Back to week 2
Published Pick
Mon, Sep 21, 2:00 AM UTC
MIA at SF
Pick
SF
Confidence
70.2%
Margin
+9.7
Odds
-236
Model Read
The model says SF wins about 70 out of 100 times, so the pick and the home-team number are the same side. The +9.7 margin is written from SF's side, so it means SF by about 9.7 points. Odds -236 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.
Raw model read: Pick SF: 70.2% win prob | margin +9.7 pts | confidence: 70.2% home | Offense diffs: favor none; oppose crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.05, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.05 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.05, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.05; oppose none