Matty The Bookie
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Published Pick

Sun, Oct 11, 5:00 PM UTC

NYG at WAS

Pick
WAS
Confidence
62.8%
Margin
+3.0
Odds
-169

Model Read

The model says WAS wins about 63 out of 100 times, so the pick and the home-team number are the same side. The +3.0 margin is written from WAS's side, so it means WAS by about 3.0 points. Odds -169 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick WAS: 62.8% win prob | margin +3.0 pts | confidence: 62.8% home | Offense diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=+64; oppose fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.2, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.1 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.2, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.1; oppose altitude_ft_diff=+64

Player Props

Game Prop Board

J.Winston
QB
NYGQB pass yds231.0200.5+30.5fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
R.White
RB
WASRush yds40.320.5+19.8draftkingsO -112 / U -112HighInjury Review
M.Fields
WR
NYGReceiving yds38.225.5+12.7fanduelO -113 / U -113LowOK
T.McLaurin
WR
WASReceiving yds50.940.5+10.4fanduelO -113 / U -113HighInjury Review
J.Daniels
QB
WASQB pass yds203.7193.5+10.2fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGRush yds50.460.5-10.1hardrockO -115 / U -115MediumOK
A.Williams
WR
WASReceiving yds31.235.5-4.3fanduelO -113 / U -113LowOK
N.Harris
RB
NYGRush yds32.528.5+4.0draftkingsO -112 / U -112HighOK
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
WASRush yds42.045.5-3.5hardrockO -115 / U -115HighOK
I.Likely
TE
NYGReceiving yds38.441.5-3.1fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
M.Nabers
WR
NYGReceiving yds57.054.5+2.5hardrockO -115 / U -115HighOK
Shelby Harris
DL
NYGSacks0.11.0-0.9draftkingsO +496 / U -HighOK
Arvell Reese
LB
NYGSacks0.11.0-0.9fanduelO +310 / U -LowOK
J.Kinlaw
DL
WASSacks0.11.0-0.9draftkingsO +268 / U -HighOK
D.Payne
DL
WASSacks0.11.0-0.9draftkingsO +431 / U -MediumOK
F.Luvu
LB
WASSacks0.21.0-0.8fanduelO +310 / U -MediumOK
Sonny Styles
LB
WASSacks0.21.0-0.8fanduelO +350 / U -LowOK
A.Ekeler
RB
WASThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +20000 / U -HighOK
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +6000 / U -MediumOK
A.Williams
WR
WASThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +50000 / U -LowOK
M.Fields
WR
NYGThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +50000 / U -LowOK
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
WASThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +10000 / U -HighOK
J.Daniels
QB
WASThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +20000 / U -HighOK
M.Nabers
WR
NYGThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +17500 / U -HighOK
T.Johnson
TE
NYGThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +25000 / U -HighOK
J.Daniels
QB
WASQb Passing Tds1.01.5-0.5fanduelO +132 / U -174HighOK
J.Winston
QB
NYGThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +25000 / U -HighOK
T.McLaurin
WR
WASThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +20000 / U -HighInjury Review
I.Likely
TE
NYGThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +22500 / U -HighOK
R.White
RB
WASThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +12500 / U -HighInjury Review
D.Brown
WR
WASThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +50000 / U -HighOK
T.Burks
WR
WASThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +20000 / U -HighOK
N.Harris
RB
NYGThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +50000 / U -HighOK
L.McCaffrey
WR
WASTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +20000 / U -HighOK
J.Winston
QB
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +22500 / U -HighOK
T.Burks
WR
WASTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +7000 / U -HighOK
A.Williams
WR
WASTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +4500 / U -LowOK
M.Fields
WR
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +6000 / U -LowOK
D.Brown
WR
WASTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +6500 / U -HighOK
T.Tracy
RB
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +20000 / U -HighOK
J.Daniels
QB
WASTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +2000 / U -HighOK
T.McLaurin
WR
WASTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2200 / U -HighInjury Review
N.Harris
RB
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +4500 / U -HighOK
I.Likely
TE
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +2500 / U -HighOK
T.Johnson
TE
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +12500 / U -HighOK
R.White
RB
WASTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +1900 / U -HighInjury Review
J.Winston
QB
NYGFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +5000 / U -HighOK
D.Brown
WR
WASFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2200 / U -HighOK
T.Burks
WR
WASFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2000 / U -HighOK
L.McCaffrey
WR
WASFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +7000 / U -HighOK
A.Williams
WR
WASFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1600 / U -LowOK
M.Fields
WR
NYGFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2200 / U -LowOK
J.Winston
QB
NYGLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -10000 / U -HighOK
T.Burks
WR
WASLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +1750 / U -HighOK
T.Johnson
TE
NYGLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -9000 / U -HighOK
J.Daniels
QB
WASLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +900 / U -HighOK
M.Fields
WR
NYGLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +2000 / U -LowOK
D.Brown
WR
WASLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -6000 / U -HighOK
A.Williams
WR
WASLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +1600 / U -LowOK
I.Likely
TE
NYGLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +900 / U -HighOK
J.Daniels
QB
WASFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1100 / U -HighOK
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
WASLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -2500 / U -HighOK
A.Ekeler
RB
WASLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -7000 / U -HighOK
T.McLaurin
WR
WASLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -3000 / U -HighInjury Review
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
WASTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +1300 / U -HighOK
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +950 / U -MediumOK
T.Tracy
RB
NYGLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -9000 / U -HighOK
N.Harris
RB
NYGLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -6000 / U -HighOK
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -1800 / U -MediumOK
R.White
RB
WASLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -3000 / U -HighInjury Review
T.Tracy
RB
NYGFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +4500 / U -HighOK
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +650 / U -MediumOK
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
WASFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +750 / U -HighOK
M.Nabers
WR
NYGLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +850 / U -HighOK
A.Ekeler
RB
WASTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +8000 / U -HighOK
T.Johnson
TE
NYGFirst Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +4000 / U -HighOK
T.McLaurin
WR
WASFirst Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1100 / U -HighInjury Review
R.White
RB
WASFirst Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1000 / U -HighInjury Review
A.Ekeler
RB
WASFirst Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +2800 / U -HighOK
N.Harris
RB
NYGFirst Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +2000 / U -HighOK
M.Nabers
WR
NYGFirst Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1100 / U -HighOK
M.Nabers
WR
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +2000 / U -HighOK
I.Likely
TE
NYGFirst Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1300 / U -HighOK
D.Armstrong
LB
WASSacks0.61.0-0.4draftkingsO +354 / U -MediumOK
J.Winston
QB
NYGQb Passing Tds1.11.5-0.4draftkingsO +168 / U -217HighOK
J.Winston
QB
NYGAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1000 / U -HighOK
D.Brown
WR
WASWrte Receiving Tds0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +500 / U -HighFallback Line
D.Brown
WR
WASAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +500 / U -HighOK
L.McCaffrey
WR
WASAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +2200 / U -HighOK
L.McCaffrey
WR
WASWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +2200 / U -HighFallback Line
T.Tracy
RB
NYGRb Rushing Tds0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +900 / U -HighFallback Line
T.Burks
WR
WASWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +480 / U -HighFallback Line
A.Williams
WR
WASWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +380 / U -LowFallback Line
T.Burks
WR
WASAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +480 / U -HighOK
M.Fields
WR
NYGWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +480 / U -LowFallback Line
T.Johnson
TE
NYGWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +950 / U -HighFallback Line
R.White
RB
WASRb Rushing Tds0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +220 / U -HighInjury Review
A.Williams
WR
WASAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +380 / U -LowOK
M.Fields
WR
NYGAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +480 / U -LowOK
T.Tracy
RB
NYGAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +900 / U -HighOK
K'Lavon Chaisson
LB
WASSacks0.50.3+0.3draftkingsO +116 / U -146MediumInjury Review
T.Johnson
TE
NYGAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +950 / U -HighOK
J.Daniels
QB
WASAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +235 / U -HighOK
A.Ekeler
RB
WASRb Rushing Tds0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +650 / U -HighFallback Line
I.Likely
TE
NYGAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +250 / U -HighOK
I.Likely
TE
NYGWrte Receiving Tds0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +250 / U -HighFallback Line
Odafe Oweh
LB
WASSacks0.50.3+0.2draftkingsO +150 / U -191HighInjury Review
T.McLaurin
WR
WASWrte Receiving Tds0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +240 / U -HighInjury Review
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
WASAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +170 / U -HighOK
M.Nabers
WR
NYGWrte Receiving Tds0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +230 / U -HighFallback Line
M.Nabers
WR
NYGAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +230 / U -HighOK
N.Harris
RB
NYGRb Rushing Tds0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +425 / U -HighFallback Line
T.McLaurin
WR
WASAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +240 / U -HighInjury Review
R.White
RB
WASAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +220 / U -HighInjury Review
N.Harris
RB
NYGAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +425 / U -HighOK
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
WASRb Rushing Tds0.40.5-0.1fanduelO +170 / U -HighFallback Line
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGRb Rushing Tds0.40.5-0.1fanduelO +130 / U -MediumFallback Line
K.Thibodeaux
LB
NYGSacks0.10.3-0.1draftkingsO +149 / U -190MediumOK
A.Ekeler
RB
WASAnytime Td0.40.5-0.1fanduelO +650 / U -HighOK
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGAnytime Td0.40.5-0.1fanduelO +130 / U -MediumOK
A.Carter
LB
NYGSacks0.20.3-0.1draftkingsO +106 / U -134MediumOK

Projection Only

Player Prop Projections

B.Burns
LB
NYGSacks0.2---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
O.Beckham
WR
NYGAnytime Td0.3---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
O.Beckham
WR
NYGFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
O.Beckham
WR
NYGLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
O.Beckham
WR
NYGThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
O.Beckham
WR
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
O.Beckham
WR
NYGWrte Receiving Tds0.2---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
O.Beckham
WR
NYGReceiving yds20.1---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
S.Diggs
WR
WASAnytime Td0.4---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
S.Diggs
WR
WASFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
S.Diggs
WR
WASLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
S.Diggs
WR
WASThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
S.Diggs
WR
WASTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
S.Diggs
WR
WASWrte Receiving Tds0.4---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
S.Diggs
WR
WASReceiving yds48.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
A.Ekeler
RB
WASRush yds31.6---O - / U -HighOK
M.Mariota
QB
WASAnytime Td0.2---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
M.Mariota
QB
WASFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
M.Mariota
QB
WASLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
M.Mariota
QB
WASQb Passing Tds1.2---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
M.Mariota
QB
WASQB pass yds171.2---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
M.Mariota
QB
WASThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
M.Mariota
QB
WASTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
T.Tracy
RB
NYGRush yds15.9---O - / U -HighOK
T.Tracy
RB
NYGThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
D.Slayton
WR
NYGAnytime Td0.2---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
D.Slayton
WR
NYGFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
D.Slayton
WR
NYGLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
D.Slayton
WR
NYGThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
D.Slayton
WR
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
D.Slayton
WR
NYGWrte Receiving Tds0.2---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
D.Slayton
WR
NYGReceiving yds32.4---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
J.Reaves
DB
WASSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
D.Brown
WR
WASReceiving yds24.5---O - / U -HighOK
D.Singletary
RB
NYGAnytime Td0.3---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
D.Singletary
RB
NYGFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
D.Singletary
RB
NYGLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
D.Singletary
RB
NYGRb Rushing Tds0.2---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
D.Singletary
RB
NYGRush yds18.7---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
D.Singletary
RB
NYGThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
D.Singletary
RB
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
J.Martin
DB
WASSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
A.Phillips
DB
NYGSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
T.Burks
WR
WASReceiving yds24.8---O - / U -HighOK
L.McCaffrey
WR
WASLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
L.McCaffrey
WR
WASThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
L.McCaffrey
WR
WASReceiving yds12.7---O - / U -HighOK
T.Johnson
TE
NYGReceiving yds19.1---O - / U -HighOK
M.Sainristil
DB
WASSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
D.Alexander
DL
NYGSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
J.Dart
QB
NYGAnytime Td0.4---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Dart
QB
NYGFirst Td0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Dart
QB
NYGLast Td0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Dart
QB
NYGQb Passing Tds1.1---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Dart
QB
NYGQB pass yds133.8---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Dart
QB
NYGThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Dart
QB
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.1---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Jean-Baptiste
LB
WASSacks0.2---O - / U -MediumOK
Z.Barnes
LB
NYGSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
C.Golston
DL
NYGSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
D.Banks
DB
NYGSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
T.Nubin
DB
NYGSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
R.Barber
DL
WASSacks0.2---O - / U -LowOK
A.Kaliakmanis
QB
WASAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -LowOK
A.Kaliakmanis
QB
WASFirst Td0.0---O - / U -LowOK
A.Kaliakmanis
QB
WASLast Td0.0---O - / U -LowOK
A.Kaliakmanis
QB
WASQb Passing Tds0.7---O - / U -LowOK
A.Kaliakmanis
QB
WASQB pass yds186.7---O - / U -LowOK
A.Kaliakmanis
QB
WASThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -LowOK
A.Kaliakmanis
QB
WASTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -LowOK
M.McFadden
LB
NYGSacks0.1---O - / U -LowOK
D.Wise
DL
WASSacks0.1---O - / U -LowInjury Review
K.Allen
RB
WASAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -LowRoster Mismatch
K.Allen
RB
WASFirst Td0.0---O - / U -LowRoster Mismatch
K.Allen
RB
WASLast Td0.0---O - / U -LowRoster Mismatch
K.Allen
RB
WASRb Rushing Tds0.1---O - / U -LowRoster Mismatch
K.Allen
RB
WASRush yds19.2---O - / U -LowRoster Mismatch
K.Allen
RB
WASThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -LowRoster Mismatch
K.Allen
RB
WASTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -LowRoster Mismatch

Player Projections

QB Projections

J.Daniels
#5
WAS126195.81.418.20.348.8
J.Winston
#19
NYG16174.30.813.30.06.3
J.Dart
#6
NYG216157.61.115.10.033.8
A.Kaliakmanis
#16
WAS21186.01.015.00.016.0
M.Mariota
#8
WAS316149.91.112.90.027.4

Offense Projections

O.Beckham
#9
NYG1601.291.36.510.492.50.7
S.Diggs
#3
WAS140.085.09.015.585.01.5
T.McLaurin
#17
WAS21100.764.64.67.365.20.4
C.Skattebo
#44
NYG21253.822.82.73.476.60.7
M.Nabers
#1
NYG3230.173.26.310.073.30.4
A.Ekeler
#30
WAS31529.327.72.73.356.90.3
T.Tracy
#29
NYG43644.315.92.12.860.20.3
J.Croskey-Merritt
#22
WAS42145.85.10.70.951.00.4
I.Likely
#9
NYG540.047.55.58.847.50.5
R.White
#1
WAS5333.317.03.03.050.30.3
D.Slayton
#11
NYG61030.043.12.95.143.10.2
A.Williams
#14
WAS640.031.03.04.831.00.3
D.Brown
#6
WAS7480.818.11.42.418.90.1
D.Singletary
#26
NYG73426.48.61.31.435.00.3
T.Burks
#13
WAS8110.017.31.22.517.30.3
M.Fields
#88
NYG840.031.52.03.831.50.3
T.Johnson
#84
NYG9280.031.42.74.431.40.3
L.McCaffrey
#11
WAS9220.016.91.31.816.90.1
N.Harris
#23
NYG10329.30.00.00.029.30.0
K.Allen
#31
WAS10313.70.00.00.013.70.0

Defense Projections

B.Burns
#0
NYG1290.91.71.315.5
R.Barber
#50
WAS111.01.01.012.0
F.Luvu
#4
WAS2160.71.31.18.8
D.Alexander
#91
NYG250.71.20.810.5
K.Thibodeaux
#5
NYG3380.61.40.89.3
J.Jean-Baptiste
#41
WAS330.71.00.74.7
D.Armstrong
#92
WAS4180.61.20.86.9
Z.Barnes
#46
NYG420.50.51.05.5
D.Payne
#94
WAS5740.51.10.97.2
A.Carter
#3
NYG5110.42.10.65.0
J.Reaves
#39
WAS680.30.50.92.8
C.Golston
#57
NYG630.30.31.78.3
M.McFadden
#41
NYG7220.30.71.24.7
J.Martin
#20
WAS780.10.50.52.4
A.Phillips
#22
NYG8130.10.11.13.2
D.Wise
#91
WAS810.01.01.02.0
J.Kinlaw
#99
WAS960.00.50.81.0
D.Banks
#2
NYG940.00.01.31.8
T.Nubin
#27
NYG10100.00.01.12.5
M.Sainristil
#0
WAS1020.00.01.02.5