Matty The Bookie
Back to week 6

Published Pick

Sun, Oct 18, 5:00 PM UTC

NO at NYG

Pick
NYG
Confidence
56.6%
Margin
+0.2
Odds
-130

Model Read

The model says NYG wins about 57 out of 100 times, so the pick and the home-team number are the same side. The +0.2 margin is written from NYG's side, so it means NYG by about 0.2 points. Odds -130 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick NYG: 56.6% win prob | margin +0.2 pts | confidence: 56.6% home | Offense diffs: favor none; oppose altitude_ft_diff=-4, indoor_diff=-1, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.25 | Defense-allowed diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=-4, indoor_diff=-1, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.25; oppose none

Final Result

Graded Result

Final
NO 34, NYG 27
Pick
NYG ML
Result
Loss
SU
Loss
ATS
Loss
Margin Error
7.2
Moneyline Profit?
-1.00u

Player Props

Game Prop Board

C.Skattebo
RB
NYGRush yds58.241.5+16.7fanduelO -113 / U -113MediumOK
J.Winston
QB
NYGQB pass yds232.0220.5+11.5draftkingsO -112 / U -112HighOK
N.Fant
TE
NOReceiving yds21.110.5+10.6fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
I.Likely
TE
NYGReceiving yds41.651.5-9.9fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
C.Donaldson
RB
NORush yds18.610.5+8.1fanduelO -113 / U -113MediumOK
K.Miller
RB
NORush yds26.634.5-7.9fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
M.Fields
WR
NYGReceiving yds29.322.5+6.8fanduelO -113 / U -113MediumOK
M.Nabers
WR
NYGReceiving yds67.671.5-3.9fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
N.Harris
RB
NYGRush yds28.732.5-3.8fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
C.Olave
WR
NOReceiving yds81.379.5+1.8fanduelO -113 / U -113HighInjury Review
J.Johnson
TE
NOReceiving yds40.739.5+1.2fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
Shelby Harris
DL
NYGSacks0.11.0-0.9draftkingsO +226 / U -HighOK
D.Alexander
DL
NYGSacks0.21.0-0.8draftkingsO +195 / U -MediumOK
Arvell Reese
LB
NYGSacks0.21.0-0.8fanduelO +280 / U -MediumOK
D.Vele
WR
NOReceiving yds42.241.5+0.7fanduelO -113 / U -113HighOK
J.Winston
QB
NYGQb Passing Tds1.01.5-0.5draftkingsO +110 / U -141HighOK
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +4500 / U -MediumOK
T.Shough
QB
NOThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +35000 / U -MediumOK
B.Lance
WR
NOThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +25000 / U -MediumOK
C.Donaldson
RB
NOThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +40000 / U -MediumOK
J.McCarthy
QB
NYGThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +25000 / U -MediumOK
M.Fields
WR
NYGThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +40000 / U -MediumOK
N.Fant
TE
NOThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +25000 / U -HighOK
D.Singletary
RB
NYGThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +25000 / U -HighOK
C.Olave
WR
NOThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +8000 / U -HighInjury Review
D.Vele
WR
NOThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +22500 / U -HighOK
K.Miller
RB
NOThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +8000 / U -HighOK
J.Winston
QB
NYGThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +20000 / U -HighOK
M.Nabers
WR
NYGThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +10000 / U -HighOK
T.Tracy
RB
NYGThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +20000 / U -HighOK
I.Likely
TE
NYGThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +8000 / U -HighOK
N.Harris
RB
NYGThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +17500 / U -HighOK
J.Johnson
TE
NOThree Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +25000 / U -HighOK
J.McCarthy
QB
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +13000 / U -MediumOK
J.Winston
QB
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +12500 / U -HighOK
D.Vele
WR
NOTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +2700 / U -HighOK
K.Miller
RB
NOTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1300 / U -HighOK
N.Fant
TE
NOTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +10000 / U -HighOK
B.Lance
WR
NOTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +8000 / U -MediumOK
M.Fields
WR
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +5500 / U -MediumOK
C.Donaldson
RB
NOTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +5500 / U -MediumOK
T.Tracy
RB
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +10000 / U -HighOK
N.Fant
TE
NOFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +3500 / U -HighOK
J.Johnson
TE
NOFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1500 / U -HighOK
A.Kamara
RB
NORush yds26.025.5+0.5fanduelO -113 / U -113HighInjury Review
J.Winston
QB
NYGFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +4000 / U -HighOK
T.Shough
QB
NOFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +1750 / U -MediumOK
B.Lance
WR
NOFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +3000 / U -MediumOK
M.Fields
WR
NYGFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2500 / U -MediumOK
C.Donaldson
RB
NOFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2800 / U -MediumOK
D.Singletary
RB
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +10000 / U -HighOK
C.Olave
WR
NOTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1100 / U -HighInjury Review
I.Likely
TE
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +1300 / U -HighOK
J.Johnson
TE
NOTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2500 / U -HighOK
N.Harris
RB
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +2500 / U -HighOK
T.Shough
QB
NOTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +3500 / U -MediumOK
J.Winston
QB
NYGLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -9000 / U -HighOK
M.Fields
WR
NYGLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -7000 / U -MediumOK
K.Miller
RB
NOLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -3000 / U -HighOK
B.Lance
WR
NOLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -8000 / U -MediumOK
C.Donaldson
RB
NOLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -6000 / U -MediumOK
D.Vele
WR
NOFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1500 / U -HighOK
C.Olave
WR
NOFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +900 / U -HighInjury Review
J.Johnson
TE
NOLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +1200 / U -HighOK
N.Fant
TE
NOLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -9000 / U -HighOK
D.Singletary
RB
NYGFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +3500 / U -HighOK
I.Likely
TE
NYGLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -2500 / U -HighOK
T.Johnson
TE
NYGLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +3000 / U -HighInjury Exclusion
K.Miller
RB
NOFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +1000 / U -HighOK
T.Tracy
RB
NYGFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +3000 / U -HighOK
D.Singletary
RB
NYGLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -10000 / U -HighOK
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +650 / U -MediumOK
T.Shough
QB
NOLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +1600 / U -MediumOK
J.McCarthy
QB
NYGFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +5500 / U -MediumOK
D.Vele
WR
NOLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO +1300 / U -HighOK
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +600 / U -MediumOK
T.Johnson
TE
NYGFirst Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -10000 / U -HighInjury Exclusion
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.00.5-0.5fanduelO +750 / U -MediumOK
M.Nabers
WR
NYGLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -2500 / U -HighOK
C.Olave
WR
NOLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -2200 / U -HighInjury Review
T.Tracy
RB
NYGLast Td0.00.5-0.5hardrockO -9000 / U -HighOK
M.Nabers
WR
NYGFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +900 / U -HighOK
I.Likely
TE
NYGFirst Td0.00.5-0.5draftkingsO +950 / U -HighOK
A.Kamara
RB
NOLast Td0.10.5-0.4hardrockO +1200 / U -HighInjury Review
M.Nabers
WR
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +1200 / U -HighOK
N.Harris
RB
NYGFirst Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1400 / U -HighOK
A.Kamara
RB
NOFirst Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +1400 / U -HighInjury Review
T.Shough
QB
NOQB pass yds227.1227.5-0.4fanduelO -113 / U -113MediumOK
N.Harris
RB
NYGLast Td0.10.5-0.4hardrockO +1750 / U -HighOK
A.Kamara
RB
NOThree Plus Tds0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +22500 / U -HighInjury Review
J.Winston
QB
NYGAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4fanduelO +750 / U -HighOK
A.Kamara
RB
NOTwo Plus Tds0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +2200 / U -HighInjury Review
C.Donaldson
RB
NORb Rushing Tds0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +500 / U -MediumFallback Line
B.Lance
WR
NOWrte Receiving Tds0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +600 / U -MediumFallback Line
B.Lance
WR
NOAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +600 / U -MediumOK
C.Donaldson
RB
NOAnytime Td0.10.5-0.4draftkingsO +500 / U -MediumOK
M.Fields
WR
NYGWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +470 / U -MediumFallback Line
T.Tracy
RB
NYGRb Rushing Tds0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +750 / U -HighFallback Line
M.Fields
WR
NYGAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +470 / U -MediumOK
T.Tracy
RB
NYGAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +750 / U -HighOK
N.Fant
TE
NOAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +750 / U -HighOK
T.Shough
QB
NOAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +340 / U -MediumOK
D.Vele
WR
NOWrte Receiving Tds0.20.5-0.3fanduelO +280 / U -HighFallback Line
K.Miller
RB
NOAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +180 / U -HighOK
C.Olave
WR
NOAnytime Td0.20.5-0.3draftkingsO +145 / U -HighInjury Review
C.Olave
WR
NOWrte Receiving Tds0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +145 / U -HighInjury Review
D.Singletary
RB
NYGRb Rushing Tds0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +750 / U -HighFallback Line
T.Shough
QB
NOQb Passing Tds1.31.5-0.2draftkingsO -102 / U -125MediumOK
D.Vele
WR
NOAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +280 / U -HighOK
I.Likely
TE
NYGWrte Receiving Tds0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +160 / U -HighFallback Line
D.Singletary
RB
NYGAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +750 / U -HighOK
N.Fant
TE
NOWrte Receiving Tds0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +750 / U -HighFallback Line
N.Harris
RB
NYGAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2fanduelO +290 / U -HighOK
J.McCarthy
QB
NYGAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +1100 / U -MediumOK
C.Young
LB
NOSacks0.50.8-0.2draftkingsO -115 / U -109MediumOK
J.Johnson
TE
NOAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +275 / U -HighOK
J.Johnson
TE
NOWrte Receiving Tds0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +275 / U -HighFallback Line
A.Kamara
RB
NORb Rushing Tds0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +265 / U -HighInjury Review
I.Likely
TE
NYGAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +160 / U -HighOK
M.Nabers
WR
NYGAnytime Td0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +155 / U -HighOK
K.Miller
RB
NORb Rushing Tds0.30.5-0.2draftkingsO +180 / U -HighFallback Line
A.Kamara
RB
NOAnytime Td0.60.5+0.1draftkingsO +265 / U -HighInjury Review
C.Granderson
LB
NOSacks0.40.3+0.1draftkingsO +125 / U -159HighOK
N.Harris
RB
NYGRb Rushing Tds0.40.5-0.1fanduelO +290 / U -HighFallback Line
M.Nabers
WR
NYGWrte Receiving Tds0.40.5-0.1draftkingsO +155 / U -HighFallback Line
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGAnytime Td0.40.5-0.1draftkingsO +110 / U -MediumOK
B.Lance
WR
NOReceiving yds13.613.5+0.1fanduelO -113 / U -113MediumOK
C.Skattebo
RB
NYGRb Rushing Tds0.60.5+0.1draftkingsO +110 / U -MediumFallback Line
A.Carter
LB
NYGSacks0.30.3+0.0draftkingsO -119 / U -106HighInjury Review
K.Thibodeaux
LB
NYGSacks0.20.3-0.0draftkingsO +114 / U -144MediumOK
Tyree Wilson
DL
NOSacks0.20.3-0.0draftkingsO +365 / U -494MediumOK
C.Jordan
LB
NOSacks0.20.3-0.0draftkingsO +287 / U -379HighOK

Projection Only

Player Prop Projections

B.Burns
LB
NYGSacks0.4---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
O.Beckham
WR
NYGAnytime Td0.2---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
O.Beckham
WR
NYGFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
O.Beckham
WR
NYGLast Td0.1---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
O.Beckham
WR
NYGThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
O.Beckham
WR
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
O.Beckham
WR
NYGWrte Receiving Tds0.2---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
O.Beckham
WR
NYGReceiving yds19.5---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
T.Etienne
RB
NOAnytime Td0.3---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Etienne
RB
NOFirst Td0.1---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Etienne
RB
NOLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Etienne
RB
NORb Rushing Tds0.2---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Etienne
RB
NORush yds53.4---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Etienne
RB
NOThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Etienne
RB
NOTwo Plus Tds0.1---O - / U -HighRoster Exclusion
T.Tracy
RB
NYGRush yds17.0---O - / U -HighOK
D.Slayton
WR
NYGAnytime Td0.2---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
D.Slayton
WR
NYGFirst Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
D.Slayton
WR
NYGLast Td0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
D.Slayton
WR
NYGThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
D.Slayton
WR
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
D.Slayton
WR
NYGWrte Receiving Tds0.2---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
D.Slayton
WR
NYGReceiving yds29.8---O - / U -HighRoster Mismatch
N.Shepherd
DL
NOSacks0.1---O - / U -HighInjury Review
D.Singletary
RB
NYGRush yds21.9---O - / U -HighOK
A.Phillips
DB
NYGSacks0.2---O - / U -HighOK
J.Reid
DB
NOSacks0.1---O - / U -HighOK
T.Johnson
TE
NYGAnytime Td0.2---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
T.Johnson
TE
NYGThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
T.Johnson
TE
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
T.Johnson
TE
NYGWrte Receiving Tds0.2---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
T.Johnson
TE
NYGReceiving yds23.4---O - / U -HighInjury Exclusion
P.Werner
LB
NOSacks0.1---O - / U -HighInjury Review
J.Dart
QB
NYGAnytime Td0.4---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Dart
QB
NYGFirst Td0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Dart
QB
NYGLast Td0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Dart
QB
NYGQb Passing Tds1.1---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Dart
QB
NYGQB pass yds100.8---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Dart
QB
NYGThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Dart
QB
NYGTwo Plus Tds0.1---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
S.Rattler
QB
NOAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
S.Rattler
QB
NOFirst Td0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
S.Rattler
QB
NOLast Td0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
S.Rattler
QB
NOQb Passing Tds0.5---O - / U -MediumOK
S.Rattler
QB
NOQB pass yds73.9---O - / U -MediumOK
S.Rattler
QB
NOThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
S.Rattler
QB
NOTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
I.Stalbird
LB
NOSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
J.McCarthy
QB
NYGLast Td0.0---O - / U -MediumOK
J.McCarthy
QB
NYGQb Passing Tds0.3---O - / U -MediumOK
J.McCarthy
QB
NYGQB pass yds37.6---O - / U -MediumOK
Z.Barnes
LB
NYGSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
C.Rumph
LB
NOSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
C.Golston
DL
NYGSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
J.Howden
DB
NOSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
D.Banks
DB
NYGSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumOK
K.Austin
WR
NOAnytime Td0.1---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
K.Austin
WR
NOFirst Td0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
K.Austin
WR
NOLast Td0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
K.Austin
WR
NOThree Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
K.Austin
WR
NOTwo Plus Tds0.0---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
K.Austin
WR
NOWrte Receiving Tds0.1---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
K.Austin
WR
NOReceiving yds17.8---O - / U -MediumRoster Exclusion
K.Boyd
DL
NOSacks0.2---O - / U -MediumOK
T.Nubin
DB
NYGSacks0.1---O - / U -MediumInjury Exclusion
M.McFadden
LB
NYGSacks0.1---O - / U -LowOK

Player Projections

QB Projections

T.Shough
#6
NO116305.41.829.90.020.6
J.Winston
#19
NYG17196.01.116.10.09.3
S.Rattler
#2
NO216181.40.819.00.319.6
J.Dart
#6
NYG216157.61.115.10.033.8
J.McCarthy
#18
NYG310.00.00.00.02.0

Offense Projections

A.Kamara
#41
NO113057.038.74.86.195.70.7
O.Beckham
#9
NYG1601.291.36.510.492.50.7
C.Olave
#12
NO2600.179.36.19.379.30.3
C.Skattebo
#44
NYG21354.222.02.63.476.20.6
M.Nabers
#1
NYG3240.175.26.510.575.20.5
T.Etienne
#3
NO3342.717.03.74.359.70.0
T.Tracy
#29
NYG43743.316.12.02.859.40.3
D.Vele
#14
NO4140.055.15.17.655.10.4
J.Johnson
#83
NO5830.036.03.24.636.00.3
I.Likely
#9
NYG550.056.86.69.656.80.8
D.Slayton
#11
NYG61030.043.12.95.143.10.2
K.Miller
#5
NO62426.48.81.21.535.10.3
D.Singletary
#26
NYG73426.48.61.31.435.00.3
N.Fant
#87
NO740.034.84.36.334.81.5
T.Johnson
#84
NYG8290.031.52.74.331.50.2
B.Lance
#18
NO850.022.82.05.822.80.0
K.Austin
#81
NO9140.621.31.83.321.90.1
M.Fields
#88
NYG950.029.22.03.429.20.2
C.Donaldson
#43
NO10514.22.61.41.816.80.0
N.Harris
#23
NYG10424.21.20.30.325.50.0

Defense Projections

C.Jordan
#94
NO11680.81.51.010.6
B.Burns
#0
NYG1290.91.71.315.5
C.Young
#99
NO2210.71.70.911.1
D.Alexander
#91
NYG250.71.20.810.5
K.Thibodeaux
#5
NYG3380.61.40.89.3
I.Stalbird
#44
NO330.71.00.710.0
C.Granderson
#96
NO4530.71.31.09.1
Z.Barnes
#46
NYG420.50.51.05.5
A.Carter
#3
NYG5110.42.10.65.0
C.Rumph
#58
NO550.40.80.65.0
N.Shepherd
#93
NO6210.41.30.55.5
C.Golston
#57
NYG630.30.31.78.3
M.McFadden
#41
NYG7220.30.71.24.7
J.Howden
#31
NO740.30.30.54.0
A.Phillips
#22
NYG8130.10.11.13.2
J.Reid
#21
NO830.20.30.72.8
P.Werner
#20
NO9190.10.30.92.4
D.Banks
#2
NYG940.00.01.31.8
T.Nubin
#27
NYG10100.00.01.12.5
K.Boyd
#97
NO1010.01.00.00.0