Back to week 2
Published Pick
Sun, Sep 20, 11:00 PM UTC
CAR at ATL
Pick
CAR
Confidence
33.8%
Margin
-2.4
Odds
+196
Model Read
The home-team number says ATL wins about 34 out of 100 times. Because the pick is CAR, use the other side of that math: CAR wins about 66 out of 100 times. The -2.4 margin is written from ATL's side, so it means CAR by about 2.4 points. Odds +196 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.
Raw model read: Pick CAR: 66.2% win prob | margin -2.4 pts | confidence: 66.2% away | Offense diffs: favor none; oppose altitude_ft_diff=+2.8e+02, indoor_diff=+1, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.1 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=+2.8e+02, indoor_diff=+1, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.1; oppose none