MIN at GB

Pick

Confidence

62.1%

Margin

+3.1

Odds

-164

Model Read

The model says GB wins about 62 out of 100 times, so the pick and the home-team number are the same side. The +3.1 margin is written from GB's side, so it means GB by about 3.1 points. Odds -164 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick GB: 62.1% win prob | margin +3.1 pts | confidence: 62.1% home | Offense diffs: favor none; oppose altitude_ft_diff=-2e+02, indoor_diff=-1, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.25 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=-2e+02, indoor_diff=-1, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.25; oppose none

Player Props

Model Watchlist

No official player prop picks cleared today's historical price gate. This watchlist shows the strongest model signals for context.

Market


A.Jones RB	MIN	Rush yds	Over 28.5	69 Mild Lean	62.5 vs 28.5 +34.0	fanduel	O -114 / U -114
J.Addison WR	MIN	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
D.Dallas RB	MIN	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	fanduel	Research only
Mark Redman TE	GB	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	fanduel	Research only
Bo Melton WR	GB	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	fanduel	Research only
Ben Yurosek TE	MIN	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
J.Love QB	GB	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
P.Strong RB	GB	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
J.Smith TE	GB	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
Kirk Cousins QB	MIN	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
A.Jones RB	MIN	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
G.Bartholomew TE	MIN	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	fanduel	Research only
Coleman Owen WR	GB	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
J.Smith TE	GB	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	fanduel	Research only
Max Bredeson RB	MIN	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
J. Michael Sturdivant WR	GB	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
J.Mason RB	MIN	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
Tai Felton WR	MIN	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	fanduel	Research only
Myles Price WR	MIN	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
J.Love QB	GB	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
M.Golden WR	GB	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
K.Johnson RB	GB	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
Ben Yurosek TE	MIN	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	fanduel	Research only
J.Love QB	GB	QB pass yds	Under 251.5	67 Mild Lean	212.8 vs 251.5 -38.7	draftkings	O -112 / U -112
C.Watson WR	GB	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	66 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
Mark Redman TE	GB	Last Td	Over 0.5	66 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
T.Kraft TE	GB	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	65 Mild Lean	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	fanduel	Research only
Coleman Owen WR	GB	First Td	Over 0.5	65 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
Savion Williams WR	GB	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	64 Review First	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
Josh Whyle TE	GB	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	64 Review First	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	fanduel	Research only
T.Hockenson TE	MIN	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	64 Review First	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
J.Jennings WR	MIN	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	64 Review First	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	fanduel	Research only
Josh Whyle TE	GB	First Td	Over 0.5	64 Review First	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
J.Jefferson WR	MIN	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	62 Mild Lean	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	fanduel	Research only
D.Dallas RB	MIN	First Td	Over 0.5	61 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
Kirk Cousins QB	MIN	First Td	Over 0.5	59 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
J. Michael Sturdivant WR	GB	First Td	Over 0.5	58 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
Max Bredeson RB	MIN	First Td	Over 0.5	58 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
Mark Redman TE	GB	First Td	Over 0.5	55 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
J. Michael Sturdivant WR	GB	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	54 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
Coleman Owen WR	GB	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	54 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
P.Strong RB	GB	Rush yds	Over 10.5	54 Low Signal	23.9 vs 10.5 +13.4	draftkings	O -115 / U -109
Bo Melton WR	GB	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	53 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
Savion Williams WR	GB	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	53 Review First	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	fanduel	Research only
Josh Whyle TE	GB	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	53 Review First	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
Bo Melton WR	GB	First Td	Over 0.5	51 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
J.Jefferson WR	MIN	Receiving yds	Under 77.5	51 Low Signal	71.3 vs 77.5 -6.2	draftkings	O -112 / U -112
Max Bredeson RB	MIN	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	50 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
D.Dallas RB	MIN	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	50 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
G.Bartholomew TE	MIN	First Td	Over 0.5	49 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
Tai Felton WR	MIN	First Td	Over 0.5	49 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
P.Strong RB	GB	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	48 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
Mark Redman TE	GB	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	47 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
Myles Price WR	MIN	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	47 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
Kirk Cousins QB	MIN	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	46 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	draftkings	Research only
J.Smith TE	GB	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	46 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	hardrock	Research only
Tai Felton WR	MIN	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	46 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
J.Smith TE	GB	First Td	Over 0.5	44 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
C.Watson WR	GB	Receiving yds	Under 74.5	44 Low Signal	71.3 vs 74.5 -3.2	fanduel	O -114 / U -114
Ben Yurosek TE	MIN	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	42 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
Kirk Cousins QB	MIN	QB pass yds	Over 235.5	42 Low Signal	243.1 vs 235.5 +7.6	fanduel	O -114 / U -114
J.Love QB	GB	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	41 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	draftkings	Research only
G.Bartholomew TE	MIN	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	40 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
M.Golden WR	GB	Receiving yds	Under 69.5	40 Low Signal	67.6 vs 69.5 -1.9	fanduel	O -114 / U -114
Myles Price WR	MIN	First Td	Over 0.5	37 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
Ben Yurosek TE	MIN	First Td	Over 0.5	37 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
P.Strong RB	GB	First Td	Over 0.5	37 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
J.Mason RB	MIN	First Td	Over 0.5	37 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
Kirk Cousins QB	MIN	Last Td	Over 0.5	37 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
J.Mason RB	MIN	Rush yds	Over 45.5	36 Low Signal	52.2 vs 45.5 +6.7	fanduel	O -114 / U -114
J.Love QB	GB	First Td	Over 0.5	36 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
P.Strong RB	GB	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	35 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
J.Addison WR	MIN	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	34 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
Ben Yurosek TE	MIN	Last Td	Over 0.5	34 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
T.Hockenson TE	MIN	Receiving yds	Under 40.5	34 Review First	39.7 vs 40.5 -0.8	fanduel	O -114 / U -114
K.Johnson RB	GB	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	33 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	fanduel	Research only
J.Jennings WR	MIN	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	32 Review First	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	draftkings	Research only
J.Addison WR	MIN	Receiving yds	Under 40.5	31 Low Signal	41.7 vs 40.5 +1.2	fanduel	O -114 / U -114
T.Kraft TE	GB	Receiving yds	Under 37.5	31 Low Signal	39.4 vs 37.5 +1.9	fanduel	O -114 / U -114
M.Golden WR	GB	Last Td	Over 0.5	31 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
T.Kraft TE	GB	Last Td	Over 0.5	31 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
J.Love QB	GB	Last Td	Over 0.5	31 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
Bo Melton WR	GB	Last Td	Over 0.5	31 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
Savion Williams WR	GB	First Td	Over 0.5	31 Review First	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
J.Mason RB	MIN	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	30 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
Myles Price WR	MIN	Last Td	Over 0.5	29 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
A.Jones RB	MIN	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	28 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	fanduel	Research only
P.Strong RB	GB	Last Td	Over 0.5	28 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
G.Bartholomew TE	MIN	Last Td	Over 0.5	28 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
T.Hockenson TE	MIN	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	28 Review First	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
K.Johnson RB	GB	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	27 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
A.Jones RB	MIN	Last Td	Over 0.5	25 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
K.Johnson RB	GB	Last Td	Over 0.5	25 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
J.Jennings WR	MIN	First Td	Over 0.5	25 Review First	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
Savion Williams WR	GB	Receiving yds	Under 20.5	25 Review First	20.9 vs 20.5 +0.4	fanduel	O -114 / U -114
Savion Williams WR	GB	Last Td	Over 0.5	25 Review First	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
T.Kraft TE	GB	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	24 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	fanduel	Research only
Kirk Cousins QB	MIN	Qb Passing Tds	Under 1.5	24 Low Signal	1.4 vs 1.5 -0.1	draftkings	O +133 / U -170
K.Johnson RB	GB	First Td	Over 0.5	24 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
Tai Felton WR	MIN	Last Td	Over 0.5	24 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
T.Hockenson TE	MIN	First Td	Over 0.5	24 Review First	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
K.Johnson RB	GB	Rush yds	Under 30.5	23 Low Signal	32.4 vs 30.5 +1.9	fanduel	O -114 / U -114
M.Golden WR	GB	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	22 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	draftkings	Research only
J.Jefferson WR	MIN	Last Td	Over 0.5	22 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	hardrock	Research only
J.Addison WR	MIN	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	21 Low Signal	0.3 vs 0.5 -0.2	fanduel	Research only
J.Mason RB	MIN	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	21 Low Signal	0.3 vs 0.5 -0.2	fanduel	Research only
J.Love QB	GB	Qb Passing Tds	Under 1.5	21 Low Signal	1.4 vs 1.5 -0.1	fanduel	O -122 / U -108
M.Golden WR	GB	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	21 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	draftkings	Research only
Savion Williams WR	GB	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	21 Review First	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	draftkings	Research only
T.Hockenson TE	MIN	Last Td	Over 0.5	21 Review First	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	hardrock	Research only
A.Jones RB	MIN	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	20 Low Signal	0.3 vs 0.5 -0.2	fanduel	Research only
C.Watson WR	GB	First Td	Over 0.5	20 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
J.Jennings WR	MIN	Last Td	Over 0.5	20 Review First	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	hardrock	Research only
J.Jefferson WR	MIN	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	19 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	draftkings	Research only
C.Watson WR	GB	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	19 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	draftkings	Research only
M.Golden WR	GB	First Td	Over 0.5	19 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
J.Mason RB	MIN	Last Td	Over 0.5	19 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	hardrock	Research only
T.Hockenson TE	MIN	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	19 Review First	0.3 vs 0.5 -0.2	draftkings	Research only
J.Jefferson WR	MIN	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	18 Low Signal	0.3 vs 0.5 -0.2	fanduel	Research only
T.Kraft TE	GB	First Td	Over 0.5	18 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
J.Addison WR	MIN	Last Td	Over 0.5	18 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	hardrock	Research only
T.Kraft TE	GB	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	17 Low Signal	0.4 vs 0.5 -0.1	draftkings	Research only
J.Addison WR	MIN	First Td	Over 0.5	17 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
J.Jefferson WR	MIN	First Td	Over 0.5	17 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
J.Smith TE	GB	Last Td	Over 0.5	17 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	hardrock	Research only
C.Watson WR	GB	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	16 Low Signal	0.6 vs 0.5 +0.1	draftkings	Research only
A.Jones RB	MIN	First Td	Over 0.5	16 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
C.Watson WR	GB	Last Td	Over 0.5	16 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	hardrock	Research only

Player Projections

QB Projections

Market


J.Love #10	GB	1	66	218.6	1.6	18.5	0.4	8.9
K.Murray #1	MIN	1	6	359.8	1.3	36.0	0.0	46.0
C.Wentz #11	MIN	2	8	231.1	1.5	20.5	0.0	8.4
T.Taylor #6	GB	2	1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-2.0
M.Brosmer #12	MIN	3	8	48.2	0.0	6.6	0.0	1.4

Offense Projections

Market


J.Jefferson #18	MIN	1	101	0.3	89.6	6.2	9.3	89.9	0.5
J.Jacobs #8	GB	1	35	66.8	19.8	2.4	2.9	86.6	0.9
C.Watson #9	GB	2	56	2.1	56.1	3.3	5.4	58.2	0.5
A.Jones #33	MIN	2	37	60.9	19.9	2.7	3.6	80.8	0.3
J.Addison #3	MIN	3	53	2.0	53.5	3.9	6.5	55.5	0.5
J.Reed #11	GB	3	40	7.8	47.0	3.5	5.0	54.8	0.5
M.Golden #0	GB	4	23	2.4	49.7	3.6	5.9	52.1	0.2
J.Mason #27	MIN	4	20	50.0	2.9	0.8	1.1	52.9	0.4
T.Hockenson #87	MIN	5	58	0.0	47.6	4.9	6.7	47.6	0.3
J.Smith #18	GB	5	4	0.0	47.0	3.0	4.0	47.0	0.0
T.Kraft #85	GB	6	44	0.5	43.2	3.4	4.7	43.7	0.4
G.Bartholomew #86	MIN	6	3	0.0	19.3	2.7	3.0	19.3	0.0
J.Oliver #84	MIN	7	38	0.0	19.0	1.7	2.2	19.0	0.2
K.Johnson #26	GB	7	7	39.4	2.9	0.3	0.9	42.3	0.1
P.Strong #22	GB	8	4	14.8	15.2	2.5	3.0	30.0	0.0
J.Jones #82	MIN	8	3	0.0	10.7	0.3	0.3	10.7	0.0
M.Lloyd #32	GB	9	9	18.2	9.1	1.6	2.0	27.3	0.3
J.Jennings #14	MIN	9	6	0.0	10.5	1.3	2.3	10.5	0.0
C.Brooks #30	GB	10	32	11.2	5.8	0.8	1.1	17.0	0.0
D.Dallas #31	MIN	10	8	3.0	7.4	1.0	1.0	10.4	0.0

Defense Projections

Market


D.Turner #15	MIN	1	22	1.4	3.7	1.4	15.4
B.Cisse #2	GB	1	3	1.8	2.7	2.0	19.0
A.Van Ginkel #43	MIN	2	32	1.3	2.4	1.7	18.5
D.Dennis-Sutton #51	GB	2	5	1.8	4.2	2.6	26.1
K.Van Noy #17	MIN	3	4	1.1	1.5	5.3	26.3
T.Hopper #59	GB	3	2	1.5	3.0	0.5	1.0
J.Ford #96	GB	4	1	1.5	3.0	0.0	12.0
C.Chambliss #32	MIN	4	1	1.0	1.0	1.0	4.0
B.Cashman #51	MIN	5	23	0.9	1.9	1.5	15.2
A.Campbell #93	GB	5	2	1.5	1.5	3.0	25.5
B.Sorrell #99	GB	6	6	1.2	2.8	1.2	8.8
T.Ingram-Dawkins #90	MIN	6	5	0.7	2.0	1.0	6.3
E.Wilson #55	MIN	7	36	0.7	1.4	1.5	11.2
B.Cox #57	GB	7	10	0.9	2.8	1.7	17.2
D.Wyatt #95	GB	8	28	0.9	1.4	1.2	12.0
J.Redmond #61	MIN	8	17	0.5	0.8	1.4	9.2
L.Rodriguez #50	MIN	9	12	0.4	1.2	1.2	7.7
X.McKinney #29	GB	9	6	0.8	1.5	0.8	11.3
L.Van Ness #90	GB	10	29	0.8	2.0	1.2	9.3
Th.Jackson #26	MIN	10	5	0.4	0.6	1.4	9.8

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