IND at KC

Model Read

The model says KC wins about 65 out of 100 times, so the pick and the home-team number are the same side. The +1.3 margin is written from KC's side, so it means KC by about 1.3 points. Odds -185 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick KC: 64.9% win prob | margin +1.3 pts | confidence: 64.9% home | Offense diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=+3.4e+02, fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.55, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.5; oppose indoor_diff=-1 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor indoor_diff=-1; oppose altitude_ft_diff=+3.4e+02, fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.55, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.5