Matty The Bookie
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Published Pick

Sun, Oct 25, 8:25 PM UTC

LA at LV

Pick
LA
Confidence
77.5%
Margin
-3.6
Odds
+344

Model Read

The home-team number says LV wins about 23 out of 100 times. Because the pick is LA, use the other side of that math: LA wins about 77 out of 100 times. The -3.6 margin is written from LV's side, so it means LA by about 3.6 points. Odds +344 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick LA: 77.5% win prob | margin -3.6 pts | confidence: 77.5% away | Offense diffs: favor none; oppose altitude_ft_diff=+4.9e+02, fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.08, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.07 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=+4.9e+02, fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.08, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.07; oppose none

Player Props

Game Prop Board

K.Cousins
QB
LVQB pass yds295.0236.5+58.5fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
M.Stafford
QB
LAQB pass yds271.6260.5+11.1draftkingsO -112 / U -112HighOK
A.Jeanty
RB
LVRush yds61.352.5+8.8fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
M.Mayer
TE
LVReceiving yds37.930.5+7.4fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
B.Corum
RB
LARush yds31.635.5-3.9fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
K.Williams
RB
LARush yds65.063.5+1.5fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
T.Tucker
WR
LVReceiving yds41.440.5+0.9fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
M.Stafford
QB
LAQb Passing Tds2.01.5+0.5fanduelO -146 / U +110HighOK
A.Jeanty
RB
LVThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +2200 / U -HighOK
B.Bowers
TE
LVThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +5500 / U -HighOK
M.Washington
RB
LVThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +19000 / U -MediumInjury Review
C.White
WR
LVThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +25000 / U -MediumOK
T.Higbee
TE
LAThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +12500 / U -HighOK
P.Nacua
WR
LAThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +3500 / U -HighInjury Review
B.Corum
RB
LAThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +8000 / U -HighOK
M.Mayer
TE
LVThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +35000 / U -HighOK
T.Atwell
WR
LAThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +14000 / U -HighOK
C.Parkinson
TE
LAThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +12500 / U -HighOK
J.Nailor
WR
LVThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +25000 / U -HighOK
J.Whittington
WR
LAThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +16000 / U -HighOK
T.Tucker
WR
LVThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +40000 / U -HighOK
T.Higbee
TE
LATwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1700 / U -HighOK
I.Thomas
TE
LVTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +40000 / U -HighOK
K.Cousins
QB
LVTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +40000 / U -HighOK
M.Stafford
QB
LATwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +40000 / U -HighOK
K.Williams
RB
LAThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +2000 / U -HighOK
T.Atwell
WR
LATwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +6500 / U -HighOK
J.Whittington
WR
LATwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +4500 / U -HighOK
J.Nailor
WR
LVTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +8000 / U -HighOK
I.Thomas
TE
LVFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +8000 / U -HighOK
M.Washington
RB
LVTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +5000 / U -MediumInjury Review
M.Mayer
TE
LVTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +4000 / U -HighOK
C.White
WR
LVTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +15000 / U -MediumOK
C.Parkinson
TE
LATwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1800 / U -HighOK
B.Corum
RB
LATwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1300 / U -HighOK
C.Parkinson
TE
LAFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1300 / U -HighOK
J.Whittington
WR
LAFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2200 / U -HighOK
J.Nailor
WR
LVFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +3000 / U -HighOK
T.Tucker
WR
LVTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +3300 / U -HighOK
B.Bowers
TE
LVTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +850 / U -HighOK
P.Nacua
WR
LATwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +650 / U -HighInjury Review
P.Nacua
WR
LALast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -1600 / U -HighInjury Review
T.Higbee
TE
LALast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -3000 / U -HighOK
C.Parkinson
TE
LALast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -3000 / U -HighOK
J.Whittington
WR
LALast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -5000 / U -HighOK
M.Stafford
QB
LAFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +6500 / U -HighOK
B.Corum
RB
LALast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +900 / U -HighOK
M.Mayer
TE
LVLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +1750 / U -HighOK
M.Washington
RB
LVLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -9000 / U -MediumInjury Review
K.Cousins
QB
LVFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +8000 / U -HighOK
B.Bowers
TE
LVFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +900 / U -HighOK
C.White
WR
LVFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +5500 / U -MediumOK
M.Washington
RB
LVFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2200 / U -MediumInjury Review
B.Corum
RB
LAFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1100 / U -HighOK
T.Higbee
TE
LAFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1200 / U -HighOK
P.Nacua
WR
LAFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +550 / U -HighInjury Review
T.Atwell
WR
LAFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +3000 / U -HighOK
T.Tucker
WR
LVFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2000 / U -HighOK
A.Jeanty
RB
LVTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +480 / U -HighOK
B.Bowers
TE
LVLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -1500 / U -HighOK
J.Nailor
WR
LVLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -9000 / U -HighOK
M.Mayer
TE
LVFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2200 / U -HighOK
T.Tucker
WR
LVLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +1500 / U -HighOK
A.Jeanty
RB
LVLast Td0.10.5-0.4hardrockO -1100 / U -HighOK
A.Jeanty
RB
LVFirst Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +500 / U -HighOK
K.Williams
RB
LALast Td0.10.5-0.4hardrockO -1200 / U -HighOK
K.Williams
RB
LATwo Plus Tds0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +380 / U -HighOK
K.Williams
RB
LAFirst Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +475 / U -HighOK
J.Whittington
WR
LAWrte Receiving Tds0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +425 / U -HighFallback Line
T.Atwell
WR
LAWrte Receiving Tds0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +550 / U -HighFallback Line
M.Mayer
TE
LVWrte Receiving Tds0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +370 / U -HighFallback Line
J.Whittington
WR
LAAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +425 / U -HighOK
M.Stafford
QB
LAAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +2000 / U -HighOK
K.Cousins
QB
LVAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +2200 / U -HighOK
I.Thomas
TE
LVAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1700 / U -HighOK
M.Mayer
TE
LVAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +370 / U -HighOK
I.Thomas
TE
LVWrte Receiving Tds0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1700 / U -HighFallback Line
M.Washington
RB
LVRb Rushing Tds0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +450 / U -MediumInjury Review
T.Atwell
WR
LAAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +550 / U -HighOK
M.Washington
RB
LVAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +450 / U -MediumInjury Review
C.White
WR
LVWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +1100 / U -MediumFallback Line
T.Higbee
TE
LAWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +220 / U -HighFallback Line
J.Nailor
WR
LVWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +600 / U -HighFallback Line
C.Parkinson
TE
LAWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +225 / U -HighFallback Line
J.Nailor
WR
LVAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +600 / U -HighOK
T.Higbee
TE
LAAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +220 / U -HighOK
C.Parkinson
TE
LAAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +225 / U -HighOK
C.White
WR
LVAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +1100 / U -MediumOK
B.Corum
RB
LARb Rushing Tds0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +180 / U -HighFallback Line
A.Jeanty
RB
LVRb Rushing Tds0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO -130 / U -HighFallback Line
K.Williams
RB
LARb Rushing Tds0.70.5+0.2hardrockO +115 / U -HighFallback Line
T.Tucker
WR
LVAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +330 / U -HighOK
P.Nacua
WR
LAWrte Receiving Tds0.30.5-0.2fanduelO -105 / U -HighInjury Review
B.Corum
RB
LAAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +180 / U -HighOK
B.Bowers
TE
LVReceiving yds70.770.5+0.2fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
K.Cousins
QB
LVQb Passing Tds1.71.5+0.2fanduelO +100 / U -132HighOK
T.Tucker
WR
LVWrte Receiving Tds0.40.5-0.1draftkingsO +330 / U -HighFallback Line
A.Jeanty
RB
LVAnytime Td0.40.5-0.1draftkingsO -130 / U -HighOK
B.Bowers
TE
LVAnytime Td0.40.5-0.1fanduelO +115 / U -HighOK
P.Nacua
WR
LAAnytime Td0.40.5-0.1fanduelO -105 / U -HighInjury Review
K.Williams
RB
LAAnytime Td0.60.5+0.1hardrockO +115 / U -HighOK
B.Bowers
TE
LVWrte Receiving Tds0.40.5-0.1fanduelO +115 / U -HighFallback Line

Projection Only

Player Prop Projections

K.Cousins
QB
LVLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
K.Cousins
QB
LVThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
M.Stafford
QB
LALast Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
M.Stafford
QB
LAThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
P.Nacua
WR
LAReceiving yds88.6---O - / U -HighInjury Review
A.O'Connell
QB
LVAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -HighOK
A.O'Connell
QB
LVFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
A.O'Connell
QB
LVLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
A.O'Connell
QB
LVQb Passing Tds0.4---O - / U -HighOK
A.O'Connell
QB
LVQB pass yds67.5---O - / U -HighOK
A.O'Connell
QB
LVThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
A.O'Connell
QB
LVTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
M.Crosby
DL
LVSacks0.3---O - / U -HighOK
D.Adams
WR
LAAnytime Td0.6---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
D.Adams
WR
LAFirst Td0.1---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
D.Adams
WR
LALast Td0.1---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
D.Adams
WR
LAThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
D.Adams
WR
LATwo Plus Tds0.1---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
D.Adams
WR
LAWrte Receiving Tds0.5---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
D.Adams
WR
LAReceiving yds64.8---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
J.Stewart
LB
LASacks0.2---O - / U -HighOK
M.Koonce
DL
LVSacks0.2---O - / U -HighOK
A.Butler
DL
LVSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
K.Curl
DB
LASacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
J.Laulu
DL
LVSacks0.2---O - / U -HighOK
K.Turner
DL
LASacks0.2---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Higbee
TE
LAReceiving yds38.4---O - / U -HighOK
B.Fiske
DL
LASacks0.2---O - / U -HighOK
I.Pola-Mao
DB
LVSacks0.0---O - / U -HighOK
T.Atwell
WR
LALast Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
T.Atwell
WR
LAReceiving yds17.7---O - / U -HighOK
B.Young
LB
LASacks0.4---O - / U -HighOK
C.Parkinson
TE
LAReceiving yds19.5---O - / U -HighOK
J.Chinn
DB
LVSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
J.McCollough
DB
LASacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
J.Nailor
WR
LVReceiving yds20.6---O - / U -HighOK
T.Booker
DL
LVSacks0.0---O - / U -HighOK
E.Stokes
DB
LVSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
I.Thomas
TE
LVLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
I.Thomas
TE
LVThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
I.Thomas
TE
LVReceiving yds15.4---O - / U -HighOK
J.Whittington
WR
LAReceiving yds14.0---O - / U -HighOK
D.Thompkins
WR
LVAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -HighOK
D.Thompkins
WR
LVFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
D.Thompkins
WR
LVLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
D.Thompkins
WR
LVThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
D.Thompkins
WR
LVTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
D.Thompkins
WR
LVWrte Receiving Tds0.1---O - / U -HighOK
D.Thompkins
WR
LVReceiving yds10.6---O - / U -HighOK
R.Rivers
RB
LAAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
R.Rivers
RB
LAFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
R.Rivers
RB
LALast Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
R.Rivers
RB
LARb Rushing Tds0.1---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
R.Rivers
RB
LARush yds11.8---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
R.Rivers
RB
LAThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
R.Rivers
RB
LATwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Davis
DL
LASacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
D.Johnson
LB
LASacks0.2---O - / U -MediumOK
T.Hemingway
DL
LVSacks0.2---O - / U -MediumInjury Review
L.Murchison
DL
LASacks0.2---O - / U -MediumOK
C.White
WR
LVLast Td0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
C.White
WR
LVReceiving yds17.6---O - / U -MediumOK
M.Washington
RB
LVRush yds43.4---O - / U -MediumInjury Review
J.Bech
WR
LVAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Bech
WR
LVFirst Td0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Bech
WR
LVLast Td0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Bech
WR
LVThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Bech
WR
LVTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Bech
WR
LVWrte Receiving Tds0.1---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Bech
WR
LVReceiving yds17.8---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
T.Ferguson
TE
LAAnytime Td0.3---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
T.Ferguson
TE
LAFirst Td0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
T.Ferguson
TE
LALast Td0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
T.Ferguson
TE
LAThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
T.Ferguson
TE
LATwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
T.Ferguson
TE
LAWrte Receiving Tds0.3---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
T.Ferguson
TE
LAReceiving yds21.9---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
Q.Lake
DB
LASacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
T.McCollum
DB
LVSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
S.Bennett
QB
LAAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -LowOK
S.Bennett
QB
LAFirst Td0.0---O - / U -LowOK
S.Bennett
QB
LALast Td0.0---O - / U -LowOK
S.Bennett
QB
LAQb Passing Tds0.3---O - / U -LowOK
S.Bennett
QB
LAQB pass yds60.0---O - / U -LowOK
S.Bennett
QB
LAThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -LowOK
S.Bennett
QB
LATwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -LowOK
F.Mendoza
QB
LVAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -LowOK
F.Mendoza
QB
LVFirst Td0.0---O - / U -LowOK
F.Mendoza
QB
LVLast Td0.0---O - / U -LowOK
F.Mendoza
QB
LVQb Passing Tds0.2---O - / U -LowOK
F.Mendoza
QB
LVQB pass yds65.7---O - / U -LowOK
F.Mendoza
QB
LVThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -LowOK
F.Mendoza
QB
LVTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -LowOK

Player Projections

QB Projections

M.Stafford
#9
LA180265.01.922.90.62.2
K.Cousins
#8
LV16263.72.322.50.0-0.3
A.O'Connell
#12
LV221187.20.917.90.52.3
S.Bennett
#13
LA2113.00.02.00.09.0
F.Mendoza
#15
LV3148.00.06.00.03.0

Offense Projections

P.Nacua
#12
LA1485.296.07.310.1101.20.5
A.Jeanty
#2
LV12356.026.03.54.782.00.6
K.Williams
#23
LA25971.616.32.43.287.90.8
B.Bowers
#89
LV2330.568.46.28.668.80.5
T.Tucker
#1
LV3533.136.52.84.639.70.3
D.Adams
#17
LA3200.063.54.58.263.50.9
B.Corum
#24
LA43731.85.00.70.936.80.2
C.White
#82
LV460.033.32.55.333.31.5
T.Higbee
#89
LA51320.031.83.14.531.80.2
M.Washington
#4
LV5628.01.80.50.829.80.2
T.Atwell
#8
LA6521.430.12.13.531.50.1
M.Mayer
#87
LV6420.025.12.63.725.10.1
C.Parkinson
#84
LA7340.022.32.43.522.30.3
J.Bech
#18
LV7160.017.01.62.217.00.1
T.Ferguson
#18
LA8140.021.01.32.621.00.3
J.Nailor
#9
LV840.015.21.53.815.20.0
J.Whittington
#88
LA9241.019.81.82.320.80.0
I.Thomas
#80
LV9120.013.81.41.413.80.1
R.Rivers
#20
LA102115.04.30.80.819.20.0
D.Thompkins
#83
LV1010.08.01.01.08.00.0

Defense Projections

D.Johnson
#94
LA160.81.50.810.7
T.Hemingway
#97
LV141.01.51.316.0
M.Crosby
#98
LV2920.81.81.411.6
L.Murchison
#52
LA250.81.01.013.4
M.Koonce
#51
LV3230.61.40.77.2
J.Stewart
#10
LA340.81.50.88.0
A.Butler
#69
LV4250.41.00.87.1
K.Curl
#3
LA440.80.80.86.3
K.Turner
#91
LA5330.71.30.811.9
J.Laulu
#96
LV5120.40.80.95.3
B.Fiske
#55
LA6160.71.30.913.7
I.Pola-Mao
#20
LV680.40.51.06.9
B.Young
#0
LA7390.71.60.87.8
J.Chinn
#11
LV740.30.50.81.0
T.Booker
#99
LV860.01.20.20.3
J.McCollough
#2
LA830.71.00.714.7
Q.Lake
#37
LA980.50.50.66.3
E.Stokes
#5
LV930.00.01.02.7
T.Davis
#90
LA1050.30.60.66.2
T.McCollum
#27
LV1020.00.01.02.0