Matty The Bookie
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Published Pick

Mon, Sep 21, 12:00 AM UTC

WAS at DAL

Pick
DAL
Confidence
71.2%
Margin
+5.1
Odds
-247

Model Read

The model says DAL wins about 71 out of 100 times, so the pick and the home-team number are the same side. The +5.1 margin is written from DAL's side, so it means DAL by about 5.1 points. Odds -247 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick DAL: 71.2% win prob | margin +5.1 pts | confidence: 71.2% home | Offense diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=+3.5e+02, fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.1, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.1; oppose none | Defense-allowed diffs: favor none; oppose altitude_ft_diff=+3.5e+02, fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.1, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.1