Matty The Bookie
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Published Pick

Tue, Sep 22, 12:15 AM UTC

NYG at LA

Pick
LA
Confidence
68.6%
Margin
+5.4
Odds
-218

Model Read

The model says LA wins about 69 out of 100 times, so the pick and the home-team number are the same side. The +5.4 margin is written from LA's side, so it means LA by about 5.4 points. Odds -218 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick LA: 68.6% win prob | margin +5.4 pts | confidence: 68.6% home | Offense diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=+1.1e+02, indoor_diff=+1; oppose fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.18, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.07 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.18, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.07; oppose altitude_ft_diff=+1.1e+02, indoor_diff=+1