Matty The Bookie
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Published Pick

Mon, Sep 21, 2:00 AM UTC

LV at LAC

Pick
LAC
Confidence
67.5%
Margin
+4.3
Odds
-208

Model Read

The model says LAC wins about 67 out of 100 times, so the pick and the home-team number are the same side. The +4.3 margin is written from LAC's side, so it means LAC by about 4.3 points. Odds -208 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick LAC: 67.5% win prob | margin +4.3 pts | confidence: 67.5% home | Offense diffs: favor none; oppose altitude_ft_diff=-4.9e+02, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.1, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.1 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=-4.9e+02, fan_hostility_score_diff=-0.1, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.1; oppose none