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Published Pick
Mon, Sep 21, 12:00 AM UTC
PHI at TEN
Pick
PHI
Confidence
24.4%
Margin
-6.1
Odds
+310
Model Read
The home-team number says TEN wins about 24 out of 100 times. Because the pick is PHI, use the other side of that math: PHI wins about 76 out of 100 times. The -6.1 margin is written from TEN's side, so it means PHI by about 6.1 points. Odds +310 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.
Raw model read: Pick PHI: 75.6% win prob | margin -6.1 pts | confidence: 75.6% away | Offense diffs: favor fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.55, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.35; oppose altitude_ft_diff=+3.9e+02 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=+3.9e+02; oppose fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.55, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.35