LA at DEN

Pick

Confidence

35.5%

Margin

-0.3

Odds

+182

Model Read

The home-team number says DEN wins about 35 out of 100 times. Because the pick is LA, use the other side of that math: LA wins about 65 out of 100 times. The -0.3 margin is written from DEN's side, so it means LA by about 0.3 points. Odds +182 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick LA: 64.5% win prob | margin -0.3 pts | confidence: 64.5% away | Offense diffs: favor indoor_diff=-1; oppose altitude_ft_diff=+5.2e+03, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.22, fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.13 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=+5.2e+03, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.22, fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.13; oppose indoor_diff=-1

Player Props

Game Prop Board

Market


T.Ferguson TE	LA	Receiving yds	24.2	50.5	-26.3	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	Medium	OK
K.Williams RB	LA	Rush yds	70.6	54.5	+16.1	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	High	OK
B.Nix QB	DEN	QB pass yds	198.5	211.5	-13.0	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	High	OK
D.Adams WR	LA	Receiving yds	60.8	71.5	-10.7	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	High	OK
E.Engram TE	DEN	Receiving yds	32.0	21.5	+10.5	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	High	OK
R.Harvey RB	DEN	Rush yds	28.5	19.5	+9.0	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	Medium	OK
M.Stafford QB	LA	QB pass yds	250.7	242.5	+8.2	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	High	OK
C.Sutton WR	DEN	Receiving yds	28.7	35.5	-6.8	draftkings	O -112 / U -112	High	OK
B.Corum RB	LA	Rush yds	51.9	46.5	+5.4	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	High	OK
P.Bryant WR	DEN	Receiving yds	20.3	24.5	-4.2	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	Medium	OK
Dj.Jones DL	DEN	Sacks	0.1	1.0	-0.9	draftkings	O +593 / U -	Medium	OK
J.Elliss LB	DEN	Sacks	0.2	1.0	-0.8	draftkings	O +363 / U -	Medium	OK
M.Roach DL	DEN	Sacks	0.3	1.0	-0.7	draftkings	O +312 / U -	Medium	OK
M.Stafford QB	LA	Qb Passing Tds	2.0	1.5	+0.5	hardrock	O -115 / U -115	High	OK
J.Waddle WR	DEN	Receiving yds	59.0	59.5	-0.5	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	High	OK
K.Williams RB	LA	Anytime Td	1.0	0.5	+0.5	draftkings	O -105 / U -	High	OK
J.Dobbins RB	DEN	Rush yds	50.1	50.5	-0.4	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	High	OK
M.Stafford QB	LA	Anytime Td	0.1	0.5	-0.4	draftkings	O +2000 / U -	High	OK
J.Whittington WR	LA	Anytime Td	0.1	0.5	-0.4	draftkings	O +600 / U -	High	OK
D.Adams WR	LA	Anytime Td	0.9	0.5	+0.4	draftkings	O +115 / U -	High	OK
P.Bryant WR	DEN	Anytime Td	0.1	0.5	-0.4	draftkings	O +370 / U -	Medium	OK
T.Atwell WR	LA	Anytime Td	0.1	0.5	-0.4	draftkings	O +1800 / U -	High	OK
L.Humphrey WR	DEN	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +2200 / U -	High	OK
B.Corum RB	LA	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +245 / U -	High	OK
B.Young LB	LA	Sacks	0.6	0.3	+0.3	draftkings	O +148 / U -189	Medium	Injury Review
C.Parkinson TE	LA	Receiving yds	18.2	18.5	-0.3	draftkings	O -112 / U -112	High	Injury Review
C.Parkinson TE	LA	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +340 / U -	High	Injury Review
T.Franklin WR	DEN	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +850 / U -	High	OK
M.Mims WR	DEN	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +750 / U -	High	Injury Review
T.Higbee TE	LA	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +750 / U -	High	Injury Review
N.Bonitto LB	DEN	Sacks	0.6	0.3	+0.3	draftkings	O +162 / U -207	Medium	OK
B.Nix QB	DEN	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +475 / U -	High	OK
B.Nix QB	DEN	Qb Passing Tds	1.2	1.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +125 / U -160	High	OK
E.Engram TE	DEN	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +360 / U -	High	OK
C.Sutton WR	DEN	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +265 / U -	High	OK
J.Waddle WR	DEN	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +205 / U -	High	OK
Z.Allen DL	DEN	Sacks	0.5	0.3	+0.3	draftkings	O +180 / U -233	Medium	OK
T.Ferguson TE	LA	Anytime Td	0.3	0.5	-0.2	draftkings	O +230 / U -	Medium	OK
P.Ford DL	LA	Sacks	0.1	0.3	-0.2	draftkings	O +690 / U -1080	Medium	OK
J.Dobbins RB	DEN	Anytime Td	0.3	0.5	-0.2	draftkings	O +140 / U -	High	OK
J.Stewart LB	LA	Sacks	0.1	0.3	-0.1	draftkings	O +409 / U -562	Medium	OK
B.Fiske DL	LA	Sacks	0.1	0.3	-0.1	draftkings	O +395 / U -540	Medium	OK
K.Turner DL	LA	Sacks	0.2	0.3	-0.1	draftkings	O +270 / U -356	Medium	OK
R.Harvey RB	DEN	Anytime Td	0.5	0.5	-0.0	draftkings	O +350 / U -	Medium	OK

Projection Only

Player Prop Projections

Market


J.Dobbins RB	DEN	Rb Rushing Tds	0.4	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
P.Nacua WR	LA	Anytime Td	0.4	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Injury Exclusion
P.Nacua WR	LA	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.4	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Injury Exclusion
P.Nacua WR	LA	Receiving yds	90.7	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Injury Exclusion
J.Waddle WR	DEN	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
K.Williams RB	LA	Rb Rushing Tds	0.4	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
C.Sutton WR	DEN	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
D.Adams WR	LA	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.5	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
B.Corum RB	LA	Rb Rushing Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
E.Engram TE	DEN	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
T.Atwell WR	LA	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
T.Atwell WR	LA	Receiving yds	22.9	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
T.Franklin WR	DEN	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
T.Franklin WR	DEN	Receiving yds	23.0	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
T.Higbee TE	LA	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Injury Review
T.Higbee TE	LA	Receiving yds	27.6	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Injury Review
C.Parkinson TE	LA	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Injury Review
J.Whittington WR	LA	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
J.Whittington WR	LA	Receiving yds	14.6	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
M.Mims WR	DEN	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Injury Review
M.Mims WR	DEN	Receiving yds	13.9	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Injury Review
L.Humphrey WR	DEN	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
L.Humphrey WR	DEN	Receiving yds	13.3	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
R.Rivers RB	LA	Anytime Td	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Roster Exclusion
R.Rivers RB	LA	Rb Rushing Tds	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Roster Exclusion
R.Rivers RB	LA	Rush yds	11.4	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Roster Exclusion
D.Johnson LB	LA	Sacks	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
D.Tillman LB	DEN	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
J.Stidham QB	DEN	Anytime Td	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
J.Stidham QB	DEN	Qb Passing Tds	0.4	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
J.Stidham QB	DEN	QB pass yds	94.5	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
J.McMillian DB	DEN	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
K.Curl DB	LA	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	Injury Review
R.Harvey RB	DEN	Rb Rushing Tds	0.3	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
J.Strnad LB	DEN	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
J.McCollough DB	LA	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
P.Bryant WR	DEN	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
Q.Lake DB	LA	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
E.Uwazurike DL	DEN	Sacks	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
T.Davis DL	LA	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
T.Ferguson TE	LA	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.3	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
T.Hufanga DB	DEN	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
S.Bennett QB	LA	Anytime Td	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Low	OK
S.Bennett QB	LA	Qb Passing Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	Low	OK
S.Bennett QB	LA	QB pass yds	47.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Low	OK
J.Coleman RB	DEN	Anytime Td	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	Low	Roster Exclusion
J.Coleman RB	DEN	Rb Rushing Tds	0.3	-	-	-	O - / U -	Low	Roster Exclusion
J.Coleman RB	DEN	Rush yds	29.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	Low	Roster Exclusion

Player Projections

QB Projections

Market


M.Stafford #9	LA	1	76	261.7	1.9	22.4	0.6	2.1
B.Nix #10	DEN	1	36	225.7	1.6	22.3	0.3	22.1
J.Stidham #8	DEN	2	5	99.2	0.4	8.0	0.2	2.4
S.Bennett #13	LA	2	1	13.0	0.0	2.0	0.0	9.0

Offense Projections

Market


P.Nacua #12	LA	1	45	5.3	94.8	7.1	9.8	100.1	0.5
J.Dobbins #27	DEN	1	12	70.3	3.1	0.9	1.2	73.4	0.3
K.Williams #23	LA	2	55	72.0	14.2	2.1	2.8	86.2	0.8
J.Waddle #17	DEN	2	2	0.0	70.0	4.5	6.5	70.0	0.0
C.Sutton #14	DEN	3	116	0.2	55.1	4.0	6.7	55.3	0.3
D.Adams #17	LA	3	16	0.0	63.1	4.4	8.1	63.1	1.0
B.Corum #24	LA	4	33	32.9	3.2	0.5	0.7	36.2	0.2
R.Harvey #12	DEN	4	18	31.0	21.1	2.8	3.4	52.1	0.7
T.Atwell #8	LA	5	50	1.4	31.1	2.1	3.6	32.5	0.1
E.Engram #1	DEN	5	18	0.4	28.9	3.1	4.6	29.3	0.1
T.Higbee #89	LA	6	128	0.0	30.9	3.0	4.5	31.0	0.2
T.Franklin #11	DEN	6	35	0.7	28.5	2.7	4.6	29.3	0.2
C.Parkinson #84	LA	7	31	0.0	23.3	2.5	3.5	23.3	0.3
P.Bryant #13	DEN	7	15	1.1	28.0	2.3	3.7	29.1	0.1
J.Whittington #88	LA	8	22	1.1	21.5	1.9	2.5	22.5	0.0
J.Coleman #20	DEN	8	2	19.5	9.5	1.5	1.5	29.0	0.5
M.Mims #19	DEN	9	47	3.2	25.6	2.1	2.9	28.8	0.2
T.Ferguson #18	LA	9	13	0.0	21.9	1.3	2.7	21.9	0.3
L.Humphrey #5	DEN	10	31	0.0	17.9	1.7	2.6	17.9	0.2
R.Rivers #20	LA	10	21	15.0	4.3	0.8	0.8	19.2	0.0

Defense Projections

Market


N.Bonitto #15	DEN	1	46	0.8	1.6	1.0	10.9
D.Johnson #94	LA	1	6	0.8	1.5	0.8	10.7
D.Tillman #92	DEN	2	12	0.8	1.3	0.7	11.9
J.Stewart #10	LA	2	4	0.8	1.5	0.8	8.0
J.McMillian #29	DEN	3	12	0.6	0.8	1.3	12.3
K.Curl #3	LA	3	4	0.8	0.8	0.8	6.3
K.Turner #91	LA	4	33	0.7	1.3	0.8	11.9
J.Elliss #52	DEN	4	13	0.6	0.8	0.9	9.5
J.Strnad #40	DEN	5	16	0.5	0.8	0.8	5.4
B.Fiske #55	LA	5	16	0.7	1.3	0.9	13.7
B.Young #0	LA	6	39	0.7	1.6	0.8	7.8
M.Roach #97	DEN	6	14	0.5	0.9	0.6	5.0
Z.Allen #99	DEN	7	48	0.4	2.3	0.6	4.6
J.McCollough #2	LA	7	3	0.7	1.0	0.7	14.7
Dj.Jones #93	DEN	8	20	0.4	0.8	0.7	4.7
Q.Lake #37	LA	8	8	0.5	0.5	0.6	6.3
E.Uwazurike #96	DEN	9	10	0.4	0.8	0.5	3.4
T.Davis #90	LA	9	5	0.3	0.6	0.6	6.2
P.Ford #97	LA	10	7	0.3	0.7	0.6	4.9
T.Hufanga #9	DEN	10	5	0.4	0.6	1.2	8.2

Previous: LV at NO Next: PHI at CHI