CLE at TB

Model Read

The model says TB wins about 71 out of 100 times, so the pick and the home-team number are the same side. The +5.7 margin is written from TB's side, so it means TB by about 5.7 points. Odds -247 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick TB: 71.2% win prob | margin +5.7 pts | confidence: 71.2% home | Offense diffs: favor none; oppose altitude_ft_diff=-5.7e+02, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.25, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.15 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=-5.7e+02, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.25, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.15; oppose none