Matty The Bookie
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Published Pick

Sun, Oct 25, 8:25 PM UTC

GB at DET

Pick
DET
Confidence
60.7%
Margin
+4.1
Odds
-154

Model Read

The model says DET wins about 61 out of 100 times, so the pick and the home-team number are the same side. The +4.1 margin is written from DET's side, so it means DET by about 4.1 points. Odds -154 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick DET: 60.7% win prob | margin +4.1 pts | confidence: 60.7% home | Offense diffs: favor indoor_diff=+1, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.1; oppose altitude_ft_diff=-40, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.1 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=-40, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.1; oppose indoor_diff=+1, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.1

Player Props

Game Prop Board

M.Golden
WR
GBReceiving yds56.173.5-17.4fanduelO -114 / U -114HighInjury Review
P.Strong
RB
GBRush yds23.27.5+15.7fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
J.Goff
QB
DETQB pass yds265.5278.5-13.0fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
M.Lloyd
RB
GBRush yds23.110.5+12.6fanduelO -114 / U -114MediumOK
S.LaPorta
TE
DETReceiving yds62.049.5+12.5fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
A.St. Brown
WR
DETReceiving yds71.778.5-6.8fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
J.Williams
WR
DETReceiving yds47.954.5-6.6fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
T.Kraft
TE
GBReceiving yds46.349.5-3.2fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
I.TeSlaa
WR
DETReceiving yds27.424.5+2.9fanduelO -114 / U -114MediumOK
J.Love
QB
GBQB pass yds284.3281.5+2.8draftkingsO -112 / U -112HighOK
J.Gibbs
RB
DETRush yds95.993.5+2.4fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
C.Watson
WR
GBReceiving yds74.175.5-1.4fanduelO -114 / U -114HighInjury Review
S.Vaki
RB
DETRush yds9.58.5+1.0fanduelO -114 / U -114MediumOK
M.Lloyd
RB
GBThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +22500 / U -MediumOK
M.Golden
WR
GBThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +8000 / U -HighInjury Review
I.TeSlaa
WR
DETThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +40000 / U -MediumOK
S.Vaki
RB
DETThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +20000 / U -MediumOK
J.Goff
QB
DETThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +25000 / U -HighOK
J.Williams
WR
DETThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +10000 / U -HighOK
T.Kraft
TE
GBThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +10000 / U -HighOK
P.Strong
RB
GBThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +25000 / U -HighOK
S.LaPorta
TE
DETThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +10000 / U -HighOK
A.St. Brown
WR
DETThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +3000 / U -HighOK
J.Goff
QB
DETTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +12500 / U -HighOK
J.Smith
TE
GBTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +20000 / U -HighOK
M.Redman
TE
GBTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +15000 / U -LowOK
P.Strong
RB
GBTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +3500 / U -HighOK
J.Meeks
TE
DETTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +40000 / U -LowOK
I.TeSlaa
WR
DETTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +4500 / U -MediumOK
S.Vaki
RB
DETTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +15000 / U -MediumOK
J.Saylors
RB
DETTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +20000 / U -MediumOK
J.Williams
WR
DETTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1600 / U -HighOK
J.Goff
QB
DETFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +6000 / U -HighOK
B.Wright
TE
DETTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +12500 / U -HighOK
M.Lloyd
RB
GBTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +3500 / U -MediumOK
J.Love
QB
GBTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +12500 / U -HighOK
M.Golden
WR
GBTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1200 / U -HighInjury Review
C.Watson
WR
GBThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +6000 / U -HighInjury Review
P.Strong
RB
GBFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2500 / U -HighOK
M.Redman
TE
GBFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +5000 / U -LowOK
B.Wright
TE
DETFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +4000 / U -HighOK
S.Vaki
RB
DETFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +5000 / U -MediumOK
J.Saylors
RB
DETFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +12000 / U -MediumOK
J.Meeks
TE
DETFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +12000 / U -LowOK
T.Kraft
TE
GBTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1400 / U -HighOK
J.Williams
WR
DETFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1300 / U -HighOK
S.LaPorta
TE
DETTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1300 / U -HighOK
J.Smith
TE
GBFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +5500 / U -HighOK
P.Strong
RB
GBLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +1750 / U -HighOK
M.Redman
TE
GBLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -10000 / U -LowOK
S.LaPorta
TE
DETLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -4000 / U -HighOK
J.Goff
QB
DETLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -10000 / U -HighOK
J.Love
QB
GBLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -10000 / U -HighOK
M.Golden
WR
GBLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -3000 / U -HighInjury Review
T.Kraft
TE
GBLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +1000 / U -HighOK
M.Lloyd
RB
GBLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +2000 / U -MediumOK
S.Vaki
RB
DETLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -15000 / U -MediumOK
J.Love
QB
GBFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +6000 / U -HighOK
M.Golden
WR
GBFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1300 / U -HighInjury Review
M.Lloyd
RB
GBFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2500 / U -MediumOK
C.Watson
WR
GBFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1100 / U -HighInjury Review
A.St. Brown
WR
DETTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +500 / U -HighOK
I.TeSlaa
WR
DETFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +2500 / U -MediumOK
J.Smith
TE
GBLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -10000 / U -HighOK
A.St. Brown
WR
DETFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +600 / U -HighOK
I.TeSlaa
WR
DETLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -8000 / U -MediumOK
J.Williams
WR
DETLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +1300 / U -HighOK
C.Watson
WR
GBLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +800 / U -HighInjury Review
T.Kraft
TE
GBFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1400 / U -HighOK
C.Watson
WR
GBTwo Plus Tds0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +1000 / U -HighInjury Review
J.Gibbs
RB
DETThree Plus Tds0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +700 / U -HighOK
S.LaPorta
TE
DETFirst Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1100 / U -HighOK
A.St. Brown
WR
DETLast Td0.10.5-0.4hardrockO +575 / U -HighOK
J.Gibbs
RB
DETLast Td0.10.5-0.4hardrockO -650 / U -HighOK
J.Gibbs
RB
DETFirst Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +290 / U -HighOK
P.Strong
RB
GBRb Rushing Tds0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +370 / U -HighFallback Line
S.Vaki
RB
DETRb Rushing Tds0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +1000 / U -MediumFallback Line
J.Saylors
RB
DETRb Rushing Tds0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +3300 / U -MediumFallback Line
J.Goff
QB
DETQb Passing Tds2.12.5-0.4draftkingsO +159 / U -204HighOK
J.Gibbs
RB
DETTwo Plus Tds0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +160 / U -HighOK
M.Redman
TE
GBWrte Receiving Tds0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +900 / U -LowFallback Line
J.Meeks
TE
DETWrte Receiving Tds0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +2500 / U -LowFallback Line
S.Vaki
RB
DETAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +1000 / U -MediumOK
J.Saylors
RB
DETAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +3300 / U -MediumOK
P.Strong
RB
GBAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +370 / U -HighOK
J.Meeks
TE
DETAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +2500 / U -LowOK
M.Redman
TE
GBAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +900 / U -LowOK
J.Goff
QB
DETAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +1000 / U -HighOK
J.Love
QB
GBAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +800 / U -HighOK
B.Wright
TE
DETWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +750 / U -HighFallback Line
J.Smith
TE
GBWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +950 / U -HighFallback Line
J.Smith
TE
GBAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +950 / U -HighOK
B.Wright
TE
DETAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +750 / U -HighOK
J.Gibbs
RB
DETRb Rushing Tds0.80.5+0.3hardrockO +230 / U -HighFallback Line
M.Golden
WR
GBAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +160 / U -HighInjury Review
I.TeSlaa
WR
DETWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +410 / U -MediumFallback Line
M.Golden
WR
GBWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +160 / U -HighInjury Review
I.TeSlaa
WR
DETAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +410 / U -MediumOK
J.Love
QB
GBQb Passing Tds1.71.5+0.2fanduelO -180 / U +134HighOK
J.Williams
WR
DETWrte Receiving Tds0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +200 / U -HighFallback Line
M.Lloyd
RB
GBAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +390 / U -MediumOK
M.Lloyd
RB
GBRb Rushing Tds0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +390 / U -MediumFallback Line
T.Kraft
TE
GBAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +175 / U -HighOK
T.Kraft
TE
GBWrte Receiving Tds0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +175 / U -HighFallback Line
J.Gibbs
RB
DETAnytime Td0.70.5+0.2hardrockO +230 / U -HighOK
J.Williams
WR
DETAnytime Td0.40.5-0.1draftkingsO +200 / U -HighOK
C.Watson
WR
GBWrte Receiving Tds0.40.5-0.1draftkingsO +130 / U -HighInjury Review
S.LaPorta
TE
DETWrte Receiving Tds0.40.5-0.1draftkingsO +170 / U -HighFallback Line
S.LaPorta
TE
DETAnytime Td0.40.5-0.1draftkingsO +170 / U -HighOK
C.Watson
WR
GBAnytime Td0.60.5+0.1draftkingsO +130 / U -HighInjury Review
A.St. Brown
WR
DETAnytime Td0.60.5+0.1hardrockO +100 / U -HighOK
A.St. Brown
WR
DETWrte Receiving Tds0.50.5-0.0hardrockO +100 / U -HighFallback Line

Projection Only

Player Prop Projections

A.Hutchinson
DL
DETSacks0.4---O - / U -HighOK
J.Love
QB
GBThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
J.Reed
WR
GBAnytime Td0.3---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
J.Reed
WR
GBFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
J.Reed
WR
GBLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
J.Reed
WR
GBThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
J.Reed
WR
GBTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
J.Reed
WR
GBWrte Receiving Tds0.3---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
J.Reed
WR
GBReceiving yds31.8---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Taylor
QB
GBAnytime Td0.2---O - / U -HighOK
T.Taylor
QB
GBFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
T.Taylor
QB
GBLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
T.Taylor
QB
GBQb Passing Tds0.3---O - / U -HighOK
T.Taylor
QB
GBQB pass yds54.6---O - / U -HighOK
T.Taylor
QB
GBThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
T.Taylor
QB
GBTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
X.McKinney
DB
GBSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
J.Campbell
LB
DETSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
D.Barnes
LB
DETSacks0.2---O - / U -HighOK
B.Wright
TE
DETLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
B.Wright
TE
DETThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
B.Wright
TE
DETReceiving yds11.9---O - / U -HighOK
E.Cooper
LB
GBSacks0.4---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
J.Smith
TE
GBThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
J.Smith
TE
GBReceiving yds20.3---O - / U -HighOK
K.Nixon
DB
GBSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
T.Kennedy
WR
DETAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Kennedy
WR
DETFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Kennedy
WR
DETLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Kennedy
WR
DETThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Kennedy
WR
DETTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Kennedy
WR
DETWrte Receiving Tds0.1---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Kennedy
WR
DETReceiving yds8.1---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
C.Brooks
RB
GBAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
C.Brooks
RB
GBFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
C.Brooks
RB
GBLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
C.Brooks
RB
GBRb Rushing Tds0.1---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
C.Brooks
RB
GBRush yds21.9---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
C.Brooks
RB
GBThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
C.Brooks
RB
GBTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
I.McDuffie
LB
GBSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
B.Cox
LB
GBSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
D.Wyatt
DL
GBSacks0.3---O - / U -MediumOK
T.Lacy
DL
DETSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
A.McNeill
DL
DETSacks0.3---O - / U -MediumOK
B.Sorrell
LB
GBSacks0.2---O - / U -MediumOK
T.Nowaske
LB
DETSacks0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
K.Brooks
DL
GBSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
L.Van Ness
LB
GBSacks0.4---O - / U -MediumInjury Review
M.Rodriguez
LB
DETSacks0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
T.Williams
DL
DETSacks0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
K.Johnson
RB
GBAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
K.Johnson
RB
GBFirst Td0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
K.Johnson
RB
GBLast Td0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
K.Johnson
RB
GBRb Rushing Tds0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
K.Johnson
RB
GBRush yds17.7---O - / U -MediumOK
K.Johnson
RB
GBThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
K.Johnson
RB
GBTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
R.Ya-Sin
DB
DETSacks0.0---O - / U -MediumInjury Review
W.Brinson
DL
GBSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
A.Maddox
DB
DETSacks0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Saylors
RB
DETLast Td0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
J.Saylors
RB
DETRush yds2.4---O - / U -MediumOK
J.Saylors
RB
DETThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
J.Meeks
TE
DETLast Td0.0---O - / U -LowOK
J.Meeks
TE
DETThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -LowOK
J.Meeks
TE
DETReceiving yds13.4---O - / U -LowOK
M.Redman
TE
GBThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -LowOK
M.Redman
TE
GBReceiving yds24.9---O - / U -LowOK

Player Projections

QB Projections

J.Goff
#16
DET187263.61.923.40.53.4
J.Love
#10
GB163209.81.517.70.49.0
T.Taylor
#6
GB210.00.00.00.0-2.0

Offense Projections

J.Gibbs
#0
DET15475.631.03.94.8106.61.1
C.Watson
#9
GB1532.252.93.15.255.10.5
A.St. Brown
#14
DET2872.276.16.79.278.40.6
J.Reed
#11
GB2407.847.03.55.054.80.5
J.Williams
#1
DET3552.650.73.05.053.30.4
M.Golden
#0
GB3202.843.13.05.045.90.1
S.LaPorta
#87
DET4470.151.54.56.251.60.5
T.Kraft
#85
GB4410.343.93.44.744.20.4
I.TeSlaa
#18
DET5190.022.41.32.422.40.3
P.Strong
#22
GB5217.525.04.05.042.50.0
J.Meeks
#13
DET610.016.02.02.016.00.0
M.Redman
#86
GB610.029.02.02.029.00.0
B.Wright
#89
DET7510.013.01.51.913.00.2
J.Smith
#18
GB730.028.31.72.328.30.0
T.Kennedy
#85
DET8230.010.00.81.310.00.0
M.Lloyd
#32
GB8719.68.31.62.127.90.4
S.Vaki
#33
DET9174.15.20.40.59.30.0
K.Johnson
#26
GB9617.31.70.20.519.00.0
C.Brooks
#30
GB103211.25.80.81.117.00.0
J.Saylors
#25
DET10160.70.00.00.00.70.0

Defense Projections

A.Hutchinson
#97
DET1451.02.21.013.5
B.Cox
#57
GB160.81.71.014.5
D.Wyatt
#95
GB2260.61.10.88.5
T.Lacy
#93
DET220.51.00.00.0
A.McNeill
#54
DET3280.51.10.98.3
B.Sorrell
#99
GB330.51.00.30.7
T.Nowaske
#53
DET470.40.90.63.6
X.McKinney
#29
GB440.50.80.55.0
J.Campbell
#46
DET5230.40.60.86.1
K.Brooks
#94
GB5170.50.90.77.0
D.Barnes
#55
DET6240.30.50.84.3
L.Van Ness
#90
GB6220.41.10.85.0
E.Cooper
#56
GB7140.30.71.27.0
M.Rodriguez
#44
DET7110.30.51.04.2
K.Nixon
#25
GB8160.20.50.95.1
T.Williams
#91
DET850.20.60.40.2
W.Brinson
#91
GB930.21.00.01.2
R.Ya-Sin
#23
DET910.02.00.00.0
I.McDuffie
#58
GB10180.10.50.61.9
A.Maddox
#29
DET1010.00.01.02.0