Matty The Bookie
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Published Pick

Mon, Nov 2, 1:20 AM UTC

PHI at WAS

Pick
WAS
Confidence
64.0%
Margin
+3.7
Odds
-178

Model Read

The model says WAS wins about 64 out of 100 times, so the pick and the home-team number are the same side. The +3.7 margin is written from WAS's side, so it means WAS by about 3.7 points. Odds -178 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick WAS: 64.0% win prob | margin +3.7 pts | confidence: 64.0% home | Offense diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=+41; oppose fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.6, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.4 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.6, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.4; oppose altitude_ft_diff=+41

Player Props

Game Prop Board

J.McNichols
RB
WASRush yds13.427.5-14.1fanduelO -114 / U -114HighRoster Exclusion
C.Okonkwo
TE
WASReceiving yds34.425.5+8.9fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
R.White
RB
WASRush yds34.843.5-8.7fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
J.Daniels
QB
WASQB pass yds206.0198.5+7.5fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
T.Burks
WR
WASReceiving yds31.924.5+7.4fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
S.Diggs
WR
WASReceiving yds49.642.5+7.1fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
A.Williams
WR
WASReceiving yds36.329.5+6.8fanduelO -114 / U -114MediumOK
D.Brown
WR
WASReceiving yds19.013.5+5.5fanduelO -114 / U -114HighOK
T.McKee
QB
PHIQB pass yds202.4203.5-1.1fanduelO -114 / U -114MediumOK
T.McKee
QB
PHIQb Passing Tds1.30.5+0.8fanduelO -250 / U +182MediumOK
S.Barkley
RB
PHIThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +5500 / U -HighInjury Review
A.Williams
WR
WASThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +35000 / U -MediumOK
M.Lemon
WR
PHIThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +40000 / U -MediumOK
J.Daniels
QB
WASThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +15000 / U -HighOK
D.Smith
WR
PHIThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +15000 / U -HighInjury Review
D.Wicks
WR
PHIThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +40000 / U -HighInjury Review
D.Goedert
TE
PHIThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +15000 / U -HighOK
R.White
RB
WASThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +10000 / U -HighOK
C.Okonkwo
TE
WASThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +25000 / U -HighOK
J.McNichols
RB
WASThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +15000 / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Burks
WR
WASThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +40000 / U -HighOK
D.Brown
WR
WASThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +40000 / U -HighOK
A.Ekeler
RB
WASThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +40000 / U -HighOK
S.Diggs
WR
WASThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +12500 / U -HighOK
C.Okonkwo
TE
WASTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +3000 / U -HighOK
T.Burks
WR
WASTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +4500 / U -HighOK
T.McKee
QB
PHITwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +20000 / U -MediumOK
J.McNichols
RB
WASTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +2500 / U -HighRoster Exclusion
A.Williams
WR
WASTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +3000 / U -MediumOK
D.Brown
WR
WASTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +10000 / U -HighOK
M.Brown
WR
PHIFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -7000 / U -HighOK
M.Lemon
WR
PHITwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +3500 / U -MediumOK
J.McNichols
RB
WASFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -4000 / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Burks
WR
WASFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -7000 / U -HighOK
T.McKee
QB
PHIFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -15000 / U -MediumOK
J.Daniels
QB
WASTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +2000 / U -HighOK
D.Smith
WR
PHITwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +1900 / U -HighInjury Review
D.Goedert
TE
PHITwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +1900 / U -HighOK
S.Diggs
WR
WASTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +1800 / U -HighOK
R.White
RB
WASTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +1400 / U -HighOK
M.Brown
WR
PHITwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +12500 / U -HighOK
S.Diggs
WR
WASFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -2500 / U -HighOK
D.Wicks
WR
PHITwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +3500 / U -HighInjury Review
J.Daniels
QB
WASLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -3000 / U -HighOK
D.Goedert
TE
PHILast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -2500 / U -HighOK
C.Okonkwo
TE
WASLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -4000 / U -HighOK
J.McNichols
RB
WASLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -4000 / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Burks
WR
WASLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -7000 / U -HighOK
D.Brown
WR
WASLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -10000 / U -HighOK
T.McKee
QB
PHILast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -15000 / U -MediumOK
A.Williams
WR
WASLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -4000 / U -MediumOK
M.Lemon
WR
PHILast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -4000 / U -MediumOK
J.Daniels
QB
WASFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -2500 / U -HighOK
D.Smith
WR
PHILast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -2500 / U -HighInjury Review
M.Lemon
WR
PHIFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -5000 / U -MediumOK
C.Okonkwo
TE
WASFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -4000 / U -HighOK
D.Brown
WR
WASFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -10000 / U -HighOK
A.Williams
WR
WASFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -4000 / U -MediumOK
R.White
RB
WASFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -1500 / U -HighOK
S.Diggs
WR
WASLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -2500 / U -HighOK
A.Ekeler
RB
WASLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -7000 / U -HighOK
M.Brown
WR
PHILast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -7000 / U -HighOK
D.Wicks
WR
PHILast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -4000 / U -HighInjury Review
R.White
RB
WASLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -1600 / U -HighOK
D.Smith
WR
PHIFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -3000 / U -HighInjury Review
D.Wicks
WR
PHIFirst Td0.10.5-0.4hardrockO -5000 / U -HighInjury Review
S.Barkley
RB
PHILast Td0.10.5-0.4hardrockO -1300 / U -HighInjury Review
A.Ekeler
RB
WASFirst Td0.10.5-0.4hardrockO -7000 / U -HighOK
S.Barkley
RB
PHITwo Plus Tds0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +850 / U -HighInjury Review
D.Goedert
TE
PHIFirst Td0.10.5-0.4hardrockO -3000 / U -HighOK
A.Ekeler
RB
WASTwo Plus Tds0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +10000 / U -HighOK
S.Barkley
RB
PHIFirst Td0.10.5-0.4hardrockO -1300 / U -HighInjury Review
D.Brown
WR
WASWrte Receiving Tds0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +650 / U -HighFallback Line
T.McKee
QB
PHIAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +1000 / U -MediumOK
J.McNichols
RB
WASRb Rushing Tds0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +290 / U -HighRoster Exclusion
C.Okonkwo
TE
WASWrte Receiving Tds0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +280 / U -HighFallback Line
J.McNichols
RB
WASAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +290 / U -HighRoster Exclusion
D.Brown
WR
WASAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +650 / U -HighOK
C.Okonkwo
TE
WASAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +280 / U -HighOK
R.White
RB
WASRb Rushing Tds0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +175 / U -HighFallback Line
M.Lemon
WR
PHIWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +320 / U -MediumFallback Line
A.Williams
WR
WASWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +310 / U -MediumFallback Line
A.Williams
WR
WASAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +310 / U -MediumOK
M.Lemon
WR
PHIAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +320 / U -MediumOK
T.Burks
WR
WASWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +420 / U -HighFallback Line
T.Burks
WR
WASAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +420 / U -HighOK
D.Wicks
WR
PHIWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +320 / U -HighInjury Review
A.Ekeler
RB
WASRb Rushing Tds0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +750 / U -HighFallback Line
D.Wicks
WR
PHIAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +320 / U -HighInjury Review
M.Brown
WR
PHIAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +750 / U -HighOK
M.Brown
WR
PHIWrte Receiving Tds0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +750 / U -HighFallback Line
S.Diggs
WR
WASWrte Receiving Tds0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +210 / U -HighFallback Line
D.Goedert
TE
PHIAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +220 / U -HighOK
D.Goedert
TE
PHIWrte Receiving Tds0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +220 / U -HighFallback Line
A.Ekeler
RB
WASAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +750 / U -HighOK
D.Smith
WR
PHIWrte Receiving Tds0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +220 / U -HighInjury Review
J.Daniels
QB
WASQb Passing Tds1.31.5-0.2fanduelO +118 / U -158HighOK
R.White
RB
WASAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +175 / U -HighOK
S.Barkley
RB
PHIRb Rushing Tds0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +120 / U -HighInjury Review
J.Daniels
QB
WASAnytime Td0.40.5-0.1fanduelO +220 / U -HighOK
D.Smith
WR
PHIAnytime Td0.40.5-0.1fanduelO +220 / U -HighInjury Review
S.Barkley
RB
PHIAnytime Td0.40.5-0.1fanduelO +120 / U -HighInjury Review
S.Diggs
WR
WASAnytime Td0.50.5-0.0fanduelO +210 / U -HighOK

Projection Only

Player Prop Projections

J.Hurts
QB
PHIAnytime Td0.4---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
J.Hurts
QB
PHIFirst Td0.1---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
J.Hurts
QB
PHILast Td0.1---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
J.Hurts
QB
PHIQb Passing Tds1.5---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
J.Hurts
QB
PHIQB pass yds211.6---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
J.Hurts
QB
PHIThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
J.Hurts
QB
PHITwo Plus Tds0.1---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
S.Barkley
RB
PHIRush yds65.2---O - / U -HighInjury Review
D.Smith
WR
PHIReceiving yds64.6---O - / U -HighInjury Review
F.Luvu
LB
WASSacks0.2---O - / U -HighOK
M.Ojomo
DL
PHISacks0.3---O - / U -HighOK
T.McLaurin
WR
WASAnytime Td0.3---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.McLaurin
WR
WASFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.McLaurin
WR
WASLast Td0.1---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.McLaurin
WR
WASThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.McLaurin
WR
WASTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.McLaurin
WR
WASWrte Receiving Tds0.3---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.McLaurin
WR
WASReceiving yds48.9---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
A.Dalton
QB
PHIAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
A.Dalton
QB
PHIFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
A.Dalton
QB
PHILast Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
A.Dalton
QB
PHIQb Passing Tds0.8---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
A.Dalton
QB
PHIQB pass yds67.8---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
A.Dalton
QB
PHIThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
A.Dalton
QB
PHITwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
WASAnytime Td0.4---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
WASFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
WASLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
WASRb Rushing Tds0.4---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
WASRush yds61.6---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
WASThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
WASTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
J.Davis
DL
PHISacks0.2---O - / U -HighOK
M.Mariota
QB
WASAnytime Td0.2---O - / U -HighInjury Review
M.Mariota
QB
WASFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Review
M.Mariota
QB
WASLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Review
M.Mariota
QB
WASQb Passing Tds1.5---O - / U -HighInjury Review
M.Mariota
QB
WASQB pass yds112.0---O - / U -HighInjury Review
M.Mariota
QB
WASThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Review
M.Mariota
QB
WASTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Review
Z.Ertz
TE
PHIAnytime Td0.2---O - / U -HighOK
Z.Ertz
TE
PHIFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
Z.Ertz
TE
PHILast Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
Z.Ertz
TE
PHIThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
Z.Ertz
TE
PHITwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
Z.Ertz
TE
PHIWrte Receiving Tds0.2---O - / U -HighOK
Z.Ertz
TE
PHIReceiving yds27.1---O - / U -HighOK
A.Ekeler
RB
WASRush yds19.7---O - / U -HighOK
D.Wicks
WR
PHIReceiving yds37.1---O - / U -HighInjury Review
D.Goedert
TE
PHIReceiving yds42.7---O - / U -HighOK
D.Payne
DL
WASSacks0.2---O - / U -HighOK
D.Pierce
RB
PHIAnytime Td0.3---O - / U -HighInjury Review
D.Pierce
RB
PHIFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Review
D.Pierce
RB
PHILast Td0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Review
D.Pierce
RB
PHIRb Rushing Tds0.3---O - / U -HighInjury Review
D.Pierce
RB
PHIRush yds41.4---O - / U -HighInjury Review
D.Pierce
RB
PHIThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Review
D.Pierce
RB
PHITwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Review
J.Reaves
DB
WASSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
E.Mitchell
RB
PHIAnytime Td0.3---O - / U -HighOK
E.Mitchell
RB
PHIFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
E.Mitchell
RB
PHILast Td0.0---O - / U -HighOK
E.Mitchell
RB
PHIRb Rushing Tds0.2---O - / U -HighOK
E.Mitchell
RB
PHIRush yds23.1---O - / U -HighOK
E.Mitchell
RB
PHIThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
E.Mitchell
RB
PHITwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
J.Martin
DB
WASSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
Z.Baun
LB
PHISacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
J.Hunt
LB
PHISacks0.3---O - / U -HighOK
J.Kinlaw
DL
WASSacks0.1---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
T.Bigsby
RB
PHIAnytime Td0.2---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
T.Bigsby
RB
PHIFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
T.Bigsby
RB
PHILast Td0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
T.Bigsby
RB
PHIRb Rushing Tds0.3---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
T.Bigsby
RB
PHIRush yds34.2---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
T.Bigsby
RB
PHIThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
T.Bigsby
RB
PHITwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
M.Brown
WR
PHIThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighOK
M.Brown
WR
PHIReceiving yds28.9---O - / U -HighOK
M.Sainristil
DB
WASSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
B.Young
DL
PHISacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
T.McKee
QB
PHIThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
J.Jean-Baptiste
LB
WASSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumInjury Exclusion
D.Armstrong
LB
WASSacks0.3---O - / U -MediumOK
K.Ringo
DB
PHISacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
J.Carter
DL
PHISacks0.4---O - / U -MediumOK
N.Smith
LB
PHISacks0.4---O - / U -MediumInjury Review
M.Lemon
WR
PHIReceiving yds31.8---O - / U -MediumOK
J.Trotter
LB
PHISacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
A.Mukuba
DB
PHISacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
R.Barber
DL
WASSacks0.2---O - / U -LowOK
A.Kaliakmanis
QB
WASAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -LowOK
A.Kaliakmanis
QB
WASFirst Td0.0---O - / U -LowOK
A.Kaliakmanis
QB
WASLast Td0.0---O - / U -LowOK
A.Kaliakmanis
QB
WASQb Passing Tds0.9---O - / U -LowOK
A.Kaliakmanis
QB
WASQB pass yds205.5---O - / U -LowOK
A.Kaliakmanis
QB
WASThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -LowOK
A.Kaliakmanis
QB
WASTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -LowOK
D.Wise
DL
WASSacks0.1---O - / U -LowOK

Player Projections

QB Projections

J.Hurts
#1
PHI197194.11.216.80.437.7
J.Daniels
#5
WAS128199.61.418.60.349.4
T.McKee
#16
PHI28127.90.912.90.01.0
A.Kaliakmanis
#16
WAS21186.01.015.00.016.0
M.Mariota
#8
WAS316149.91.112.90.027.4
A.Dalton
#13
PHI310.00.00.00.00.0

Offense Projections

S.Barkley
#26
PHI13791.615.42.02.8106.90.7
S.Diggs
#3
WAS150.076.88.413.876.81.4
T.McLaurin
#17
WAS21120.764.24.67.364.90.4
D.Smith
#6
PHI2840.063.44.97.163.50.4
Z.Ertz
#86
PHI31250.050.54.77.050.50.3
J.Croskey-Merritt
#22
WAS32247.54.90.60.952.40.5
A.Ekeler
#30
WAS41725.925.52.63.151.50.2
D.Wicks
#13
PHI460.047.33.25.347.30.2
D.Goedert
#88
PHI51110.044.23.95.344.20.3
R.White
#1
WAS5529.016.62.83.045.60.4
C.Okonkwo
#85
WAS640.037.53.85.037.50.0
D.Pierce
#39
PHI6332.04.72.33.736.70.7
A.Williams
#14
WAS760.034.23.04.334.20.2
E.Mitchell
#49
PHI7111.023.03.04.034.00.0
J.McNichols
#26
WAS83116.07.21.11.423.20.2
M.Lemon
#9
PHI87-0.727.73.65.127.00.1
T.Bigsby
#8
PHI91824.22.30.30.426.50.2
T.Burks
#13
WAS9130.021.71.53.021.70.2
D.Brown
#6
WAS10500.717.61.42.418.30.1
M.Brown
#0
PHI1026.015.01.02.521.00.0

Defense Projections

B.Young
#94
PHI140.61.00.84.8
R.Barber
#50
WAS111.01.01.012.0
F.Luvu
#4
WAS2160.71.31.18.8
M.Ojomo
#97
PHI2120.51.40.56.3
J.Davis
#90
PHI3160.50.80.95.8
J.Jean-Baptiste
#41
WAS330.71.00.74.7
D.Armstrong
#92
WAS4180.61.20.86.9
K.Ringo
#7
PHI420.50.50.51.0
D.Payne
#94
WAS5740.51.10.97.2
J.Carter
#98
PHI5280.51.30.97.3
N.Smith
#3
PHI6220.51.10.55.0
J.Reaves
#39
WAS680.30.50.92.8
Z.Baun
#53
PHI7160.40.61.15.0
J.Martin
#20
WAS780.10.50.52.4
J.Hunt
#58
PHI8200.41.40.55.8
D.Wise
#91
WAS810.01.01.02.0
J.Kinlaw
#99
WAS960.00.50.81.0
J.Trotter
#54
PHI920.31.50.52.3
A.Mukuba
#24
PHI1020.30.51.03.8
M.Sainristil
#0
WAS1020.00.01.02.5