Matty The Bookie
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Published Pick

Sun, Sep 20, 11:00 PM UTC

GB at NYJ

Pick
GB
Confidence
36.2%
Margin
-1.3
Odds
+176

Model Read

The home-team number says NYJ wins about 36 out of 100 times. Because the pick is GB, use the other side of that math: GB wins about 64 out of 100 times. The -1.3 margin is written from NYJ's side, so it means GB by about 1.3 points. Odds +176 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick GB: 63.8% win prob | margin -1.3 pts | confidence: 63.8% away | Offense diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=-6.2e+02, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.15, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.15; oppose none | Defense-allowed diffs: favor none; oppose altitude_ft_diff=-6.2e+02, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.15, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.15