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Published Pick

Fri, Nov 13, 1:15 AM UTC

WAS at NYG

Pick
NYG
Confidence
57.1%
Margin
+3.3
Odds
-133

Model Read

The model says NYG wins about 57 out of 100 times, so the pick and the home-team number are the same side. The +3.3 margin is written from NYG's side, so it means NYG by about 3.3 points. Odds -133 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick NYG: 57.1% win prob | margin +3.3 pts | confidence: 57.1% home | Offense diffs: favor fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.2, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.1; oppose altitude_ft_diff=-64 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=-64; oppose fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.2, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.1

Player Props

Model Watchlist

No official player prop picks cleared today's historical price gate. This watchlist shows the strongest model signals for context.

T.Johnson
TE
NYGReceiving ydsOver 5.5
70
Solid Lean
24.5 vs 5.5
+19.0
fanduelO -113 / U -113
A.Williams
WR
WASThree Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
fanduelResearch only
M.Fields
WR
NYGThree Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
J.McCarthy
QB
NYGThree Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
C.Okonkwo
TE
WASThree Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
A.Ekeler
RB
WASThree Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.3 vs 0.5
-0.2
fanduelResearch only
Gregory
RB
NYGTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
fanduelResearch only
Charlie Jones
WR
NYGTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
fanduelResearch only
Jalin Hyatt
WR
NYGTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
fanduelResearch only
Ben Sinnott
TE
WASTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
John Bates
TE
WASTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
Charlie Jones
WR
NYGThree Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
draftkingsResearch only
Luke McCaffrey
WR
WASThree Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
draftkingsResearch only
J.Daniels
QB
WASThree Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
V.Jefferson
WR
WASThree Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
draftkingsResearch only
Thomas Fidone II
TE
NYGTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
Chris Manhertz
TE
NYGTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
Patrick Ricard
RB
NYGTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
Luke McCaffrey
WR
WASTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
I.Likely
TE
NYGThree Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
M.Nabers
WR
NYGThree Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
Darnell Mooney
WR
NYGTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
fanduelResearch only
Chris Manhertz
TE
NYGFirst TdOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
Patrick Ricard
RB
NYGFirst TdOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
Jalin Hyatt
WR
NYGFirst TdOver 0.5
69
Mild Lean
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
V.Jefferson
WR
WASReceiving ydsOver 7.5
68
Mild Lean
25.3 vs 7.5
+17.8
fanduelO -113 / U -113
D.Singletary
RB
NYGThree Plus TdsOver 0.5
67
Mild Lean
0.2 vs 0.5
-0.3
fanduelResearch only
S.Diggs
WR
WASThree Plus TdsOver 0.5
64
Mild Lean
0.3 vs 0.5
-0.2
fanduelResearch only
V.Jefferson
WR
WASTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
64
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
Thomas Fidone II
TE
NYGFirst TdOver 0.5
64
Mild Lean
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
Ben Sinnott
TE
WASFirst TdOver 0.5
64
Mild Lean
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
T.Burks
WR
WASThree Plus TdsOver 0.5
64
Review First
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
Jalin Hyatt
WR
NYGAnytime TdOver 0.5
61
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
R.White
RB
WASThree Plus TdsOver 0.5
61
Mild Lean
0.2 vs 0.5
-0.3
fanduelResearch only
Chris Manhertz
TE
NYGAnytime TdOver 0.5
60
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGThree Plus TdsOver 0.5
60
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
T.Johnson
TE
NYGTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
59
Mild Lean
0.2 vs 0.5
-0.3
fanduelResearch only
Gregory
RB
NYGFirst TdOver 0.5
59
Mild Lean
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
John Bates
TE
WASFirst TdOver 0.5
58
Mild Lean
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
Luke McCaffrey
WR
WASFirst TdOver 0.5
58
Mild Lean
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
J.McCarthy
QB
NYGTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
57
Mild Lean
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
M.Fields
WR
NYGReceiving ydsOver 25.5
57
Mild Lean
39.9 vs 25.5
+14.4
fanduelO -113 / U -113
Patrick Ricard
RB
NYGAnytime TdOver 0.5
56
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
draftkingsResearch only
John Bates
TE
WASAnytime TdOver 0.5
56
Mild Lean
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
draftkingsResearch only
S.Diggs
WR
WASReceiving ydsOver 36.5
55
Mild Lean
48.1 vs 36.5
+11.6
fanduelO -113 / U -113
T.Burks
WR
WASReceiving ydsOver 26.5
54
Review First
37.8 vs 26.5
+11.3
fanduelO -113 / U -113
Charlie Jones
WR
NYGAnytime TdOver 0.5
53
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
Darnell Mooney
WR
NYGReceiving ydsOver 14.5
53
Low Signal
24.6 vs 14.5
+10.1
draftkingsO -112 / U -112
Thomas Fidone II
TE
NYGAnytime TdOver 0.5
51
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
Charlie Jones
WR
NYGFirst TdOver 0.5
48
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
draftkingsResearch only
Luke McCaffrey
WR
WASAnytime TdOver 0.5
47
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
draftkingsResearch only
Ben Sinnott
TE
WASAnytime TdOver 0.5
45
Low Signal
0.2 vs 0.5
-0.3
draftkingsResearch only
J.McCarthy
QB
NYGQB pass ydsUnder 208.5
45
Low Signal
184.4 vs 208.5
-24.1
fanduelO -113 / U -113
M.Fields
WR
NYGTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
44
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
Gregory
RB
NYGAnytime TdOver 0.5
43
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
C.Okonkwo
TE
WASTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
40
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
Darnell Mooney
WR
NYGFirst TdOver 0.5
40
Low Signal
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
I.Likely
TE
NYGReceiving ydsUnder 46.5
40
Low Signal
44.6 vs 46.5
-1.9
fanduelO -113 / U -113
Shelby Harris
DL
NYGSacksOver 1.0
39
Low Signal
0.1 vs 1.0
-0.9
draftkingsResearch only
Darnell Mooney
WR
NYGAnytime TdOver 0.5
38
Low Signal
0.2 vs 0.5
-0.3
fanduelResearch only
V.Jefferson
WR
WASLast TdOver 0.5
38
Low Signal
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
hardrockResearch only
T.Johnson
TE
NYGAnytime TdOver 0.5
37
Low Signal
0.2 vs 0.5
-0.3
draftkingsResearch only
V.Jefferson
WR
WASAnytime TdOver 0.5
37
Low Signal
0.2 vs 0.5
-0.3
fanduelResearch only
J.Daniels
QB
WASQB pass ydsOver 202.5
35
Low Signal
203.9 vs 202.5
+1.4
fanduelO -113 / U -113
C.Okonkwo
TE
WASLast TdOver 0.5
35
Low Signal
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
hardrockResearch only
T.Burks
WR
WASLast TdOver 0.5
35
Review First
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
hardrockResearch only
A.Ekeler
RB
WASRush ydsUnder 29.5
34
Low Signal
27.2 vs 29.5
-2.3
fanduelO -113 / U -113
T.Johnson
TE
NYGFirst TdOver 0.5
34
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
draftkingsResearch only
J.McCarthy
QB
NYGQb Passing TdsUnder 1.5
34
Low Signal
0.8 vs 1.5
-0.7
fanduelO +144 / U -190
A.Carter
LB
NYGSacksUnder 0.3
34
Low Signal
0.2 vs 0.3
-0.0
draftkingsO +109 / U -138
D.Singletary
RB
NYGRush ydsOver 23.5
33
Low Signal
29.4 vs 23.5
+5.9
fanduelO -113 / U -113
Tim Settle
DL
WASSacksOver 1.0
33
Low Signal
0.1 vs 1.0
-0.9
fanduelResearch only
A.Williams
WR
WASReceiving ydsUnder 37.5
33
Low Signal
35.8 vs 37.5
-1.7
fanduelO -113 / U -113
A.Williams
WR
WASTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
32
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
draftkingsResearch only
O.Oweh
LB
WASSacksUnder 0.3
32
Low Signal
0.2 vs 0.3
-0.0
draftkingsO +118 / U -149
C.Okonkwo
TE
WASAnytime TdOver 0.5
31
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
J.Newton
DL
WASSacksOver 1.0
31
Low Signal
0.2 vs 1.0
-0.8
draftkingsResearch only
C.Okonkwo
TE
WASReceiving ydsUnder 35.5
31
Low Signal
36.5 vs 35.5
+1.0
fanduelO -113 / U -113
M.Fields
WR
NYGLast TdOver 0.5
31
Low Signal
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
hardrockResearch only
T.Burks
WR
WASFirst TdOver 0.5
31
Review First
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
R.White
RB
WASRush ydsUnder 38.5
30
Low Signal
37.2 vs 38.5
-1.3
fanduelO -113 / U -113
K.Thibodeaux
LB
NYGSacksUnder 0.3
30
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.3
-0.1
draftkingsO +148 / U -190
M.Nabers
WR
NYGReceiving ydsUnder 68.5
30
Low Signal
71.5 vs 68.5
+3.0
draftkingsO -112 / U -112
J.McCarthy
QB
NYGLast TdOver 0.5
30
Low Signal
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
hardrockResearch only
V.Jefferson
WR
WASFirst TdOver 0.5
29
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
draftkingsResearch only
Darnell Mooney
WR
NYGLast TdOver 0.5
29
Low Signal
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
hardrockResearch only
T.Burks
WR
WASTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
29
Review First
0.2 vs 0.5
-0.3
draftkingsResearch only
J.Daniels
QB
WASLast TdOver 0.5
28
Low Signal
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
hardrockResearch only
T.Johnson
TE
NYGLast TdOver 0.5
28
Low Signal
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
hardrockResearch only
A.Ekeler
RB
WASLast TdOver 0.5
27
Low Signal
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
hardrockResearch only
A.Ekeler
RB
WASTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
26
Low Signal
0.3 vs 0.5
-0.2
draftkingsResearch only
D.Singletary
RB
NYGTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
26
Low Signal
0.2 vs 0.5
-0.3
draftkingsResearch only
F.Luvu
LB
WASSacksOver 0.3
26
Low Signal
0.2 vs 0.3
-0.0
draftkingsO +314 / U -418
K.Chaisson
LB
WASSacksUnder 0.3
26
Low Signal
0.2 vs 0.3
-0.0
draftkingsO +177 / U -228
J.Daniels
QB
WASTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
25
Low Signal
0.3 vs 0.5
-0.2
draftkingsResearch only
J.Daniels
QB
WASQb Passing TdsUnder 1.5
25
Low Signal
1.4 vs 1.5
-0.1
draftkingsO +153 / U -196
A.Williams
WR
WASFirst TdOver 0.5
25
Low Signal
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
D.Armstrong
LB
WASSacksUnder 0.3
25
Low Signal
0.2 vs 0.3
-0.0
draftkingsO +150 / U -192
C.Omenihu
DL
WASSacksUnder 0.3
25
Low Signal
0.2 vs 0.3
-0.1
draftkingsO +164 / U -210
A.Reese
LB
NYGSacksUnder 0.3
25
Low Signal
0.3 vs 0.3
+0.1
draftkingsO +164 / U -211
J.Daniels
QB
WASFirst TdOver 0.5
25
Low Signal
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
D.Singletary
RB
NYGLast TdOver 0.5
25
Low Signal
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
hardrockResearch only
T.Burks
WR
WASAnytime TdOver 0.5
25
Review First
0.2 vs 0.5
-0.3
draftkingsResearch only
M.Nabers
WR
NYGTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
24
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
D.Singletary
RB
NYGFirst TdOver 0.5
24
Low Signal
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
S.Diggs
WR
WASFirst TdOver 0.5
24
Low Signal
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
S.Diggs
WR
WASLast TdOver 0.5
24
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
hardrockResearch only
A.Williams
WR
WASAnytime TdOver 0.5
23
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGRush ydsOver 58.5
23
Low Signal
63.9 vs 58.5
+5.4
draftkingsO -112 / U -112
M.Fields
WR
NYGFirst TdOver 0.5
23
Low Signal
0.0 vs 0.5
-0.5
draftkingsResearch only
M.Fields
WR
NYGAnytime TdOver 0.5
22
Low Signal
0.2 vs 0.5
-0.3
fanduelResearch only
A.Ekeler
RB
WASAnytime TdOver 0.5
21
Low Signal
0.2 vs 0.5
-0.3
draftkingsResearch only
S.Diggs
WR
WASTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
21
Low Signal
0.3 vs 0.5
-0.2
draftkingsResearch only
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
21
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
fanduelResearch only
C.Okonkwo
TE
WASFirst TdOver 0.5
21
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
draftkingsResearch only
I.Likely
TE
NYGTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
20
Low Signal
0.2 vs 0.5
-0.3
draftkingsResearch only
M.Nabers
WR
NYGLast TdOver 0.5
20
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
hardrockResearch only
J.Daniels
QB
WASAnytime TdOver 0.5
19
Low Signal
0.3 vs 0.5
-0.2
draftkingsResearch only
I.Likely
TE
NYGAnytime TdOver 0.5
19
Low Signal
0.3 vs 0.5
-0.2
draftkingsResearch only
I.Likely
TE
NYGFirst TdOver 0.5
19
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
draftkingsResearch only
M.Nabers
WR
NYGFirst TdOver 0.5
19
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
draftkingsResearch only
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGLast TdOver 0.5
19
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
hardrockResearch only
J.McCarthy
QB
NYGAnytime TdOver 0.5
18
Low Signal
0.2 vs 0.5
-0.3
draftkingsResearch only
D.Singletary
RB
NYGAnytime TdOver 0.5
18
Low Signal
0.3 vs 0.5
-0.2
fanduelResearch only
M.Nabers
WR
NYGAnytime TdOver 0.5
18
Low Signal
0.3 vs 0.5
-0.2
fanduelResearch only
S.Styles
LB
WASSacksOver 0.3
18
Low Signal
0.2 vs 0.3
-0.1
draftkingsO +248 / U -324
R.White
RB
WASAnytime TdOver 0.5
17
Low Signal
0.3 vs 0.5
-0.2
draftkingsResearch only
I.Likely
TE
NYGLast TdOver 0.5
17
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
hardrockResearch only
S.Diggs
WR
WASAnytime TdOver 0.5
16
Low Signal
0.4 vs 0.5
-0.1
hardrockResearch only
R.White
RB
WASTwo Plus TdsOver 0.5
16
Low Signal
0.3 vs 0.5
-0.2
draftkingsResearch only
A.Ekeler
RB
WASFirst TdOver 0.5
16
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
draftkingsResearch only
R.White
RB
WASFirst TdOver 0.5
16
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
draftkingsResearch only
R.White
RB
WASLast TdOver 0.5
16
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
hardrockResearch only
J.McCarthy
QB
NYGFirst TdOver 0.5
15
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
draftkingsResearch only
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGFirst TdOver 0.5
15
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
draftkingsResearch only
A.Williams
WR
WASLast TdOver 0.5
14
Low Signal
0.1 vs 0.5
-0.4
hardrockResearch only
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGAnytime TdOver 0.5
10
Low Signal
0.5 vs 0.5
-0.0
fanduelResearch only

Player Projections

QB Projections

J.Daniels
#5
WAS130202.71.318.70.347.4
J.Winston
#19
NYG110159.51.013.30.08.4
J.Dart
#6
NYG216157.61.115.10.033.8
A.Kaliakmanis
#16
WAS21186.01.015.00.016.0
M.Mariota
#8
WAS316149.91.112.90.027.4
J.McCarthy
#18
NYG34155.50.310.80.012.8

Offense Projections

O.Beckham
#9
NYG1601.291.36.510.492.50.7
S.Diggs
#3
WAS170.067.66.911.467.61.1
T.McLaurin
#17
WAS21120.764.24.67.364.90.4
C.Skattebo
#44
NYG21459.120.22.53.279.40.6
M.Nabers
#1
NYG3270.178.66.710.578.70.4
J.Croskey-Merritt
#22
WAS32247.54.90.60.952.40.5
T.Tracy
#29
NYG43941.916.12.02.857.90.3
R.White
#1
WAS4732.618.42.63.051.00.4
A.Ekeler
#30
WAS51925.923.82.43.049.70.2
I.Likely
#9
NYG580.056.05.88.656.00.8
D.Slayton
#11
NYG61030.043.12.95.143.10.2
C.Okonkwo
#85
WAS660.039.83.85.239.80.0
A.Williams
#14
WAS780.035.53.34.935.50.1
N.Harris
#23
NYG7539.62.00.40.441.60.0
M.Fields
#88
NYG880.036.02.44.436.00.1
V.Jefferson
#12
WAS820.029.02.54.029.00.5
D.Singletary
#26
NYG93726.69.01.31.535.60.3
T.Burks
#13
WAS9140.025.91.63.125.90.2
J.McNichols
#26
WAS103216.17.21.11.423.30.2
T.Johnson
#84
NYG10290.031.52.74.331.50.2

Defense Projections

T.Edmunds
#49
NYG132.74.03.734.3
S.Tuttle
#96
WAS132.32.33.738.7
K.Chaisson
#45
WAS261.85.22.026.5
B.Okoye
#99
NYG222.02.03.533.5
O.Oweh
#98
WAS371.73.12.125.3
A.Reese
#52
NYG361.51.73.521.0
D.Alexander
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NYG480.81.40.67.6
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#90
WAS431.04.31.010.0
B.Burns
#0
NYG5310.81.81.314.5
R.Barber
#50
WAS511.01.01.012.0
A.Carter
#3
NYG6160.73.10.910.2
J.Newton
#95
WAS690.81.81.19.9
K.Thibodeaux
#5
NYG7400.61.50.88.8
S.Styles
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WAS740.81.52.513.5
F.Luvu
#4
WAS8200.81.41.310.8
A.Phillips
#22
NYG8140.51.01.59.0
J.Jean-Baptiste
#41
WAS930.71.00.74.7
Z.Barnes
#46
NYG920.50.51.05.5
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#92
WAS10220.71.60.86.8
J.Pinnock
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NYG10140.50.81.17.1