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Published Pick
Mon, Sep 21, 1:00 AM UTC
JAX at DEN
Pick
DEN
Confidence
58.5%
Margin
-0.8
Odds
-141
Model Read
The model says DEN wins about 59 out of 100 times, so the pick and the home-team number are the same side. The -0.8 margin is written from DEN's side, so it means JAX by about 0.8 points. Odds -141 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.
Raw model read: Pick DEN: 58.5% win prob | margin -0.8 pts | confidence: 58.5% home | Offense diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=+5.3e+03, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.25, fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.2; oppose none | Defense-allowed diffs: favor none; oppose altitude_ft_diff=+5.3e+03, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.25, fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.2