Published Pick
Fri, Sep 25, 12:15 AM UTC
ATL at GB
Model Read
The home-team number says GB wins about 50 out of 100 times. Because the pick is ATL, use the other side of that math: ATL wins about 50 out of 100 times. The +3.7 margin is written from GB's side, so it means GB by about 3.7 points. Odds +100 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.
Raw model read: Pick ATL: 50.1% win prob | margin +3.7 pts | confidence: 50.1% away | Offense diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=-3.9e+02, indoor_diff=-1; oppose fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.2, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.05 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.2, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.05; oppose altitude_ft_diff=-3.9e+02, indoor_diff=-1
Player Props
Game Prop Board
Projection Only
Player Prop Projections
Bi.Robinson RB | ATL | Anytime Td | 0.5 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
Bi.Robinson RB | ATL | Rb Rushing Tds | 0.5 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
Bi.Robinson RB | ATL | Rush yds | 77.8 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
J.Love QB | GB | Anytime Td | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
J.Love QB | GB | Qb Passing Tds | 1.9 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
J.Love QB | GB | QB pass yds | 247.5 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
J.Reed WR | GB | Anytime Td | 0.3 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | Injury Exclusion |
J.Reed WR | GB | Wrte Receiving Tds | 0.3 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | Injury Exclusion |
J.Reed WR | GB | Receiving yds | 33.3 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | Injury Exclusion |
C.Rush QB | ATL | Anytime Td | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
C.Rush QB | ATL | Qb Passing Tds | 0.6 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
C.Rush QB | ATL | QB pass yds | 141.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
C.Watson WR | GB | Anytime Td | 0.5 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
C.Watson WR | GB | Wrte Receiving Tds | 0.3 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
C.Watson WR | GB | Receiving yds | 66.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
D.London WR | ATL | Anytime Td | 0.3 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
D.London WR | ATL | Wrte Receiving Tds | 0.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
D.London WR | ATL | Receiving yds | 51.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
Br.Robinson RB | ATL | Anytime Td | 0.3 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
Br.Robinson RB | ATL | Rb Rushing Tds | 0.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
Br.Robinson RB | ATL | Rush yds | 33.7 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
J.Smith TE | GB | Anytime Td | 0.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
J.Smith TE | GB | Wrte Receiving Tds | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
J.Smith TE | GB | Receiving yds | 32.3 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
K.Pitts TE | ATL | Anytime Td | 0.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
K.Pitts TE | ATL | Wrte Receiving Tds | 0.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
K.Pitts TE | ATL | Receiving yds | 31.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
T.Kraft TE | GB | Anytime Td | 0.3 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
T.Kraft TE | GB | Wrte Receiving Tds | 0.4 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
T.Kraft TE | GB | Receiving yds | 48.0 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
A.Hooper TE | ATL | Anytime Td | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
A.Hooper TE | ATL | Wrte Receiving Tds | 0.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
A.Hooper TE | ATL | Receiving yds | 24.7 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
O.Zaccheaus WR | ATL | Anytime Td | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
O.Zaccheaus WR | ATL | Wrte Receiving Tds | 0.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
O.Zaccheaus WR | ATL | Receiving yds | 16.7 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
B.Melton WR | GB | Anytime Td | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
B.Melton WR | GB | Wrte Receiving Tds | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
B.Melton WR | GB | Receiving yds | 13.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
J.Dotson WR | ATL | Anytime Td | 0.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
J.Dotson WR | ATL | Wrte Receiving Tds | 0.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
J.Dotson WR | ATL | Receiving yds | 20.6 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
C.Brooks RB | GB | Anytime Td | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
C.Brooks RB | GB | Rb Rushing Tds | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
C.Brooks RB | GB | Rush yds | 17.7 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
C.Woerner TE | ATL | Anytime Td | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
C.Woerner TE | ATL | Wrte Receiving Tds | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
C.Woerner TE | ATL | Receiving yds | 11.4 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | OK |
J.Whyle TE | GB | Anytime Td | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | Injury Review |
J.Whyle TE | GB | Wrte Receiving Tds | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | Injury Review |
J.Whyle TE | GB | Receiving yds | 14.3 | - | - | - | O - / U - | High | Injury Review |
M.Penix QB | ATL | Anytime Td | 0.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
M.Penix QB | ATL | Qb Passing Tds | 0.8 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
M.Penix QB | ATL | QB pass yds | 135.5 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
Z.Harrison DL | ATL | Sacks | 0.5 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
B.Dorlus DL | ATL | Sacks | 0.3 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
D.Wyatt DL | GB | Sacks | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | Injury Review |
B.Bowman DB | ATL | Sacks | 0.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | Injury Review |
B.Sorrell LB | GB | Sacks | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | Injury Review |
L.London DL | ATL | Sacks | 0.3 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
X.McKinney DB | GB | Sacks | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
D.Deablo LB | ATL | Sacks | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
K.Brooks DL | GB | Sacks | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
M.Golden WR | GB | Anytime Td | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
M.Golden WR | GB | Wrte Receiving Tds | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
M.Golden WR | GB | Receiving yds | 42.7 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
J.Bates DB | ATL | Sacks | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
L.Van Ness LB | GB | Sacks | 0.4 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | Injury Review |
A.Terrell DB | ATL | Sacks | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | Roster Exclusion |
E.Cooper LB | GB | Sacks | 0.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | Injury Review |
K.Nixon DB | GB | Sacks | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
M.Hughes DB | ATL | Sacks | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
K.Johnson RB | GB | Anytime Td | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
K.Johnson RB | GB | Rb Rushing Tds | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
K.Johnson RB | GB | Rush yds | 18.4 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
W.Brinson DL | GB | Sacks | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | Injury Exclusion |
C.Blair WR | ATL | Anytime Td | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
C.Blair WR | ATL | Wrte Receiving Tds | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
C.Blair WR | ATL | Receiving yds | 11.5 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
I.McDuffie LB | GB | Sacks | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Medium | OK |
B.Cox LB | GB | Sacks | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Low | OK |
J.Strand QB | ATL | Anytime Td | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Low | OK |
J.Strand QB | ATL | Qb Passing Tds | 0.3 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Low | OK |
J.Strand QB | ATL | QB pass yds | 123.0 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Low | OK |
M.Lloyd RB | GB | Anytime Td | 0.2 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Low | OK |
M.Lloyd RB | GB | Rb Rushing Tds | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Low | OK |
M.Lloyd RB | GB | Rush yds | 29.6 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Low | OK |
Z.Branch WR | ATL | Anytime Td | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Low | OK |
Z.Branch WR | ATL | Wrte Receiving Tds | 0.1 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Low | OK |
Z.Branch WR | ATL | Receiving yds | 12.5 | - | - | - | O - / U - | Low | OK |
Player Projections
QB Projections
J.Love #10 | GB | 1 | 59 | 204.5 | 1.5 | 17.3 | 0.4 | 9.4 |
M.Penix #9 | ATL | 1 | 14 | 196.9 | 0.9 | 16.2 | 0.2 | 5.8 |
C.Rush #13 | ATL | 2 | 2 | 114.5 | 0.5 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 |
J.Strand #18 | ATL | 3 | 1 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 |
Offense Projections
Bi.Robinson #7 | ATL | 1 | 53 | 76.7 | 34.7 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 111.4 | 0.7 |
J.Reed #11 | GB | 1 | 40 | 7.8 | 47.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 54.8 | 0.5 |
D.London #5 | ATL | 2 | 64 | 0.0 | 63.1 | 4.9 | 7.9 | 63.2 | 0.3 |
C.Watson #9 | GB | 2 | 49 | 2.4 | 50.0 | 2.9 | 5.0 | 52.4 | 0.5 |
Br.Robinson #15 | ATL | 3 | 2 | 41.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 49.0 | 0.0 |
J.Smith #18 | GB | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 |
K.Pitts #8 | ATL | 4 | 80 | -0.1 | 44.9 | 3.6 | 5.7 | 44.9 | 0.2 |
T.Kraft #85 | GB | 4 | 37 | 0.2 | 44.1 | 3.2 | 4.4 | 44.3 | 0.4 |
A.Hooper #81 | ATL | 5 | 57 | 0.0 | 39.7 | 3.8 | 4.9 | 39.7 | 0.3 |
M.Golden #0 | GB | 5 | 16 | 3.1 | 32.1 | 2.4 | 3.9 | 35.2 | 0.0 |
O.Zaccheaus #14 | ATL | 6 | 46 | 0.2 | 29.0 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 29.2 | 0.2 |
M.Lloyd #32 | GB | 6 | 3 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 27.0 | 0.3 |
B.Melton #16 | GB | 7 | 30 | 3.7 | 14.2 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 17.9 | 0.1 |
J.Dotson #4 | ATL | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 15.0 | 0.0 |
C.Brooks #30 | GB | 8 | 30 | 11.0 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 16.8 | 0.0 |
Z.Branch #17 | ATL | 8 | 2 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
C.Woerner #89 | ATL | 9 | 16 | 0.0 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 0.0 |
K.Johnson #26 | GB | 9 | 2 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 0.0 |
J.Whyle #81 | GB | 10 | 6 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.2 |
C.Blair #19 | ATL | 10 | 5 | 0.0 | 4.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
Defense Projections
Z.Harrison #96 | ATL | 1 | 10 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 7.2 |
B.Cox #57 | GB | 1 | 6 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 14.5 |
D.Wyatt #95 | GB | 2 | 26 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 8.5 |
B.Dorlus #54 | ATL | 2 | 11 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.6 |
B.Sorrell #99 | GB | 3 | 3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
B.Bowman #33 | ATL | 3 | 2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 10.0 |
L.London #94 | ATL | 4 | 8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 6.9 |
X.McKinney #29 | GB | 4 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 5.0 |
K.Brooks #94 | GB | 5 | 17 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7.0 |
D.Deablo #0 | ATL | 5 | 5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.4 |
L.Van Ness #90 | GB | 6 | 22 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 5.0 |
J.Bates #3 | ATL | 6 | 8 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.0 |
A.Terrell #24 | ATL | 7 | 14 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.1 |
E.Cooper #56 | GB | 7 | 14 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 7.0 |
K.Nixon #25 | GB | 8 | 16 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 5.1 |
M.Hughes #21 | ATL | 8 | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 |
W.Brinson #91 | GB | 9 | 3 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 |
I.McDuffie #58 | GB | 10 | 18 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.9 |