LA at WAS

Pick

Confidence

51.9%

Margin

-1.6

Odds

+108

Model Read

The home-team number says WAS wins about 48 out of 100 times. Because the pick is LA, use the other side of that math: LA wins about 52 out of 100 times. The -1.6 margin is written from WAS's side, so it means LA by about 1.6 points. Odds +108 are the sportsbook price for the pick, not another confidence score.

Raw model read: Pick LA: 51.9% win prob | margin -1.6 pts | confidence: 51.9% away | Offense diffs: favor altitude_ft_diff=-50, indoor_diff=-1, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.03; oppose none | Defense-allowed diffs: favor none; oppose altitude_ft_diff=-50, indoor_diff=-1, crowd_noise_score_diff=-0.03

Player Props

Model Watchlist

No official player prop picks cleared today's historical price gate. This watchlist shows the strongest model signals for context.

Market


S.Diggs WR	WAS	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.5 vs 0.5 +0.0	fanduel	Research only
Davis Allen TE	LA	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.4 vs 0.5 -0.1	fanduel	Research only
A.Ekeler RB	WAS	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	fanduel	Research only
Colson Yankoff TE	WAS	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	fanduel	Research only
Ben Sinnott TE	WAS	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	fanduel	Research only
R.Rivers RB	LA	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
M.Stafford QB	LA	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
T.Atwell WR	LA	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
Luke McCaffrey WR	WAS	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
C.Okonkwo TE	WAS	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
T.Higbee TE	LA	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.3 vs 0.5 -0.2	fanduel	Research only
Konata Mumpfield WR	LA	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	draftkings	Research only
A.Williams WR	WAS	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
J.Daniels QB	WAS	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	fanduel	Research only
Luke McCaffrey WR	WAS	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	fanduel	Research only
Ben Sinnott TE	WAS	First Td	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
R.Rivers RB	LA	First Td	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
Van Jefferson WR	WAS	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	69 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
T.Atwell WR	LA	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	66 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
Colson Yankoff TE	WAS	First Td	Over 0.5	64 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
C.Parkinson TE	LA	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	64 Review First	0.3 vs 0.5 -0.2	fanduel	Research only
John Bates TE	WAS	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	64 Review First	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	fanduel	Research only
J.Whittington WR	LA	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	64 Review First	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
M.Stafford QB	LA	First Td	Over 0.5	63 Mild Lean	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
John Bates TE	WAS	First Td	Over 0.5	63 Review First	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
R.Rivers RB	LA	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	61 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
A.Williams WR	WAS	Receiving yds	Under 49.5	61 Mild Lean	37.4 vs 49.5 -12.1	fanduel	O -113 / U -113
K.Williams RB	LA	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	60 Mild Lean	0.6 vs 0.5 +0.1	fanduel	Research only
J.Whittington WR	LA	First Td	Over 0.5	60 Review First	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
M.Stafford QB	LA	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	59 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
M.Stafford QB	LA	QB pass yds	Over 246.5	58 Mild Lean	268.4 vs 246.5 +21.9	fanduel	O -113 / U -113
Colson Yankoff TE	WAS	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	57 Mild Lean	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
R.White RB	WAS	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	55 Mild Lean	0.5 vs 0.5 -0.0	fanduel	Research only
B.Corum RB	LA	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	55 Mild Lean	0.3 vs 0.5 -0.2	fanduel	Research only
Luke McCaffrey WR	WAS	First Td	Over 0.5	54 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
John Bates TE	WAS	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	52 Review First	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
J.Whittington WR	LA	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	52 Review First	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
P.Nacua WR	LA	Receiving yds	Under 92.5	51 Low Signal	86.5 vs 92.5 -6.0	fanduel	O -113 / U -113
Van Jefferson WR	WAS	First Td	Over 0.5	49 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
Van Jefferson WR	WAS	Receiving yds	Over 8.5	49 Low Signal	18.0 vs 8.5 +9.5	fanduel	O -113 / U -113
C.Okonkwo TE	WAS	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	48 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	fanduel	Research only
Ben Sinnott TE	WAS	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	46 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	draftkings	Research only
P.Nacua WR	LA	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	46 Low Signal	0.3 vs 0.5 -0.2	fanduel	Research only
S.Diggs WR	WAS	Receiving yds	Under 46.5	45 Low Signal	42.6 vs 46.5 -3.9	fanduel	O -113 / U -113
A.Ekeler RB	WAS	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	42 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
Luke McCaffrey WR	WAS	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	41 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	fanduel	Research only
T.Atwell WR	LA	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	40 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
Van Jefferson WR	WAS	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	39 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
Davis Allen TE	LA	Last Td	Over 0.5	39 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
B.Corum RB	LA	Rush yds	Under 48.5	38 Low Signal	44.8 vs 48.5 -3.7	fanduel	O -113 / U -113
A.Williams WR	WAS	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	38 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
T.Atwell WR	LA	First Td	Over 0.5	37 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
C.Okonkwo TE	WAS	Receiving yds	Under 35.5	37 Low Signal	33.8 vs 35.5 -1.7	fanduel	O -113 / U -113
K.Williams RB	LA	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	36 Low Signal	0.7 vs 0.5 +0.2	hardrock	Research only
Konata Mumpfield WR	LA	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	36 Low Signal	0.3 vs 0.5 -0.2	fanduel	Research only
T.Higbee TE	LA	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	36 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
Davis Allen TE	LA	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	35 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	fanduel	Research only
C.Okonkwo TE	WAS	Last Td	Over 0.5	35 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
J.Whittington WR	LA	Last Td	Over 0.5	35 Review First	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
C.Parkinson TE	LA	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	33 Review First	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
Myles Garrett DL	LA	Sacks	Under 0.8	33 Review First	0.6 vs 0.8 -0.2	draftkings	O -101 / U -125
K.Williams RB	LA	Three Plus Tds	Over 0.5	32 Low Signal	0.5 vs 0.5 -0.0	fanduel	Research only
J.Daniels QB	WAS	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	32 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
M.Stafford QB	LA	Qb Passing Tds	Over 1.5	32 Low Signal	1.9 vs 1.5 +0.4	draftkings	O -153 / U +120
Tim Settle DL	WAS	Sacks	Over 1.0	32 Low Signal	0.1 vs 1.0 -0.9	draftkings	Research only
B.Young LB	LA	Sacks	Over 0.3	32 Low Signal	0.4 vs 0.3 +0.2	draftkings	O +114 / U -144
S.Styles LB	WAS	Sacks	Over 1.0	31 Low Signal	0.1 vs 1.0 -0.9	fanduel	Research only
C.Okonkwo TE	WAS	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	30 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
Davis Allen TE	LA	First Td	Over 0.5	30 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
B.Corum RB	LA	First Td	Over 0.5	30 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
Konata Mumpfield WR	LA	Last Td	Over 0.5	30 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
C.Parkinson TE	LA	First Td	Over 0.5	30 Review First	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
A.Ekeler RB	WAS	Rush yds	Under 24.5	28 Low Signal	23.6 vs 24.5 -0.9	fanduel	O -113 / U -113
B.Fiske DL	LA	Sacks	Under 0.3	28 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.3 -0.1	draftkings	O +166 / U -213
T.Atwell WR	LA	Last Td	Over 0.5	28 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
T.Higbee TE	LA	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	27 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	draftkings	Research only
R.White RB	WAS	Rush yds	Under 35.5	27 Low Signal	35.0 vs 35.5 -0.5	draftkings	O -112 / U -112
S.Diggs WR	WAS	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	27 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	draftkings	Research only
R.White RB	WAS	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	27 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	fanduel	Research only
O.Oweh LB	WAS	Sacks	Under 0.3	27 Low Signal	0.3 vs 0.3 +0.1	draftkings	O +142 / U -181
J.Daniels QB	WAS	Last Td	Over 0.5	27 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
Jer'Zhan Newton DL	WAS	Sacks	Over 1.0	27 Review First	0.2 vs 1.0 -0.8	draftkings	Research only
John Bates TE	WAS	Last Td	Over 0.5	27 Review First	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
K.Williams RB	LA	Rush yds	Under 60.5	26 Low Signal	63.2 vs 60.5 +2.7	fanduel	O -113 / U -113
J.Daniels QB	WAS	QB pass yds	Over 211.5	26 Low Signal	206.8 vs 211.5 -4.7	fanduel	O -113 / U -113
J.Stewart LB	LA	Sacks	Over 1.0	25 Low Signal	0.3 vs 1.0 -0.7	draftkings	Research only
A.Williams WR	WAS	First Td	Over 0.5	25 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
J.Daniels QB	WAS	First Td	Over 0.5	25 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
T.Higbee TE	LA	Last Td	Over 0.5	25 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
C.Parkinson TE	LA	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	25 Review First	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	fanduel	Research only
Konata Mumpfield WR	LA	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	24 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	draftkings	Research only
Davis Allen TE	LA	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	23 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	draftkings	Research only
A.Williams WR	WAS	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	23 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	draftkings	Research only
Konata Mumpfield WR	LA	First Td	Over 0.5	23 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
J.Daniels QB	WAS	Qb Passing Tds	Under 1.5	23 Low Signal	1.3 vs 1.5 -0.2	draftkings	O +126 / U -161
P.Nacua WR	LA	Last Td	Over 0.5	23 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	hardrock	Research only
S.Diggs WR	WAS	First Td	Over 0.5	22 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
P.Nacua WR	LA	First Td	Over 0.5	22 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	draftkings	Research only
C.Okonkwo TE	WAS	First Td	Over 0.5	21 Low Signal	0.0 vs 0.5 -0.5	hardrock	Research only
D.Armstrong LB	WAS	Sacks	Over 1.0	21 Low Signal	0.3 vs 1.0 -0.7	draftkings	Research only
K.Williams RB	LA	Last Td	Over 0.5	21 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	hardrock	Research only
B.Corum RB	LA	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	20 Low Signal	0.3 vs 0.5 -0.2	draftkings	Research only
Konata Mumpfield WR	LA	Receiving yds	Under 13.5	20 Low Signal	18.2 vs 13.5 +4.7	fanduel	O -113 / U -113
C.Parkinson TE	LA	Last Td	Over 0.5	20 Review First	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	hardrock	Research only
A.Ekeler RB	WAS	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	19 Low Signal	0.3 vs 0.5 -0.2	fanduel	Research only
T.Higbee TE	LA	First Td	Over 0.5	19 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	hardrock	Research only
R.White RB	WAS	First Td	Over 0.5	19 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
B.Corum RB	LA	Last Td	Over 0.5	19 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	hardrock	Research only
A.Williams WR	WAS	Last Td	Over 0.5	19 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	hardrock	Research only
J.Daniels QB	WAS	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	18 Low Signal	0.3 vs 0.5 -0.2	fanduel	Research only
R.White RB	WAS	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	18 Low Signal	0.3 vs 0.5 -0.2	draftkings	Research only
A.Ekeler RB	WAS	First Td	Over 0.5	17 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	draftkings	Research only
K.Chaisson LB	WAS	Sacks	Under 0.3	17 Low Signal	0.3 vs 0.3 +0.0	draftkings	O +224 / U -292
A.Ekeler RB	WAS	Last Td	Over 0.5	17 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	hardrock	Research only
S.Diggs WR	WAS	Last Td	Over 0.5	17 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	hardrock	Research only
S.Diggs WR	WAS	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	16 Low Signal	0.4 vs 0.5 -0.1	draftkings	Research only
R.White RB	WAS	Last Td	Over 0.5	16 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4	hardrock	Research only
P.Nacua WR	LA	Anytime Td	Over 0.5	15 Low Signal	0.5 vs 0.5 +0.0	draftkings	Research only
B.Corum RB	LA	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	15 Low Signal	0.5 vs 0.5 +0.0	draftkings	Research only
P.Nacua WR	LA	Two Plus Tds	Over 0.5	15 Low Signal	0.5 vs 0.5 +0.0	fanduel	Research only
A.Donald DL	LA	Sacks	Under 0.3	15 Low Signal	0.1 vs 0.3 -0.2	draftkings	O +241 / U -315
K.Williams RB	LA	First Td	Over 0.5	15 Low Signal	0.2 vs 0.5 -0.3	draftkings	Research only

Player Projections

QB Projections

Market


M.Stafford #9	LA	1	82	262.8	1.9	22.8	0.5	2.2
J.Daniels #5	WAS	1	29	200.2	1.3	18.5	0.3	48.4
S.Bennett #13	LA	2	1	13.0	0.0	2.0	0.0	9.0
A.Kaliakmanis #16	WAS	2	1	186.0	1.0	15.0	0.0	16.0
M.Mariota #8	WAS	3	16	149.9	1.1	12.9	0.0	27.4

Offense Projections

Market


P.Nacua #12	LA	1	50	5.2	95.1	7.4	10.1	100.3	0.5
S.Diggs #3	WAS	1	6	0.0	70.3	7.5	12.5	70.3	1.3
T.McLaurin #17	WAS	2	112	0.7	64.2	4.6	7.3	64.9	0.4
K.Williams #23	LA	2	61	71.8	16.2	2.4	3.1	88.0	0.8
J.Croskey-Merritt #22	WAS	3	22	47.5	4.9	0.6	0.9	52.4	0.5
D.Adams #17	LA	3	20	0.0	63.5	4.5	8.2	63.5	0.9
B.Corum #24	LA	4	39	34.4	4.9	0.6	0.9	39.4	0.3
A.Ekeler #30	WAS	4	18	26.5	24.1	2.4	2.9	50.6	0.2
T.Atwell #8	LA	5	53	1.4	32.1	2.2	3.7	33.5	0.1
R.White #1	WAS	5	6	33.3	14.7	2.7	3.0	48.0	0.5
T.Higbee #89	LA	6	134	0.0	31.5	3.1	4.5	31.5	0.2
A.Williams #14	WAS	6	7	0.0	37.0	3.3	4.7	37.0	0.1
C.Parkinson #84	LA	7	35	0.0	23.0	2.5	3.5	23.0	0.3
C.Okonkwo #85	WAS	7	5	0.0	36.4	3.4	4.8	36.4	0.0
T.Ferguson #18	LA	8	14	0.0	21.0	1.3	2.6	21.0	0.3
T.Burks #13	WAS	8	14	0.0	25.9	1.6	3.1	25.9	0.2
J.McNichols #26	WAS	9	32	16.1	7.2	1.1	1.4	23.3	0.2
R.Rivers #20	LA	9	21	15.0	4.3	0.8	0.8	19.2	0.0
D.Brown #6	WAS	10	51	0.7	17.2	1.3	2.3	17.9	0.1
J.Whittington #88	LA	10	26	0.9	18.3	1.6	2.2	19.2	0.0

Defense Projections

Market


W.Bailey #47	LA	1	2	3.5	3.5	2.0	68.0
S.Tuttle #96	WAS	1	2	3.5	3.5	5.0	56.5
J.Stewart #10	LA	2	8	1.4	2.3	2.1	21.8
O.Oweh #98	WAS	2	6	2.0	3.5	2.5	29.5
O.Speights #48	LA	3	6	1.0	1.0	2.5	11.7
K.Chaisson #45	WAS	3	6	1.8	5.2	2.0	26.5
B.Young #0	LA	4	45	0.9	2.1	1.0	9.4
C.Omenihu #90	WAS	4	2	1.5	6.0	1.5	15.0
L.Murchison #52	LA	5	5	0.8	1.0	1.0	13.4
S.Styles #52	WAS	5	3	1.0	2.0	3.0	17.0
A.Donald #99	LA	6	142	0.8	1.9	1.3	12.1
R.Barber #50	WAS	6	1	1.0	1.0	1.0	12.0
F.Luvu #4	WAS	7	19	0.7	1.4	1.2	10.4
D.Johnson #94	LA	7	7	0.7	1.7	0.7	9.1
K.Turner #91	LA	8	34	0.7	1.4	0.8	11.6
J.Jean-Baptiste #41	WAS	8	3	0.7	1.0	0.7	4.7
D.Armstrong #92	WAS	9	22	0.7	1.6	0.8	6.8
B.Fiske #55	LA	9	21	0.7	1.8	0.9	12.4
D.Payne #94	WAS	10	78	0.5	1.2	0.9	7.9
J.McCollough #2	LA	10	4	0.5	1.5	0.5	11.0

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