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2026 Archive

Week 4 NFL Picks

Archived model output from this prediction snapshot.

Generated Oct 5, 2026, 2:37 PM
ATL at NO
Oct 6, 12:15 AM UTC
PickATL
Confidence47.9%
Margin+1.7 home
Odds+109
ReadPick ATL: 52.1% win prob; margin +1.7 pts

Player Props

Bettable Prop Edges

D.London
WR
ATL vs NOATLReceiving yds66.579.5-13.0fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
T.Shough
QB
NO vs ATLNOQB pass yds271.2261.5+9.7draftkingsO -112 / U -112MediumOK
O.Zaccheaus
WR
ATL vs NOATLReceiving yds16.87.5+9.3fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
A.Hooper
TE
ATL vs NOATLReceiving yds19.810.5+9.3fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
A.Kamara
RB
NO vs ATLNORush yds28.337.5-9.2fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
Z.Branch
WR
ATL vs NOATLReceiving yds12.03.5+8.5draftkingsO -112 / U -112LowOK
N.Fant
TE
NO vs ATLNOReceiving yds24.516.5+8.0fanduelO -113 / U -113HighInjury Review
K.Pitts
TE
ATL vs NOATLReceiving yds23.529.5-6.0fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
M.Penix
QB
ATL vs NOATLQB pass yds231.2225.5+5.7hardrockO -115 / U -115MediumOK
C.Olave
WR
NO vs ATLNOReceiving yds90.785.5+5.2hardrockO -115 / U -115HighInjury Review
Bi.Robinson
RB
ATL vs NOATLRush yds84.487.5-3.1fanduelO -113 / U -113HighInjury Review
B.Lance
WR
NO vs ATLNOReceiving yds17.314.5+2.8fanduelO -113 / U -113LowOK
D.Vele
WR
NO vs ATLNOReceiving yds43.544.5-1.0fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
J.Johnson
TE
NO vs ATLNOReceiving yds42.541.5+1.0hardrockO -115 / U -115HighOK
K.Miller
RB
NO vs ATLNORush yds22.523.5-1.0fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
N.Shepherd
DL
NO vs ATLNOSacks0.11.0-0.9fanduelO +350 / U -MediumInjury Review
B.Dorlus
DL
ATL vs NOATLSacks0.41.0-0.6draftkingsO +426 / U -MediumOK
J.Dotson
WR
ATL vs NOATLReceiving yds20.119.5+0.6fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
C.Jordan
LB
NO vs ATLNOSacks0.51.0-0.5draftkingsO +375 / U -MediumOK
M.Penix
QB
ATL vs NOATLQb Passing Tds1.01.5-0.5fanduelO +102 / U -132MediumOK
C.Woerner
TE
ATL vs NOATLAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +2500 / U -HighOK
K.Austin
WR
NO vs ATLNOAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1100 / U -MediumOK
C.Blair
WR
ATL vs NOATLAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1400 / U -MediumOK
Z.Branch
WR
ATL vs NOATLAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1100 / U -LowOK
B.Lance
WR
NO vs ATLNOAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +475 / U -LowOK
O.Delp
TE
NO vs ATLNOAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1100 / U -LowOK
M.Penix
QB
ATL vs NOATLAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1000 / U -MediumOK
O.Zaccheaus
WR
ATL vs NOATLAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +750 / U -HighOK
J.Dotson
WR
ATL vs NOATLAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +425 / U -HighOK
K.Pitts
TE
ATL vs NOATLAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +330 / U -HighOK
Br.Robinson
RB
ATL vs NOATLRush yds29.829.5+0.3hardrockO -115 / U -115HighOK
K.Miller
RB
NO vs ATLNOAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +265 / U -HighOK
D.London
WR
ATL vs NOATLAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +110 / U -HighOK
A.Hooper
TE
ATL vs NOATLAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +700 / U -HighOK
T.Shough
QB
NO vs ATLNOAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +285 / U -MediumOK
N.Fant
TE
NO vs ATLNOAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +550 / U -HighInjury Review
D.Vele
WR
NO vs ATLNOAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +245 / U -HighOK
Br.Robinson
RB
ATL vs NOATLAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +360 / U -HighOK
T.Shough
QB
NO vs ATLNOQb Passing Tds1.31.5-0.2draftkingsO -127 / U -101MediumOK
C.Olave
WR
NO vs ATLNOAnytime Td0.40.5-0.1draftkingsO +125 / U -HighInjury Review
A.Kamara
RB
NO vs ATLNOAnytime Td0.40.5-0.1draftkingsO +140 / U -HighOK
C.Young
LB
NO vs ATLNOSacks0.60.8-0.1draftkingsO -113 / U -112MediumOK
J.Johnson
TE
NO vs ATLNOAnytime Td0.40.5-0.1draftkingsO +260 / U -HighOK
Bi.Robinson
RB
ATL vs NOATLAnytime Td0.50.5-0.0draftkingsO -200 / U -HighInjury Review

Player Projections

QB Projections

M.Penix
#9
2026_04_ATL_NOATL115200.90.916.30.25.3
T.Shough
#6
2026_04_ATL_NONO114235.81.322.30.018.1
S.Rattler
#2
2026_04_ATL_NONO216181.40.819.00.319.6
C.Rush
#13
2026_04_ATL_NOATL22114.50.511.00.010.0
J.Strand
#18
2026_04_ATL_NOATL3159.00.08.00.016.0

Offense Projections

A.Kamara
#41
2026_04_ATL_NONO112857.038.84.86.095.80.7
Bi.Robinson
#7
2026_04_ATL_NOATL15478.934.43.95.1113.20.7
D.London
#5
2026_04_ATL_NOATL2650.065.25.07.965.20.3
C.Olave
#12
2026_04_ATL_NONO2580.170.75.58.570.80.3
Br.Robinson
#15
2026_04_ATL_NOATL3344.05.30.70.749.30.3
T.Etienne
#3
2026_04_ATL_NONO3342.717.03.74.359.70.0
K.Pitts
#8
2026_04_ATL_NOATL4810.044.43.55.644.40.2
D.Vele
#14
2026_04_ATL_NONO4120.038.83.35.138.80.3
J.Johnson
#83
2026_04_ATL_NONO5810.033.12.94.233.10.3
A.Hooper
#81
2026_04_ATL_NOATL5580.039.23.84.939.20.3
O.Zaccheaus
#14
2026_04_ATL_NOATL6470.228.62.13.328.80.2
K.Miller
#5
2026_04_ATL_NONO62224.68.41.01.233.00.2
J.Dotson
#4
2026_04_ATL_NOATL730.013.71.33.313.70.0
N.Fant
#87
2026_04_ATL_NONO730.022.02.74.022.01.0
K.Austin
#81
2026_04_ATL_NONO8140.621.31.83.321.90.1
Z.Branch
#17
2026_04_ATL_NOATL830.07.01.01.37.00.0
C.Woerner
#89
2026_04_ATL_NOATL9160.05.90.91.45.90.0
B.Lance
#18
2026_04_ATL_NONO930.016.71.32.716.70.0
C.Blair
#19
2026_04_ATL_NOATL1060.03.80.30.83.80.0
O.Delp
#4
2026_04_ATL_NONO1010.08.01.01.08.00.0

Defense Projections

C.Jordan
#94
2026_04_ATL_NONO11680.81.51.010.6
Z.Harrison
#96
2026_04_ATL_NOATL1100.81.11.27.2
C.Young
#99
2026_04_ATL_NONO2210.71.70.911.1
B.Dorlus
#54
2026_04_ATL_NOATL2110.81.01.07.6
I.Stalbird
#44
2026_04_ATL_NONO330.71.00.710.0
B.Bowman
#33
2026_04_ATL_NOATL320.81.00.510.0
C.Granderson
#96
2026_04_ATL_NONO4530.71.31.09.1
L.London
#94
2026_04_ATL_NOATL480.60.51.16.9
D.Deablo
#0
2026_04_ATL_NOATL550.20.41.02.4
C.Rumph
#58
2026_04_ATL_NONO550.40.80.65.0
N.Shepherd
#93
2026_04_ATL_NONO6210.41.30.55.5
J.Bates
#3
2026_04_ATL_NOATL680.10.50.82.0
A.Terrell
#24
2026_04_ATL_NOATL7140.10.11.02.1
J.Howden
#31
2026_04_ATL_NONO740.30.30.54.0
M.Hughes
#21
2026_04_ATL_NOATL860.00.01.32.0
J.Reid
#21
2026_04_ATL_NONO830.20.30.72.8
P.Werner
#20
2026_04_ATL_NONO9190.10.30.92.4
K.Boyd
#97
2026_04_ATL_NONO1010.01.00.00.0