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Published Pick
Mon, Sep 21, 12:00 AM UTC
CIN at HOU
Pick
CIN
Confidence
48.0%
Margin
-0.0
Odds
+108
Model Read
The home-team number says HOU wins about 48 out of 100 times. Because the pick is CIN, use the other side of that math: CIN wins about 52 out of 100 times. The margin is basically even, so the model sees this as close to a toss-up. Odds +108 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.
Raw model read: Pick CIN: 52.0% win prob | margin -0.0 pts | confidence: 52.0% away | Offense diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=-4e+02, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.1, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.05; oppose indoor_diff=+1 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor indoor_diff=+1; oppose altitude_ft_diff=-4e+02, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.1, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.05