -MediumInjury Review
R.Sanders
RB
CLEAnytime Td0.2---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
R.Sanders
RB
CLEFirst Td0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
R.Sanders
RB
CLELast Td0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
R.Sanders
RB
CLERb Rushing Tds0.1---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
R.Sanders
RB
CLERush yds17.7---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
R.Sanders
RB
CLEThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
R.Sanders
RB
CLETwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
D.Sampson
RB
CLEAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
D.Sampson
RB
CLEFirst Td0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
D.Sampson
RB
CLELast Td0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
D.Sampson
RB
CLERb Rushing Tds0.1---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
D.Sampson
RB
CLERush yds15.4---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
D.Sampson
RB
CLEThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
D.Sampson
RB
CLETwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
F.Oladejo
LB
TENSacks0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
I.Bond
WR
CLELast Td0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
I.Bond
WR
CLEThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
I.Bond
WR
CLEReceiving yds27.0---O - / U -MediumOK
M.Harris
DB
TENSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
A.Estime
RB
CLEAnytime Td0.2---O - / U -MediumOK
A.Estime
RB
CLEFirst Td0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
A.Estime
RB
CLELast Td0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
A.Estime
RB
CLERb Rushing Tds0.3---O - / U -MediumOK
A.Estime
RB
CLERush yds23.4---O - / U -MediumOK
A.Estime
RB
CLEThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
A.Estime
RB
CLETwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
M.Robinson
DB
TENSacks0.0---O - / U -MediumOK

Player Projections

QB Projections

D.Watson
#4
CLE125187.81.118.70.528.0
C.Ward
#1
TEN123212.71.022.00.012.3
S.Sanders
#2
CLE29155.60.813.40.018.8

Offense Projections

Q.Judkins
#10
CLE11955.214.42.33.069.50.4
C.Tate
#14
TEN160.0102.08.512.7102.00.2
T.Pollard
#20
TEN23970.012.62.33.182.60.3
K.Concepcion
#1
CLE263.355.06.510.558.30.0
D.Boston
#12
CLE360.057.52.85.757.50.5
W.Robinson
#4
TEN360.353.56.810.053.80.7
J.Jeudy
#3
CLE4390.150.83.96.950.90.1
C.Ridley
#0
TEN4291.950.03.15.951.90.2
T.Spears
#2
TEN54824.620.63.13.745.10.2
H.Fannin
#44
CLE5220.640.84.16.241.40.5
E.Ayomanor
#5
TEN6220.034.62.45.134.60.3
R.Sanders
#23
CLE6918.418.72.73.037.10.1
G.Helm
#84
TEN7210.022.73.03.822.70.1
J.McLaughlin
#38
CLE7425.83.51.01.829.20.5
C.Dike
#17
TEN8230.821.82.53.622.60.2
D.Sampson
#22
CLE81610.916.92.12.527.90.1
I.Bond
#0
CLE9181.624.21.43.125.80.0
D.Bellinger
#82
TEN960.09.21.52.39.20.0
J.Chestnut
#36
TEN10305.11.70.20.36.90.0
A.Estime
#36
CLE10119.00.00.00.019.01.0

Defense Projections

T.Jones
#56
TEN120.81.01.013.5
D.McMillon
#31
CLE111.01.01.020.0
J.Simmons
#98
TEN2620.71.41.110.5
M.Collins
#96
CLE2100.71.30.76.7
C.Barton
#50
TEN340.30.31.08.0
A.Huntington
#98
CLE310.51.00.04.0
I.McGuire
#57
CLE4170.31.01.18.7
J.Williams
#52
TEN440.30.30.86.3
M.Hall
#51
CLE580.31.30.64.9
K.Winston
#23
TEN550.20.80.85.8
C.Schwesinger
#49
CLE6100.30.91.16.8
C.Gray
#33
TEN680.10.40.93.3
G.Delpit
#9
CLE7280.20.60.94.9
A.Hooker
#37
TEN7140.10.20.92.6
M.Graham
#94
CLE8100.10.40.71.9
F.Oladejo
#7
TEN820.01.01.04.0
D.Ward
#21
CLE9180.00.30.72.0
M.Harris
#26
TEN910.00.01.01.0
T.Campbell
#7
CLE1020.00.50.52.0
M.Robinson
#21
TEN1010.00.01.02.0