Back to week 2
Published Pick
Sun, Sep 20, 11:00 PM UTC
NO at BAL
Pick
BAL
Confidence
70.9%
Margin
+5.8
Odds
-244
Model Read
The model says BAL wins about 71 out of 100 times, so the pick and the home-team number are the same side. The +5.8 margin is written from BAL's side, so it means BAL by about 5.8 points. Odds -244 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.
Raw model read: Pick BAL: 70.9% win prob | margin +5.8 pts | confidence: 70.9% home | Offense diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=+10; oppose indoor_diff=-1, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.15 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor indoor_diff=-1, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.15; oppose altitude_ft_diff=+10