Matty The Bookie
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Published Pick

Sun, Sep 20, 11:00 PM UTC

PIT at NE

Pick
NE
Confidence
64.5%
Margin
+0.5
Odds
-181

Model Read

The model says NE wins about 64 out of 100 times, so the pick and the home-team number are the same side. The +0.5 margin is written from NE's side, so it means NE by about 0.5 points. Odds -181 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick NE: 64.5% win prob | margin +0.5 pts | confidence: 64.5% home | Offense diffs: favor none; oppose altitude_ft_diff=-4.6e+02, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.15, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.15 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=-4.6e+02, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.15, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.15; oppose none