Matty The Bookie
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Published Pick

Fri, Sep 25, 12:15 AM UTC

ATL at GB

Pick
ATL
Confidence
49.9%
Margin
+3.7
Odds
+100

Model Read

The home-team number says GB wins about 50 out of 100 times. Because the pick is ATL, use the other side of that math: ATL wins about 50 out of 100 times. The +3.7 margin is written from GB's side, so it means GB by about 3.7 points. Odds +100 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick ATL: 50.1% win prob | margin +3.7 pts | confidence: 50.1% away | Offense diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=-3.9e+02, indoor_diff=-1; oppose fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.2, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.05 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.2, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.05; oppose altitude_ft_diff=-3.9e+02, indoor_diff=-1

Player Props

Game Prop Board

No sportsbook-lined player props are available for this game.

Projection Only

Player Prop Projections

Bi.Robinson
RB
ATLAnytime Td0.5---O - / U -HighOK
Bi.Robinson
RB
ATLRb Rushing Tds0.5---O - / U -HighOK
Bi.Robinson
RB
ATLRush yds77.8---O - / U -HighOK
J.Love
QB
GBAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -HighOK
J.Love
QB
GBQb Passing Tds1.9---O - / U -HighOK
J.Love
QB
GBQB pass yds247.5---O - / U -HighOK
J.Reed
WR
GBAnytime Td0.3---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
J.Reed
WR
GBWrte Receiving Tds0.3---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
J.Reed
WR
GBReceiving yds33.3---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
C.Rush
QB
ATLAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -HighOK
C.Rush
QB
ATLQb Passing Tds0.6---O - / U -HighOK
C.Rush
QB
ATLQB pass yds141.2---O - / U -HighOK
C.Watson
WR
GBAnytime Td0.5---O - / U -HighOK
C.Watson
WR
GBWrte Receiving Tds0.3---O - / U -HighOK
C.Watson
WR
GBReceiving yds66.2---O - / U -HighOK
D.London
WR
ATLAnytime Td0.3---O - / U -HighOK
D.London
WR
ATLWrte Receiving Tds0.2---O - / U -HighOK
D.London
WR
ATLReceiving yds51.2---O - / U -HighOK
Br.Robinson
RB
ATLAnytime Td0.3---O - / U -HighOK
Br.Robinson
RB
ATLRb Rushing Tds0.2---O - / U -HighOK
Br.Robinson
RB
ATLRush yds33.7---O - / U -HighOK
J.Smith
TE
GBAnytime Td0.2---O - / U -HighOK
J.Smith
TE
GBWrte Receiving Tds0.1---O - / U -HighOK
J.Smith
TE
GBReceiving yds32.3---O - / U -HighOK
K.Pitts
TE
ATLAnytime Td0.2---O - / U -HighOK
K.Pitts
TE
ATLWrte Receiving Tds0.2---O - / U -HighOK
K.Pitts
TE
ATLReceiving yds31.2---O - / U -HighOK
T.Kraft
TE
GBAnytime Td0.3---O - / U -HighOK
T.Kraft
TE
GBWrte Receiving Tds0.4---O - / U -HighOK
T.Kraft
TE
GBReceiving yds48.0---O - / U -HighOK
A.Hooper
TE
ATLAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -HighOK
A.Hooper
TE
ATLWrte Receiving Tds0.2---O - / U -HighOK
A.Hooper
TE
ATLReceiving yds24.7---O - / U -HighOK
O.Zaccheaus
WR
ATLAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -HighOK
O.Zaccheaus
WR
ATLWrte Receiving Tds0.2---O - / U -HighOK
O.Zaccheaus
WR
ATLReceiving yds16.7---O - / U -HighOK
B.Melton
WR
GBAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -HighOK
B.Melton
WR
GBWrte Receiving Tds0.1---O - / U -HighOK
B.Melton
WR
GBReceiving yds13.2---O - / U -HighOK
J.Dotson
WR
ATLAnytime Td0.2---O - / U -HighOK
J.Dotson
WR
ATLWrte Receiving Tds0.2---O - / U -HighOK
J.Dotson
WR
ATLReceiving yds20.6---O - / U -HighOK
C.Brooks
RB
GBAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -HighOK
C.Brooks
RB
GBRb Rushing Tds0.1---O - / U -HighOK
C.Brooks
RB
GBRush yds17.7---O - / U -HighOK
C.Woerner
TE
ATLAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -HighOK
C.Woerner
TE
ATLWrte Receiving Tds0.1---O - / U -HighOK
C.Woerner
TE
ATLReceiving yds11.4---O - / U -HighOK
J.Whyle
TE
GBAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -HighInjury Review
J.Whyle
TE
GBWrte Receiving Tds0.1---O - / U -HighInjury Review
J.Whyle
TE
GBReceiving yds14.3---O - / U -HighInjury Review
M.Penix
QB
ATLAnytime Td0.2---O - / U -MediumOK
M.Penix
QB
ATLQb Passing Tds0.8---O - / U -MediumOK
M.Penix
QB
ATLQB pass yds135.5---O - / U -MediumOK
Z.Harrison
DL
ATLSacks0.5---O - / U -MediumOK
B.Dorlus
DL
ATLSacks0.3---O - / U -MediumOK
D.Wyatt
DL
GBSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumInjury Review
B.Bowman
DB
ATLSacks0.2---O - / U -MediumInjury Review
B.Sorrell
LB
GBSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumInjury Review
L.London
DL
ATLSacks0.3---O - / U -MediumOK
X.McKinney
DB
GBSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
D.Deablo
LB
ATLSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
K.Brooks
DL
GBSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
M.Golden
WR
GBAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
M.Golden
WR
GBWrte Receiving Tds0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
M.Golden
WR
GBReceiving yds42.7---O - / U -MediumOK
J.Bates
DB
ATLSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
L.Van Ness
LB
GBSacks0.4---O - / U -MediumInjury Review
A.Terrell
DB
ATLSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
E.Cooper
LB
GBSacks0.2---O - / U -MediumInjury Review
K.Nixon
DB
GBSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
M.Hughes
DB
ATLSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
K.Johnson
RB
GBAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
K.Johnson
RB
GBRb Rushing Tds0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
K.Johnson
RB
GBRush yds18.4---O - / U -MediumOK
W.Brinson
DL
GBSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumInjury Exclusion
C.Blair
WR
ATLAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
C.Blair
WR
ATLWrte Receiving Tds0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
C.Blair
WR
ATLReceiving yds11.5---O - / U -MediumOK
I.McDuffie
LB
GBSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
B.Cox
LB
GBSacks0.1---O - / U -LowOK
J.Strand
QB
ATLAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -LowOK
J.Strand
QB
ATLQb Passing Tds0.3---O - / U -LowOK
J.Strand
QB
ATLQB pass yds123.0---O - / U -LowOK
M.Lloyd
RB
GBAnytime Td0.2---O - / U -LowOK
M.Lloyd
RB
GBRb Rushing Tds0.1---O - / U -LowOK
M.Lloyd
RB
GBRush yds29.6---O - / U -LowOK
Z.Branch
WR
ATLAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -LowOK
Z.Branch
WR
ATLWrte Receiving Tds0.1---O - / U -LowOK
Z.Branch
WR
ATLReceiving yds12.5---O - / U -LowOK

Player Projections

QB Projections

J.Love
#10
GB159204.51.517.30.49.4
M.Penix
#9
ATL114196.90.916.20.25.8
C.Rush
#13
ATL22114.50.511.00.010.0
J.Strand
#18
ATL3159.00.08.00.016.0

Offense Projections

Bi.Robinson
#7
ATL15376.734.73.95.2111.40.7
J.Reed
#11
GB1407.847.03.55.054.80.5
D.London
#5
ATL2640.063.14.97.963.20.3
C.Watson
#9
GB2492.450.02.95.052.40.5
Br.Robinson
#15
ATL3241.08.01.01.049.00.0
J.Smith
#18
GB310.050.02.03.050.00.0
K.Pitts
#8
ATL480-0.144.93.65.744.90.2
T.Kraft
#85
GB4370.244.13.24.444.30.4
A.Hooper
#81
ATL5570.039.73.84.939.70.3
M.Golden
#0
GB5163.132.12.43.935.20.0
O.Zaccheaus
#14
ATL6460.229.02.13.429.20.2
M.Lloyd
#32
GB6324.03.01.01.327.00.3
B.Melton
#16
GB7303.714.21.01.917.90.1
J.Dotson
#4
ATL720.015.01.53.515.00.0
C.Brooks
#30
GB83011.05.80.81.116.80.0
Z.Branch
#17
ATL820.07.01.01.07.00.0
C.Woerner
#89
ATL9160.05.90.91.45.90.0
K.Johnson
#26
GB9216.00.00.00.016.00.0
J.Whyle
#81
GB1060.06.00.81.06.00.2
C.Blair
#19
ATL1050.04.60.41.04.60.0

Defense Projections

Z.Harrison
#96
ATL1100.81.11.27.2
B.Cox
#57
GB160.81.71.014.5
D.Wyatt
#95
GB2260.61.10.88.5
B.Dorlus
#54
ATL2110.81.01.07.6
B.Sorrell
#99
GB330.51.00.30.7
B.Bowman
#33
ATL320.81.00.510.0
L.London
#94
ATL480.60.51.16.9
X.McKinney
#29
GB440.50.80.55.0
K.Brooks
#94
GB5170.50.90.77.0
D.Deablo
#0
ATL550.20.41.02.4
L.Van Ness
#90
GB6220.41.10.85.0
J.Bates
#3
ATL680.10.50.82.0
A.Terrell
#24
ATL7140.10.11.02.1
E.Cooper
#56
GB7140.30.71.27.0
K.Nixon
#25
GB8160.20.50.95.1
M.Hughes
#21
ATL860.00.01.32.0
W.Brinson
#91
GB930.21.00.01.2
I.McDuffie
#58
GB10180.10.50.61.9