TEN at NYG

Pick

TEN

Confidence

42.1%

Margin

+0.3

Odds

+138

Model Read

The home-team number says NYG wins about 42 out of 100 times. Because the pick is TEN, use the other side of that math: TEN wins about 58 out of 100 times. The +0.3 margin is written from NYG's side, so it means NYG by about 0.3 points. Odds +138 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick TEN: 57.9% win prob | margin +0.3 pts | confidence: 57.9% away | Offense diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=-4.1e+02; oppose fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.15, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.05 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor fan_hostility_score_diff=+0.15, crowd_noise_score_diff=+0.05; oppose altitude_ft_diff=-4.1e+02

Player Props

Game Prop Board

Market


C.Ridley WR	TEN	Receiving yds	51.9	13.5	+38.4	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	High	OK
E.Ayomanor WR	TEN	Receiving yds	41.9	13.5	+28.4	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	Medium	OK
C.Ward QB	TEN	QB pass yds	205.9	178.5	+27.4	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	Medium	OK
D.Mooney WR	NYG	Receiving yds	35.2	17.5	+17.7	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	High	OK
T.Spears RB	TEN	Rush yds	27.6	16.5	+11.1	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	High	Injury Review
M.Nabers WR	NYG	Receiving yds	62.6	52.5	+10.1	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	High	OK
C.Skattebo RB	NYG	Rush yds	48.7	58.5	-9.8	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	Medium	OK
W.Robinson WR	TEN	Receiving yds	39.3	30.5	+8.8	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	High	OK
D.Singletary RB	NYG	Rush yds	19.5	12.5	+7.0	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	High	OK
J.Winston QB	NYG	QB pass yds	193.4	199.5	-6.1	draftkings	O -112 / U -112	High	OK
I.Likely TE	NYG	Receiving yds	33.4	38.5	-5.1	draftkings	O -112 / U -112	High	OK
T.Pollard RB	TEN	Rush yds	54.5	59.5	-5.0	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	High	Injury Review
C.Tate WR	TEN	Receiving yds	34.2	38.5	-4.3	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	Low	OK
M.Fields WR	NYG	Receiving yds	24.0	20.5	+3.5	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	Low	OK
C.Golston DL	NYG	Sacks	0.1	1.0	-0.9	fanduel	O +188 / U -	Medium	OK
J.Simmons DL	TEN	Sacks	0.9	0.3	+0.6	draftkings	O +118 / U -150	Medium	OK
B.Burns LB	NYG	Sacks	0.4	1.0	-0.6	fanduel	O -166 / U -	Medium	Injury Review
J.Winston QB	NYG	Qb Passing Tds	0.9	0.5	+0.4	fanduel	O -240 / U +178	High	OK
J.Chestnut RB	TEN	Anytime Td	0.1	0.5	-0.4	draftkings	O +2000 / U -	High	OK
C.Tate WR	TEN	Anytime Td	0.1	0.5	-0.4	draftkings	O +330 / U -	Low	OK
M.Fields WR	NYG	Anytime Td	0.1	0.5	-0.4	draftkings	O +550 / U -	Low	OK
J.Winston QB	NYG	Anytime Td	0.1	0.5	-0.4	draftkings	O +700 / U -	High	OK
N.Singleton RB	TEN	Anytime Td	0.1	0.5	-0.4	draftkings	O +650 / U -	Low	Injury Exclusion
D.Mooney WR	NYG	Anytime Td	0.1	0.5	-0.4	draftkings	O +700 / U -	High	OK
G.Helm TE	TEN	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +550 / U -	Medium	OK
W.Robinson WR	TEN	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +400 / U -	High	OK
T.Johnson TE	NYG	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +900 / U -	High	OK
T.Spears RB	TEN	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +475 / U -	High	Injury Review
C.Dike WR	TEN	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +1200 / U -	Medium	OK
T.Pollard RB	TEN	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +145 / U -	High	Injury Review
T.Tracy RB	NYG	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +700 / U -	High	Injury Review
C.Ward QB	TEN	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +500 / U -	Medium	OK
N.Harris RB	NYG	Rush yds	20.8	20.5	+0.3	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	High	Injury Exclusion
C.Ward QB	TEN	Qb Passing Tds	0.8	0.5	+0.3	fanduel	O -182 / U +138	Medium	OK
E.Ayomanor WR	TEN	Anytime Td	0.2	0.5	-0.3	draftkings	O +700 / U -	Medium	OK
C.Ridley WR	TEN	Anytime Td	0.3	0.5	-0.2	draftkings	O +750 / U -	High	OK
A.Carter LB	NYG	Sacks	0.5	0.3	+0.2	draftkings	O -134 / U +106	Medium	OK
M.Nabers WR	NYG	Anytime Td	0.3	0.5	-0.2	draftkings	O +235 / U -	High	OK
I.Likely TE	NYG	Anytime Td	0.3	0.5	-0.2	draftkings	O +310 / U -	High	OK
N.Harris RB	NYG	Anytime Td	0.4	0.5	-0.1	draftkings	O +370 / U -	High	Injury Exclusion
G.Helm TE	TEN	Receiving yds	21.6	21.5	+0.1	fanduel	O -113 / U -113	Medium	OK
K.Thibodeaux LB	NYG	Sacks	0.2	0.3	-0.1	draftkings	O +167 / U -216	Medium	OK
C.Skattebo RB	NYG	Anytime Td	0.5	0.5	-0.0	draftkings	O +100 / U -	Medium	OK

Projection Only

Player Prop Projections

Market


T.Pollard RB	TEN	Rb Rushing Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Injury Review
C.Ridley WR	TEN	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.3	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
M.Nabers WR	NYG	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
T.Spears RB	TEN	Rb Rushing Tds	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Injury Review
T.Tracy RB	NYG	Rb Rushing Tds	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Injury Review
T.Tracy RB	NYG	Rush yds	29.9	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Injury Review
I.Likely TE	NYG	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.3	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
D.Slayton WR	NYG	Anytime Td	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Roster Mismatch
D.Slayton WR	NYG	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Roster Mismatch
D.Slayton WR	NYG	Receiving yds	34.8	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Roster Mismatch
D.Mooney WR	NYG	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
D.Singletary RB	NYG	Anytime Td	0.3	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
D.Singletary RB	NYG	Rb Rushing Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
W.Robinson WR	TEN	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
T.Johnson TE	NYG	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
T.Johnson TE	NYG	Receiving yds	20.3	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
J.Chestnut RB	TEN	Rb Rushing Tds	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
J.Chestnut RB	TEN	Rush yds	6.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	OK
N.Harris RB	NYG	Rb Rushing Tds	0.3	-	-	-	O - / U -	High	Injury Exclusion
C.Skattebo RB	NYG	Rb Rushing Tds	0.3	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
T.Jones DL	TEN	Sacks	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
D.Alexander DL	NYG	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
J.Dart QB	NYG	Anytime Td	0.5	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	Roster Exclusion
J.Dart QB	NYG	Qb Passing Tds	0.9	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	Roster Exclusion
J.Dart QB	NYG	QB pass yds	116.6	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	Roster Exclusion
C.Barton LB	TEN	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
E.Ayomanor WR	TEN	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
J.Williams LB	TEN	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
Z.Barnes LB	NYG	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
K.Winston DB	TEN	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
C.Dike WR	TEN	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.2	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
C.Dike WR	TEN	Receiving yds	20.9	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
C.Gray LB	TEN	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	Injury Review
A.Hooker DB	TEN	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
A.Phillips DB	NYG	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
F.Oladejo LB	TEN	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
G.Helm TE	TEN	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
D.Banks DB	NYG	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	Injury Review
M.Harris DB	TEN	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
M.Robinson DB	TEN	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	OK
T.Nubin DB	NYG	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Medium	Injury Review
C.Tate WR	TEN	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Low	OK
M.McFadden LB	NYG	Sacks	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Low	OK
M.Fields WR	NYG	Wrte Receiving Tds	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Low	OK
N.Singleton RB	TEN	Rb Rushing Tds	0.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Low	Injury Exclusion
N.Singleton RB	TEN	Rush yds	17.1	-	-	-	O - / U -	Low	Injury Exclusion

Player Projections

QB Projections

Market


C.Ward #1	TEN	1	19	183.8	0.8	18.7	9.8
J.Winston #19	NYG	1	4	169.5	0.5	12.0	6.0
J.Dart #6	NYG	2	16	157.6	1.1	15.1	33.8

Offense Projections

Market


T.Pollard #20	TEN	1	35	64.6	12.7	2.2	2.9	77.3	0.3
C.Skattebo #44	NYG	1	10	52.7	22.6	2.8	3.6	75.3	0.8
C.Ridley #0	TEN	2	25	2.2	54.2	3.3	6.3	56.4	0.2
M.Nabers #1	NYG	2	21	0.1	73.6	6.4	10.4	73.7	0.4
T.Spears #2	TEN	3	44	25.0	20.8	3.0	3.7	45.8	0.2
T.Tracy #29	NYG	3	34	46.9	16.8	2.2	3.0	63.7	0.3
E.Ayomanor #5	TEN	4	18	0.0	33.1	2.4	5.3	33.1	0.3
I.Likely #9	NYG	4	2	0.0	55.5	6.5	9.0	55.5	1.0
D.Slayton #18	NYG	5	103	0.0	43.1	2.9	5.1	43.1	0.2
C.Tate #14	TEN	5	2	0.0	32.5	3.5	5.5	32.5	0.0
C.Dike #17	TEN	6	19	0.9	22.6	2.6	4.0	23.6	0.2
D.Mooney #17	NYG	6	2	0.0	37.5	2.0	2.5	37.5	0.0
D.Singletary #26	NYG	7	34	26.4	8.6	1.3	1.4	35.0	0.3
W.Robinson #4	TEN	7	2	0.0	23.5	3.0	3.5	23.5	0.0
T.Johnson #84	NYG	8	27	0.0	32.1	2.8	4.5	32.1	0.2
G.Helm #84	TEN	8	18	0.0	22.1	2.8	3.4	22.1	0.1
M.Fields #88	NYG	9	2	0.0	27.5	2.0	5.0	27.5	0.0
N.Singleton #32	TEN	9	1	10.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.0	0.0
J.Chestnut #36	TEN	10	27	5.7	1.9	0.2	0.3	7.6	0.0
N.Harris #23	NYG	10	1	6.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	6.0	0.0

Defense Projections

Market


B.Burns #0	NYG	1	29	0.9	1.7	1.3	15.5
T.Jones #56	TEN	1	2	0.8	1.0	1.0	13.5
J.Simmons #98	TEN	2	62	0.7	1.4	1.1	10.5
D.Alexander #91	NYG	2	5	0.7	1.2	0.8	10.5
K.Thibodeaux #5	NYG	3	38	0.6	1.4	0.8	9.3
C.Barton #50	TEN	3	4	0.3	0.3	1.0	8.0
J.Williams #52	TEN	4	4	0.3	0.3	0.8	6.3
Z.Barnes #46	NYG	4	2	0.5	0.5	1.0	5.5
A.Carter #3	NYG	5	11	0.4	2.1	0.6	5.0
K.Winston #23	TEN	5	5	0.2	0.8	0.8	5.8
C.Gray #33	TEN	6	8	0.1	0.4	0.9	3.3
C.Golston #57	NYG	6	3	0.3	0.3	1.7	8.3
M.McFadden #41	NYG	7	22	0.3	0.7	1.2	4.7
A.Hooker #37	TEN	7	14	0.1	0.2	0.9	2.6
A.Phillips #22	NYG	8	13	0.1	0.1	1.1	3.2
F.Oladejo #7	TEN	8	2	0.0	1.0	1.0	4.0
D.Banks #2	NYG	9	4	0.0	0.0	1.3	1.8
M.Harris #26	TEN	9	1	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.0
T.Nubin #27	NYG	10	10	0.0	0.0	1.1	2.5
M.Robinson #21	TEN	10	1	0.0	0.0	1.0	2.0

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