SEA at ARI

Model Read

The home-team number says ARI wins about 29 out of 100 times. Because the pick is SEA, use the other side of that math: SEA wins about 71 out of 100 times. The -5.8 margin is written from ARI's side, so it means SEA by about 5.8 points. Odds +242 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick SEA: 70.8% win prob | margin -5.8 pts | confidence: 70.8% away | Offense diffs: favor crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.5, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.35; oppose altitude_ft_diff=+1e+03, indoor_diff=+1 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=+1e+03, indoor_diff=+1; oppose crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.5, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.35